Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

The Ravens have had plenty of success after an off week, as they're in on a 10-1 ATS spree the week following a bye. On the flip side, the Browns are mired in a 1-5 ATS skid before their off week.

Point Spread

Ravens opened as three-point favorites; the total was 40. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction

19.6-15.7 Ravens

Why the Ravens Can Cover the Spread

The defending Super Bowl champs are in after a much-needed bye week, which followed a disappointing loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens play five of the next seven weeks at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, so they've labeled this as a must-win to get rejuvenated for the second half of the season.

They always seem to come out of bye weeks (10-1 ATS past 11 seasons) with ferocity and profits.

Why the Browns Can Cover the Spread

Don't blame the Browns for how good the Chiefs are this season. In coming in off a loss to the only remaining undefeated team, Cleveland is going to be pumped for a division game at home, where the Browns are 3-2 this season. The Browns will be out for revenge after the Ravens won in Baltimore in Week 2.

Smart Pick

The UNDER in this physical battle is probably the smartest pick, as these two will be hitting hard all game and it'll be tough for either to get past midfield. There are plenty of trends that point to the UNDER. This one might come down to who is holding the ball last—it may land on the number or it might be like the first game. One thing is for sure: Points will be hard to come by.

Trends

The total has gone UNDER in five of Baltimore's last six games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games at home.

Ravens played five straight UNDERs as road favorites.

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.