Which Rookie Quarterback Has the Best Odds of Winning a Super Bowl Ring?
The 2012 season has been dominated by the rookie quarterback class, and that trend should continue heading into the playoffs.
While Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson battle it out for Rookie of the Year honors, they will also be fighting for postseason wins.
Which rookie has the best odds of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy this year? (Hint: it's not Brandon Weeden or Ryan Tannehill.)
Let's breakdown the odds for Wilson, Luck and RG3.
(Note: Washington still needs a win over the Dallas Cowboys to clinch a playoff berth.)
According to another B/R writer, Andrew Luck has the worst Super Bowl odds of all rookie quarterbacks. It is not because his Indianapolis Colts are the worst playoff team out there, but rather it's due to the strength of the AFC.
While the NFC has a great level of parity, the elite teams in the AFC greatly overshadow the competition. Teams like the Denver Broncos, Houston Texans (a team Indy has beaten) and New England Patriots will be tough playoff foes for the Colts.
Indy does have the emotional momentum of head coach Chuck Pagano's return to bolster its efforts and Luck is a legitimate Rookie of the Year candidate, but picking the Colts to win three games in the playoffs is a tall order.
Super Bowl Odds for Luck: 25-1
Robert Griffin III
There is a common belief that it is smarter to pick the hot team heading into the playoffs rather than the best team. If that is truly the case, then the Washington Redskins have to be a favorite (that is, assuming they make the postseason).
Washington has survived a minor injury to Robert Griffin III, and now a healthy RG3 is preparing for a playoff run. What makes the Redskins so unique is their offensive diversity.
Rookie running back Alfred Morris has gained over 1,400 yards on the ground this season. RG3 has over 3,100 yards passing and 750 yards rushing.
Washington can hurt you in multiple ways and, perhaps most importantly, has won its last three road games. The Redskins will not be a favorite, but the NFC race is wide open.
Super Bowl Odds for RG3: 15-1
The Seattle Seahawks are a bona fide Super Bowl contender.
There have been ups and downs for Seattle, but this is a dangerous football team, especially if games are played in Seattle.
The Seahawks are undefeated at home this season, and Russell Wilson has thrown 15 touchdowns compared to just two interceptions in his last seven games.
Seattle has a balanced offensive attack and a top 10 defense. A 42-13 Week 16 win over division rival San Francisco proved how good the Seahawks can be.
Super Bowl Odds for Wilson: 8-1