2013 WR ADP Results: Cecil Shorts a Terrific Value for Fantasy Football Owners
The elite receivers will come off the board in the first three rounds (eight receivers in all). Respectable value is there in Rounds 4 and 5, with 11 receivers going in that range of the recent ADP trends. This is important to understand if your draft plan is to focus on the running game in the early rounds or possibly land top tight end Jimmy Graham.
While engaging in mock drafts over the summer, I find waiting on receivers to be the preferred option. The only time I would recommend looking for a receiver before the fourth (unless Calvin "Megatron" Johnson falls into the second round or A.J. Green and Dez Bryant fall to the early third) is if you’re drafting late in the third round and early in the fourth round.
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At that point, you will be one of the last teams to pick in the fifth round, and because it’s predictable (based on the results below), we will see a run on receivers in this area of the draft; selecting two key options as your third and fourth selections seems to be a wise decision.
It’s all a matter of which positions on your starting squad you feel confident in dropping down to find value at the position for your starting lineup. Many seem to be tilting towards dropping down at quarterback and tight end.
Cecil Shorts Tops The List Of Value Receivers
While I like sleepers like Vincent Brown, Kendall Wright, Alshon Jeffery and value receivers like Miles Austin and Cecil Shorts, I’m not confident having any of those options as one of my top two receivers in a 10 team league, and I tend to like having two options so I don’t have to worry about matchup play concerns every week.
Of those options above, Cecil Shorts would be the top receiver to target on draft day because of what we saw from him in 2012, no matter who the quarterback on the field was. He does have concussion concerns, but going as an early ninth-round pick in recent ADPs, you will pick him up at a value as your third or fourth receiver on draft day.
Shorts should continue to be a factor, and with Maurice Jones-Drew on the field, opposing defenses will likely drop a safety down in the box to stuff the run. Justin Blackmon is Jacksonville’s top possession receiver, and when he returns after his four-game suspension, his presence will provide a legitimate option for defenses to worry about on the other side of the field.
Wide Receivers | ADP |
Calvin Johnson, DET | 1.08 |
| A.J. Green, CIN | 2.04 |
Dez Bryant, DAL | 2.06 |
Brandon Marshall, CHI | 2.08 |
Julio Jones, ATL | 3.01 |
Demaryius Thomas, DEN | 3.04 |
Larry Fitzgerald, ARZ | 3.07 |
Randall Cobb, GB | 3.10 |
Percy Harvin, SEA | 4.02 |
Roddy White, ATL | 4.03 |
Andre Johnson, HOU | 4.04 |
Victor Cruz, NYG | 4.06 |
Vincent Jackson, TB | 4.08 |
Jordy Nelson, GB | 5.02 |
Marques Colston, NO | 5.03 |
Dwayne Bowe, KC | 5.05 |
Wes Welker, DEN | 5.05 |
Danny Amendola, NE | 5.08 |
Hakeem Nicks, NYG | 5.10 |
Reggie Wayne, IND | 6.01 |
Mike Wallace, MIA | 6.04 |
Torrey Smith, BAL | 6.08 |
Pierre Garcon, WAS | 6.10 |
Antonio Brown, PIT | 7.02 |
Eric Decker, DEN | 7.03 |
Steve Smith, CAR | 7.08 |
Tavon Austin, STL | 7.08 |
James Jones, GB | 7.10 |
Greg Jennings, MIN | 8.03 |
| T.Y. Hilton, IND | 8.08 |
Anquan Boldin, SF | 8.09 |
Cecil Shorts, JAX | 9.01 |
| 9.04 | |
DeSean Jackson, PHI | 9.04 |
Miles Austin, DAL | 9.06 |
Stevie Johnson, BUF | 9.08 |
Kenny Britt, TEN | 10.02 |
Josh Gordon, CLE (S) | 10.04 |
Mike Williams, TB | 10.06 |
Jeremy Maclin, PHI | 10.09 |
Lance Moore, NO | 11.02 |
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU | 11.05 |
Vincent Brown, SD | 11.10 |
Emmanuel Sanders, PIT | 12.01 |
Michael Floyd, ARZ | 12.04 |
Denarius Moore, OAK | 12.06 |
Justin Blackmon, JAX (S) | 12.09 |
Aaron Dobson, NE | 13.01 |
Ryan Broyles, DET (I) | 13.04 |
Sidney Rice, SEA | 13.06 |
Alshon Jeffery, CHI | 13.08 |
Julian Edelman, NE | 13.09 |
Chris Givens, STL | 13.09 |
Brian Hartline, MIA | 14.03 |
Darrius Heyward-Bey, IND | 14.03 |
| 14.03 | |
Jacoby Jones, BAL | 14.04 |
Kendall Wright, TEN | 14.05 |
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