Nate Silver Predicts Patriots-Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVII & Other AFC East News

Erik Frenz@ErikFrenzSenior Writer IJanuary 11, 2013

SEATTLE, WA - OCTOBER 14: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots calls a play at the line of scrimmage during a game against the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field on October 14, 2012 in Seattle, Washington. The Seahawks beat the Patriots 24-23.  (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images)
Stephen Brashear/Getty Images

Barack Obama won the election for President of the United States in November 2012, and if Nate Silver is right as he was back then, the New England Patriots will meet the Seattle Seahawks in a rematch in Super Bowl XLVII.

Silver joined ESPN's First Take to share his prediction.

As a political blogger for the New York Times, Silver's work is devoted to the use of numbers to predict future outcomes. He had a 100-percent accuracy rate in predicting how states would fall in the presidential election—a feat made more remarkable by the number of swing states (eight) in this year's election.

Silver pointed to Football Outsiders' advanced metrics as one tool he uses in helping predict games, and added, "The point differential is a better predictor going forward than just the wins and losses for how a team will do."

The Patriots had a final scoring differential of plus-226, far and away the highest mark of the season. In second place was the Denver Broncos (plus-192), with the Seahawks (plus-167) in third.

Silver said, "I'd say that Denver and New England are the two best teams in the NFL. ...I think that if you have a Denver-New England AFC Championship Game, that might be one of those cases where that's the de facto Super Bowl."

He said of New England:

Some of it does come down to—it's not that complicated really—you have the coaching and you have the quarterback, and they make sure that in every phase of the game, they're doing the little things well, and Bill Belichick's a guy who is kind of a sabermetric coach where he's looking for little edges.

Watch the rest of the video here:

And here's some more news from around the AFC East.

New England Patriots

Andy Benoit of FootballOutsiders.com takes a look at what the Texans will have to do to stop New England's offense with help of All-22 footage.

Jackie MacMullan of ESPN Boston shares the story of Logan Mankins' football journey.

New York Jets

Chris Gross of TurnOnTheJets.com looks at some potential quarterbacks the Jets could target in the draft.

Rich Cimini of ESPN New York pours the salt in the wound to highlight the top 10 ex-Jets in the playoffs.

Buffalo Bills

Howard Simon of WGR 550 SportsRadio says Mike Pettine is a great choice as the Bills' new defensive coordinator.

According to Conor Orr of the Newark (N.J.) Star-Ledger, Pettine called a majority of the defensive plays for the Jets.

Miami Dolphins

Bleacher Report Dolphins featured columnist Scott Altman explains why the Dolphins might want to stay away from big-name free-agent wide receivers.

Armando Salguero of The Miami Herald shares the thoughts of a Dolphins fan living in New England, who explains why the Dolphins need to aim for the Patriots at the top of the division.

Erik Frenz is the AFC East lead blogger for Bleacher Report. Be sure to follow Erik on Twitter and "like" the AFC East blog on Facebook to keep up with all the updates. Unless otherwise specified, all quotes are obtained firsthand or via team press releases.


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