Texas Tech vs. Baylor: Spread Betting Analysis and Pick Prediction

Baylor is favored huge again with one of the biggest over-unders in college football history as they host the Texas Tech Red Raiders.

And boasting a knack for covering big spreads, the Bears continue their BCS march with a big win, according to the Odds Shark prediction computer.

Point spread: Baylor opened as 27-point home favorites; the total was 84.5 Wednesday. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer says: 55-23 Baylor

Why Texas Tech can cover the spread

The Red Raiders are on a three-game losing streak, but they did open the season 7-0 and should be getting up for the two huge games left on their schedule. Plus, they could have a chip on their shoulder after opening as such a big underdog at a neutral site.

They have dominated Baylor over the years and are 6-2 ATS in eight visits here.

Why Baylor can cover the spread

Baylor is back at No. 5 in the updated BCS rankings, so they need to keep winning—and keep winning big—if they want to play their way into the national title picture. That's motivation enough to have them firing on all cylinders this week.

History says they can cover any spread as they are 13-1 ATS in 14 recent games and 8-1 ATS in nine games as double-digit chalk.

Smart Pick

Baylor's weaknesses haven't been identified yet, and they've been putting up ridiculous point totals every single week. The Bears had no trouble with Oklahoma in a 41-12 victory last time out, so they should roll again against Texas Tech.

Trends:

• Texas Tech is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Baylor
• Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games at Baylor
• Baylor is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games
• Baylor is 8-1 in its past nine as the double-digit favorite

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.