Mississippi Rebels vs. LSU Tigers Betting Odds: Analysis and Prediction

The LSU Tigers will try to build off a dominant home win and hand the Ole Miss Rebels their first loss of the season when they square off in Baton Rouge Saturday. The Tigers crushed Kentucky 41-3 last week as 11.5-point favorites to improve to 4-1 against the spread in their past five home games.

Point Spread: The Rebels opened as three-point favorites at Tiger Stadium.

Odds Shark Computer Pick: Tigers 33.3, Rebels 27.3

Why the Mississippi Rebels Can Cover the Spread

The Rebels already own big SEC road wins at Vanderbilt and Texas A&M earlier this season by a combined score of 76-23, covering the spread in both of those games easily.

They closed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Aggies and followed that win up with a 34-3 home victory over Tennessee last week as 15.5-point favorites.

Ole Miss quarterback Bo Wallace continued his solid play with 199 yards and two touchdowns against the Volunteers, and he threw for 346 yards in last year’s 27-24 upset of LSU at home as a 9.5-point underdog. That victory made the Rebels 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings with the Tigers.

Why the LSU Tigers Can Cover the Spread

LSU finds itself in the rare position of home underdog and has covered the spread the last two times under this scenario, both times against Alabama.

Ole Miss is enjoying a fine year but does not have the same kind of recent history as the Crimson Tide, who have won three national championships in the past five years.

The Tigers have been double-digit favorites in three of the last four meetings with the Rebels and won the past two games between the teams at home by a combined 13 points.

The good news is that the underdog is 12-2 ATS in the past 14 meetings, so maybe LSU can turn the tables and pull off the upset this time around.

Smart Pick

Ole Miss has won just once in its last six trips to Baton Rouge but has gone 9-0 ATS in the past nine meetings there. While the Rebels were underdogs in eight of those games, the lone time they were favored came in 1999 as 3.5-point favorites and resulted in a 42-23 victory.

The Tigers have been able to reel off wins in three of their last four games, but neither of their past two losses has been close. A 34-29 home loss to Mississippi State last month was not nearly as close as the final score suggests because LSU was trailing 34-10 in the fourth quarter.

Ole Miss is quite simply the better team in this conference matchup and will win by at least a touchdown.

Betting Trends

• Mississippi is 5-0 straight up in its last five games.
• LSU is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.