Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

The Detroit Lions are 1-6-1 against the spread the last eight times they've been lined as underdogs on the road. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight times they've been favored at home.

Something's gotta give when the Eagles host the Lions on Sunday afternoon in Week 14 betting.

Point spread: Eagles opened as two-point favorites; the total was 53.5. (Line updates and matchup report.)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 26.0-24.5 Lions

Why the Lions can cover the spread

Detroit is coming off what must be one of its most satisfying victories in some time—a 40-10 romp over Green Bay on Thanksgiving.

Yes, the Packers were without quarterback Aaron Rodgers. However, even he might not have helped in that game, considering the way in which the Lions shoved the ball down Green Bay's throat.

Reggie Bush ran for 117 yards and Joique Bell added 92 more. If Detroit can keep that kind of balance going on offense, it might be tough to stop.

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Since Nick Foles took over at quarterback from the injured Michael Vick, Philly is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The second-year kid from Arizona has now thrown 19 touchdown passes this season without an interception.

The Eagles rank third in the league in total offense and second in rushing. While the defense ranks 31st overall, it's also held seven straight opponents to 21 points or less.

They have also beaten the Lions in six of seven tries, covering five spreads in those games.

Smart Pick

The Odds Shark computer is picking Detroit to win this game outright and for the game to stay UNDER its total. This game should be a good one. The Lions lead the NFC North, while Philly is tied for the lead in the NFC East.

These teams are very similar, both in talent and approach. On a neutral field, this game might be a pick 'em. Go with the computer here and take Detroit.

Trends:

• Lions are 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS past seven against the Eagles
• Lions are 1-6-1 ATS past eight games as road underdogs
• Eagles are 1-6-1 ATS past eight games as home favorites
• Eagles have played five straight home UNDERs

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.