Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech Football: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

Oklahoma State has destroyed Texas Tech in recent years, winning on average by nearly five touchdowns! But they are road underdogs here to the Red Raiders, a team that has struggled to a 3-7 ATS mark in its past 10 as home favorites.

Point spread: Texas Tech opened as 2.5-point underdogs, but the spread swung five points in early betting Tuesday; the total was 66.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 47-45 Texas Tech

Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

Controlling the time of possession and pounding the line of scrimmage just might be on their side now. Junior running back Desmond Roland rushed for 219 yards and four touchdowns on 26 carries in his first career start last Saturday at Iowa State. The Cowboys may have solidified that part of their offense, and that's huge.

Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games against Texas Tech, which comes off a loss.

Why the Red Raiders can cover the spread

Texas Tech is no longer among the unbeaten ranks. And because of that, somebody has to pay the price. The Red Raiders will be out to avenge last week's 38-30 loss to Oklahoma. You can expect, that with this one being back at home, the Raiders will be focused on their high-octane offense having a big day.

Smart Pick

This is a low number and should be a rather easy cover for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech quarterback Davis Webb set a Tech-freshman record with 462 passing yards in a victory over West Virginia two weeks ago. He still went 33-of-53 passing for 385 yards and two touchdowns in last week's loss. He'll have a big game.

Trends:

Oklahoma State is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games on the road.

Texas Tech is 7-2 SU in its last nine games when playing at home against Oklahoma State.

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.