Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: Odds, College Football Pick

Arkansas is still winless in SEC play under head coach Bret Bielema and has lost 16 straight conference games overall, going 6-10 against the spread. However, the Razorbacks have shown some money-making ability this season, going 6-2 ATS.

The Hogs will try again to break that SEC losing streak this weekend, but it won't be easy, taking on the top-ranked Bulldogs of Mississippi State in Starkville Saturday night.

Point Spread: The Bulldogs opened as 14-point favorites.

Odds Shark Computer Pick: Bulldogs 40.5, Razorbacks 25.8

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks Can Cover the Spread

The Razorbacks just bombed Alabama-Birmingham 45-17, covering the spread as 24-point favorites. Arkansas gained 484 yards to the Blazers' 195, racked up 273 rushing yards and held the ball for almost 35 minutes.

Two weeks ago, the Hogs thought they had a chance to snap that SEC losing streak but got slapped down by Georgia. Just before that, Arkansas gave Alabama all it could handle, losing 14-13 but out-gaining the Tide by over 100 yards.

In a tough game earlier this year, the Razorbacks played Auburn to a 21-21 halftime tie before fading down the stretch.

So they can play with quality opponents.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs Can Cover the Spread

The Bulldogs are 7-0 for the second time in the last two seasons after winning at Kentucky last week 45-31. Mississippi State piled up 542 yards on offense, 326 on the ground, held the ball for almost 35 minutes and limited the Wildcats to 103 yards on 32 carries.

Near the end, the Bulldogs returned a kickoff for a score that garnered them a push as 14.5-point favorites.

For the season, Mississippi State is out-rushing opponents by 155 yards per game, which is a big reason why the Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS.

Smart Pick

One of these days, Arkansas is going to put it all together and break that SEC losing streak. Can the Hogs do it in this spot, playing at the top-ranked team in the land? Unlikely.

But to keep a game like this close, the underdog has to run the ball, work the clock and limit the turnovers, and Arkansas might be able to pull that off.

The smart choice here is with the Hogs, plus the points.

Betting Trends

• Arkansas is 4-13 straight up in its last 17 games.
• Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last five games.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.