
Michigan Football: Final Game-by-Game Schedule Predictions
The addition of Doug Nussmeier has to count for something when predicting Michiganโs season.
It just has to.
Now perching at Al Borgesโ former post, the former Alabama offensive coordinator faces the task of calling the shots for a Wolverines offense that is abundant with talent but riddled with holesโcase in point: an incredibly porous offensive line that didnโt look any better during this past Saturdayโs scrimmage than it did during the spring game.
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Of course, thatโs excluding Mason Cole, a 6โ5โ, 292-pound true freshman whoโll likely start the season at left tackle. Heโd be the sixth true frosh to start on Michiganโs O-line. Thatโs one mean first job, isnโt it?
Then thereโs the running game, which must get its wheels turning in time for Week 2โs assumed series finale with Notre Dame. During the โunder the lightsโ scrimmage this past Saturday in Ann Arbor, neither Derrick Green nor De'Veon Smith were overly impressive, but they showedย that theyโre willing to take bumps and bruises in the name of gaining a few yards.
Good thing that the offense has Greg Mattison, whoโs built a Goliath defense since arriving as coordinator in 2011. His secondary, linebackers and linemen should serve as the glue that binds while quarterback Devin Gardnerโs crew gets comfortable.
With enough question marks, loose ends and deficiencies to go aroundโbut donโt negate the potential positivesโTeam 135 should be approached with great caution. Again, this canโt be stressed enough: Michigan has the personnel to get the job done in the Big Ten, itโs just a matter of head coach Brady Hokeโs staff putting it together in time to do something this fall.
Game 1: Aug. 30 vs. Appalachian State
This has been said over and over, but itโs worth repeating: This isnโt really a โrematchโโthese two teams are drastically different than they were in 2007 when the Mountaineers stunned the Wolverines at The Big House, 34-32.
Not even close this time.
That was an once-in-a-lifetime, back-to-back-FCS-title-defending team vs. an extremely unfocused foe who took the little guy for granted. There is no need for a statistical breakdown right now, because this one is a win for Team 135.
No doubt. It has to be, or heads will roll.
Score: UM 49, ASU 10 (better be, or else)
Record: 1-0
Game 2: Sept. 6 at Notre Dame
So, that makes Michigan 1-0 heading into South Bend, one of the most challenging environments in all of college football. Since 2002, the Wolverines have won twice in front of Touchdown Jesus (2006, 2010), so itโd be easy to chalk up another one for the Irishโฆ
โฆright?
Well, not this time. This past week, due to alleged academic fraud, Notre Dame removed four playersโthree startersโfrom its team. That wonโt be easy to overcome, and that should make Hokeโs job a little easier, despite having to face quarterback Everett Golson, whoโs returning from an academic suspension, for the first time.
Special teams could easily decide the outcome. Donโt rule out a big pick-six or blocked kick to turn the tides in either teamโs fortune.
However, the Wolverines will be out for a statement victoryโone to make up for not throttling the Mountaineers as they should have, and/or to build on that momentum by posting a gaudy win over their rival Irish.
Score: UM 24, ND 20
Record: 2-0
Game 3: Sept. 13 vs. Miami (Ohio)
Too much maize and blue, not enough RedHawk. We could break down some things, but why? This one should be relatively painless for Michigan.
Score: UM 38, Miami 14
Record: 3-0
Game 4: Sept. 20 vs. Utah
The Utes may surprise a few by hanging with Michigan. In 2013, Akron and UConnโa pair of perceived pushoversโgave the Wolverines everything they could handle. Of course, the same could be said for Miami (Ohio), a team that Iโve given almost zero chance of beating Hoke in Ann Arbor.
Utah will have to get the most from its seasoned O-line and running back Bubba Poole if it wants to skate by with a โW.โ Michigan could experience some lag after trampling the RedHawks, so I'm going to say that this one's close until late in the third quarter.
Score: UM 28, Utah 13
Record: 4-0
Game 5: Sept. 27 vs. Minnesota
Itโll be a game against a little brother.
Braylonโs little brother, actually.
As the younger sibling of a legendary Wolverines receiver, Berkley Edwards probably wonโt receive a warm ovation when he visits big broโs former stomping grounds.
Minnesotaโs on the rise, as coach Jerry Kill has done a wonderful job of implementing his system and consistency, but itโll probably get grounded by the Wolverines, whoโll want to sink their teeth into their first Big Ten opponent.
Itโs at home. Hokeโs lost twice in front of his own. This game will be Michiganโs, but it wonโt come as easily as I thought back in the spring (predicted 31-13, UM).
Score: UM 28, Minn. 21
Record: 5-0 (1-0 Big Ten)
Game 6: Oct. 4 at Rutgers
Thereโs a first time for everything, and Michigan gets to meet the Scarlet Knights in Piscataway, New Jersey, to kick off a new Big Tenโฆrivalry?
Partnership?
Anyway, back to the predictions.
These arenโt Greg Schianoโs Knights, and they donโt have a superstar like Ray Rice to handle the workload. I canโt see anything but a crooked-number fest for the Wolverines, who should get their second conference win in the home state of Jabrill Peppers, a 5-star Jersey Kid whoโs been maize and blue since childhood. ย
I can see mop-up time for Shane Morris and maybe even Wilton Speight. Who knows, Hoke may throw Bobby Henderson into the fullback position and let Peppers play quarterbackโyou know, just for the experience.
If the Wolverines donโt demolish Rutgers, Iโll personally send a bouquet of flowers to Knights coach Kyle Flood as a way to say, โIโm sorry for doubting your team.โ But Iโll ask that Michigan reimburse me. Itโs a tax write-off, right?!
Score: UM 42, RU 14
Record: 6-0 (2-0 Big Ten)
Game 7: Oct. 11 vs. Penn State (night)
First loss.
Penn State sophomore quarterback Christian Hackenberg could rattle off a career-type win if he successfully exploits Michiganโs secondary, which is as deep as itโs been since the 1990s.
Of course, the Wolverines want revenge for losing their late-night date with the Nittany Lions in 2013. That Hackenberg-to-Allen Robinson Hail Mary was a punch to the gut.
But 6-0 is far enough. Michigan has potential, but I canโt see it winning seven in a row. Six is pushing it, and Iโm giving the Wolverines the benefit of the doubt while assessing their matches with the โunderdogs.โ
Team 135 could very well start 4-2, which is my way of softening the blow when I see my 6-0 prediction explode before my very eyes. But Iโm sticking with it.
Score: PSU 27, UM 23 (Hackenberg-to-Someone, Part 2)
Record: 6-1 (2-1 Big Ten)
Game 8: Oct. 25 at Michigan State
Winners of five of the past sixโbut might as well make that winners of six of the past seven; Michigan State is going to take this one. There arenโt any reasonable clues or forgotten logic that says otherwise.
The Spartansโ O-line is far superior to Michiganโsโeven their second-teamers are comparableโand their offense is years ahead in development.
Oh, and that defense. Pat Narduzzi, Michigan Stateโs defensive coordinator, is probably doing jumping jacks right now, just thinking of his โDawgsโ getting at the Wolverines.
At this point, judging by Michiganโs O-line as-is, Iโm seeing at least a handful of sacks. Gardner may want to wear some extra padding on his backside, because heโll be on it a lot if Cole, Jack Miller, Kyle Kalis, Graham Glasgow, Kyle Bosch and, among others, Erik Magnuson, fail to provide adequate protection.
Score: MSU 31, UM 14
Record: 6-2 (2-2 Big Ten)
Game 9: Nov. 1 vs. Indiana
The Hoosiers have quarterback Nate Sudfeld, whoโs appeared on a couple of watch lists, and receiver Shane Wynn. This should be fun, as the pair has the potential to frustrate Michiganโs defense, especially during the early goings.
With that being said, once Mattisonโs guys apply the clamps, it should be over for Indiana, which doesnโt have enough offensive firepower to outdo the Wolverines defenseโone that features an incredible set of DBs led by Blake Countess, Jourdan Lewis and probably Peppers.
Score: UM 28, IU 17
Record: 7-2 (3-2 Big Ten)
Game 10: Nov. 8 at Northwestern
Without do-all running backย Venric Mark, who's transferring after being suspended, the Wildcats could find themselves serving as a league doormat. I mean, Northwestern usually puts up a great fight, but itโs hard to imagine it doing a whole lot on offense without Mark, a speedster who could make an entire defense miss by flinching.
He was also a supreme talent on special teams.
And the Wildcats will miss wideout Christian Jones, who's lost to a season-ending leg injury.ย
I like the Wolverines in this one, only because the offense will almost certainly be clicking and the defense will most certainly be stickingโฆโitโ to the opposition. By this time, everything should be in syncโand if itโs not, it wonโt be until 2015 or later.
Score: UM 27, NW 19
Record: 8-2 (4-2 Big Ten)
Game 11: Nov. 22 vs. Maryland
The struggle is real for the Terps, who have All-Big Ten candidate Stefon Diggs leading the charge at wide receiver. Other than him, itโs kind of thin.
Welcome to the league, boys.
Score: UM 30, Maryland 20
Record: 9-2 (5-2 Big Ten)
Game 12: Nov. 29 at Ohio State
News of Braxton Millerโs injuryโhe dislocated his right shoulder and could be out for the season, per Tim May of The Columbus Dispatchโcertainly changes perception of this game. But not that much. Even without their star senior quarterback, the Buckeyes are, top-to-bottom, better than Michigan.
Even without linebacker Ryan Shazier, Ohio State has the advantage.ย
Thatโs just how it goes.
When it comes to O-H-I-O, itโs back to the drawing board for Hoke. Michigan just isnโt there yet, and going to Columbus will make that abundantly clearโthatโs if Michigan State doesnโt end up doing that in October.
Score: OSU 31, UM 20
Record: 9-3 (5-3 Big Ten)
Agree? Disagree? How many wins do you predict for Michigan? Let me know in the comments section.ย
Follow Bleacher Reportโs Michigan Wolverines football writer Adam Biggers on Twitter @AdamBiggers81
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