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The Inevitable Trades For Derrick Burgess

Palmer Hartz
Apr 18, 2009

I can tell you, with absolute certainty, that former Pro Bowl DE Derrick Burgess is soon to be a former Oakland Raider.ย 

"Why?", you ask.ย 

Well, as it turns out, there are many reasons.

Do you believe that Al Davis will sit pat, with just theย five draft picks he has?ย 

I don't either.

He'll want more andย he'llย be looking forย ways to get more. He may trade down, with one of his higher picks, yet his history, however,ย goes against that, or he might trade a player or two.ย 

He may even do both, before the draft is over.

I consider trading a player to be the option Mr. Davis favors.ย 

So, who would he deal?ย 

The player he'd get theย most for, in return, could be RB Michael Bush. With the brilliant potential that Bush displayed in last year's season finale against Tampa Bay, many teams could come calling.

Alย Davis has seen too many Oakland RB's go down in the past few seasons to be keen on trading Bush. Yet, he would be willing to let pass-rushing DE Derrick Burgess go for the right price!

Trevor Scott's part-time performance last season might lead him to believe that he has a younger, healthier version of Burgess right now;ย That makes the Raiders' defensive captain expendable.ย ย 

Davis does not know what he'll get from Burgess if he keeps him. Burgess is in the last year of his four-year deal and he'll demand a pay-raise to resign with Oakland.ย 

Beingย healthy again, he could have another Pro-Bowl year; He'd deserve that payraise if he did.ย 

Yet, Davis may feel this is best time to replace Burgess.ย As long asย Burgess is still perceived to haveย Pro-Bowl potential, other teams could meet Davis' price.

The important question is which teams would be interested?ย 

There are many teams inย need of aย good pass-rushing DE.ย There are 3-4 teams that need DE's who can play the run and the pass, but that's not Burgess' forte.ย ย 

So nix those.

The Lions need almost everything on D.ย  The Bills, Bucs, Falcons, Cards and Eagles could use Burgess' talents as well; Also, should they trade DE Julius Peppers, add the Panthers to the list.

I'd expect that Al Davis would want at least a mid third-round pick, and, at most, a low first-round pick.ย 

Which teams are most likely to offer that much?

Theย Lions haveย two firsts,ย two thirds andย two sixths, and they only lack a fourth rounder.ย Their picks are also very high in each round.ย 

The Bills also holdย two firsts, andย they haveย one pick in the rest of the rounds. Theirย picks are fairly highย as well.ย 

The Bucs are missing a second, yet haveย three sevenths; Their picks are mid-rounders.ย 

The Falcons haveย two fifths and are missing a seventh; Their picks are low in each round.ย 

The Cards haveย two sevenths and their picks are at the bottom of each round.ย 

The Eagles haveย threeย fifths andย two sixths.ย Their picks are mid-rounders andย slightly lower than the Bucs'.

This is a considerable market for the services of Derrick Burgess. The Lions, Bills and Bucs have the most high picks to offer.ย These teams happen to be most in need of Mr. Burgess as well!ย 

Good news, I believe Al Davis' best chances to get a deal to his liking will be with theseย three teams.ย 

With more needs to fill than draft picks, Al Davis will soon say thanks and farewell to Derrick Burgess.ย We will miss him, and his new team will be thankful to have him.ย