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Alex Smith: Ryan Leaf Or Troy Aikman?

Jonathan Beckman
Jun 13, 2009

Is Alex Smith Ryan Leaf or Troy Aikman?

โ€œWith the 1st pick of the 2005 National Football League Draft, the San Francisco 49ers selects Alex Smith: Quarterback, from the University of Utahโ€.

Remember that?

As a die-hard 49ers fan, I remember being excited, at the same time confused.

Before the 2005 draft, I was excited & poised for the 49ers to select Heisman Trophy winner Matt Leinart, from the University of Southern California. When the time came for Matt to make a decision, he chose college life- girls, parties, girls, partiesโ€ฆ girls & parties, over N.F.L life. Do you blame him? Iโ€™m sure, if he was allowed too, he would still be in college playing- based on his NFL play. With Leinartโ€™s name off the board, there wasnโ€™t a โ€œclear-cutโ€ 1st pick of the draft. Awesome, right? The year the 49ers have the first pick, there isnโ€™t a clear, definitive number 1 pick. No matter how you look at it, itโ€™s still a privilege to be able to choose the first pick- a privilege that great organizations take advantage ofโ€ฆ

That being said, the top 12 prospects on the board for the 49ers to pick were : QB Alex Smith, RB Ronnie Brown, WR Braylon Edwards, RB Cedric Benson, RB Cadillac Williams, CB/DB Adam โ€œPac-Manโ€ Jones, WR Troy Williamson, CB/DB Antrelle Rolle, CB/DB Carlos Rogers, WR Mike Williams, DE/OLB Demarcus Ware, and OLB Shawn Merriman.

Elite prospects, yes, but what were the needs of 49ers? Letโ€™s be honest, the 2005 49ers team had a lot of holes- this was a rebuilding year.

The Quarterback slot was empty, due to the departure of Jeff Garcia; the 49ers havenโ€™t had a Wide Receiver since Terrell Owens; the defense needed a leader, a pass-rusher, and defensive back. So, there were a few directions to go in? After analyzing the prospects, then you have to look at scarcity of the position: Quarterbacks are hard to come by, especially elite ones; thatโ€™s an option. If your patient, Wide receiverโ€™s tend to be available in the later rounds- drafting a Wide Receiver with the first pick is a bit of a stretch (even though Braylon Edwards would have been awesome). There were a few other options to consider in Ware and Merriman, but this team needed a leader- a face. Alex Smith was their choice. Question is/was: Who is Alex Smith?

In three seasons at Utah, Smith completed 389-of-587 pass attempts for 5,203 yards and 47 touchdowns while throwing just 8 interceptions. He also ran 286 times for 1,072 yards and 15 touchdowns. In 2004, he was the Mountain West Conference Player of the year and graduated college in two years with a 3.71 GPA in economics; 2004 Sporting News & Sports Illustrated Offensive Player of the Year. These statistics arenโ€™t one of an average player; these are elite numbers for a prominent student/athlete. Not only were his personal statistics excellent, but his leadership โ€œnumbersโ€ were that much more impressive: As a starting QB for two years at UTAH (freshman & sophomore years), his record was 21-1. Heโ€™s a winner!

After getting to know who/ what Alex Smith is/was all about, I was pretty confident and content with Alex Smith being the #1 pick for the S.F. 49ers. How did all of his college accolades translate into the Pro game?

As a rookie, Alex played in nine games (started seven of them). Unfortunately, in week 6 against the Redskins, his injury woes started. He suffered a knee injury against the Washington Redskins, which caused him to miss the next 4 games. On the season, he completed 84-165 passes for 875 yards; threw 1 touchdown and had 11 interceptions. Alex Smithโ€™s next season was a good one- a huge step in the right direction: led the 49ers to a 7-9 record; 2890 passing yards, 16 td & 16 interceptions. After a big step in 2006, he took twenty steps back in 2007. Alex started the season off 2-0, after beating the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football and the St. Louis Rams the following week. During another divisional battle in week 3 against the Seahawks, DT/DE Rocky Bernard โ€œrockedโ€ Alex, and caused him to have a grade-3 separation of the shoulder. This injury triggered him to miss a bunch of games; he made an attempt to come back later in the season, but just aggravated the injury even further. What a great way to start your NFL career, as the #1 pick of an organization- it couldnโ€™t have worked out any worst for him or any player in his position.

If you compare that to Troy Aikmanโ€™s first few years, they are pretty similar (without the unfortunate injuries): In year one, Troy led his team to a 0-11 record; 1749 passing yards, 9 td and 18 interceptions (Troy started 11 games compared to 7 with Alex). Troyโ€™s sophomore season: He led his team to a 7-8 season; 2579 passing yards, 11 td & 18 interceptions. Again, he had another dismal year. In his 3rd year, Troy played 12 games; led his team to a 7-5 record; 2754 passing yards, 11 td & 11 interceptions. ย After these three seasons, most NFL experts & the average fan would have never thought that Mr. Aikman would have been elected into the NFL Hall of Fame. But he was!

In our society, the mindset is: โ€œWhat have you done for me lately?โ€ That is unfortunate because you discredit what an athlete/person has done leading up to this current โ€œfailureโ€. Oneโ€™s history is extremely important! How can you judge someone on what he did today, and forget what he did yesterday? Itโ€™s a simple-minded view, for simple-minded people. Some might take what I just said personally, but its reality.

Alex Smith has the intelligence, poise, patience, and skills to be successful in his career. You canโ€™t take someone for granted who has hit โ€œrock-bottomโ€ in their personal career; you just canโ€™t! Adversity challenges people, especially athletes. If they have character, they will respond. Based on what I have seen from Alex, and everything he has been through (injuries, three coaches, four offensive coordinators; Jimmy Raye is now his fifth), I see nothing but success from this forgotten star.

I am not going to predict a Hall of Fame resurrection, but I will predict a successful career, un- like Ryan Leaf.