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Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall (14) warms up before an NCAA college football game against Texas A&M, Saturday, Nov. 8, 2014, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall (14) warms up before an NCAA college football game against Texas A&M, Saturday, Nov. 8, 2014, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)Brynn Anderson/Associated Press

Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Odds, Analysis, College Football Pick

OddsShark.comNov 12, 2014

The Georgia Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers may not have a shot at the national championship anymore with two losses apiece, but both teams still have a lot to play for heading into Saturday night’s SEC matchup against each other. Georgia in particular is battling for the SEC East division title and has gone 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings with Auburn.

Point spread: Bulldogs opened as two-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 61.1-27.0 Bulldogs

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Why the Auburn Tigers can cover the spread

The Tigers are coming off a stunning 41-38 home loss to the Texas A&M Aggies last week as 23.5-point home favorites, possibly looking ahead to this game against the Bulldogs. Texas A&M had dropped five in a row ATS before pulling off the upset and looked like a dead team.

Before the loss to the Aggies, Auburn handed the Ole Miss Rebels their first loss of the season, 35-31, as a one-point road underdog. In fact, the Tigers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as a road dog and 5-1 versus the line in their past six road games against SEC opponents. Both of those trends match up nicely here considering Auburn opened as a small dog.

Why the Georgia Bulldogs can cover the spread

First of all, Georgia is playing at home, where the team is 24-1 straight up in its last 25 games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are also 11-1 SU in their past 12 home games against SEC foes, with the lone loss coming against the Missouri Tigers last year in a 41-26 defeat as 6.5-point chalk.

They are coming off a huge 63-31 road victory against the Kentucky Wildcats last Saturday as 10-point favorites behind four touchdowns from senior quarterback Hutson Mason, who tossed all of them while completing 11 of his first 13 passes.

Georgia freshman running back Nick Chubb also rushed for 170 yards and one touchdown filling in for the suspended Todd Gurley.

Smart pick

The Bulldogs will be facing a fragile Tigers team that still does not know what hit them in last week’s loss to Texas A&M. Georgia had its wake-up call the week before in an equally surprising home loss to the Florida Gators as a 12-point favorite but was able to get back on track with a big win at Kentucky. The key here is obviously home field, with the Bulldogs favored by nearly a field goal according to the opening line.

Auburn has lost four of the last five road meetings with Georgia both SU and ATS, including each of the past three. When you combine recent series history with the strong play by the Bulldogs at home lately, they are the best bet to cover the spread in this game.

Betting trends

  • Auburn is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games on the road.
  • Georgia is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds-tracker app.

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