The first player selected by the Packers in the 2009 NFL draft will be: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
Reasons and explanation: Really trying to shake things up, as I think Ted Thompson is going to surprise us all on draft day. Moreno is the most complete back in the draft and Thompson believes he is destined for greatness.
At pick No. 12 or 13 (where I believe we will be trading to), Moreno is the BPA and all the studs are really gone, and the talent level is the same from here to pick 25 or so.
Moreno looks like a silly pick now, but our running back situation is eerily similar to that of the Vikings situation when they drafted Peterson. If Thompson really believes Moreno can be that good, why wouldn’t he draft him?
Wells, Raji, and Orakpo have been mentioned with the Packers this whole draft, but one of the best athletes who has flown under the radar has been Moreno, and I really think he could be the pick.
The second player selected by the Packers in the 2009 NFL draft will be: Jarron Gilbert, DE, San Jose State
Reasons and explanation: The talent of rush outside linebackers, while more important than DE’s, is much deeper later in this draft so Thompson goes biggest need.
Go back and look at most of Thompson’s drafts. The first pick is best player available while the second pick is biggest need.
Gilbert can come into the rotation right away and provide depth for a team that is going to need it in the 3-4.
Will the Packers make a draft-day trade involving their first round No. 9 pick? (answer “yes” or “no”) Yes, happens all the time and someone is going to want to overpay with draft picks to get the spot, and Ted will be more than willing to do so.
Will the Packers third selection in the draft be an offensive player or a defensive player? (answer “offense” or “defense”) Offense (guard)
Will the Packers use any of their draft choices (day one or two) to take a punter? (answer “yes” or “no”) No, can’t see Ted wasting one of his oh-so-valued picks on a punter. I like what we have on the roster right now.
Additional comments or predictions:
It happens every year, and this year will be no different: we will all be mad at Ted Thompson for his picks today. I almost wrote a full article on this, but I guess I can just put it here.
The general public sees YouTube videos, mock drafts from experts, and looks up the occasional combine stats on players. General managers, Ted Thompson included (as hard as it is to believe), has been watching countless hours of game tape on players, not just highlight reels.
The Packers have interviewed the player they are going to pick and know what kind of guy he is. They have most likely had him in for a private workout.
So when you say you “don’t like a guy” or “this guy is a reach,” I’d ask you to take a look back and think about whether all the “scouting” people do gives them the right to say that.
Sit back, relax, and enjoy one of the most important drafts for the Packers in a long time.