Bills vs. Dolphins: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Eliminating the Miami Dolphins from the playoffs would salvage the Buffalo Bills' season.

Psych.

Miami is still mathematically alive, but the odds that it sneaks in are so slim that if the Bills win, the victory wouldn’t be any more meaningful than their average triumph over the Dolphins.

Anyway, here’s everything you need to know about this Week 16 matchup.

Where: Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.

When: Sunday, Dec. 23rd at 1:00 p.m. ET

Watch: CBS, DIRECTV: 713, NFL Redzone or online at Game Rewind

Listen: Sirius XM Radio: 136 or online at Audio Pass 

Spread: Miami -3.5, according to Odds Shark

Last week, Miami defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17 points and the Buffalo Bills lost to the Seattle Seahawks by 33. That combination of spreads gives me faith in the Phins’ ability to beat the Bills by more than a field goal.

Over/Under: 41.5, according to Odds Shark

Only once in the past five weeks have the Bills scored more than 20 points. Only twice in the past seven weeks have the Dolphins scored more than 20 points.

This matchup is a no-brainer to go under.

Injury Report (via ESPN: BUF/MIA, as of Thursday, Dec. 20)

Buffalo DE Mark Anderson is probable with a knee injury.

Buffalo WR Donald Jones was placed on injured reserve with a calf injury.

Buffalo TE Scott Chandler is questionable with a groin injury.

Buffalo CB Leodis McKelvin was placed on injured reserve with a groin injury.

Buffalo S Jairus Byrd is probable with a shin injury.

Buffalo C Eric Wood is questionable with a knee injury.

Buffalo LB Arthur Moats was placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury.

Buffalo WR Marcus Easley is out with a hamstring injury.

Miami WR Davone Bess is questionable with a back injury.

Miami WR Brian Hartline is questionable with a back injury.

Miami RB Daniel Thomas was placed on injured reserve with a knee injury.

Miami FB Charles Clay was placed on injured reserve with a knee injury.

Miami LB Koa Misi is questionable with an ankle injury.

Miami CB Nolan Carroll is questionable with a knee injury.

Fantasy Big Plays

Buffalo: RB C.J. Spiller

Spiller is averaging an insane 6.5 yards per carry this season. If he received as many carries as Adrian Peterson, maybe he’d be in striking distance of 2,000 yards and the rushing record. Who knows?

But with Fred Jackson out, Spiller is at least guaranteed to get most of the carries, and he’ll make them count.

Miami: RB Reggie Bush

Bush is licking his chops.

Daniel Thomas is on the IR. Bush just rushed for 104 yards last week. And now he sees the Bills’ 30th-ranked run defense in his way.

Bush is guaranteed to have a huge day.

Keys to a Buffalo Win

Put the football in Spiller’s hands as many times as possible. He has become an elite running back, but the Bills rarely ever give him the numbers of touches elite backs usually receive.

With nothing to play for, Buffalo needs a spark and Spiller is more than capable of providing just that.

Keys to a Miami Win

If Ryan Tannehill protects the football, Miami will be well on its way to victory.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is almost guaranteed to cough up the football. He has six turnovers in the Bills’ last four games. As long as Tannehill and the Dolphins don’t give the ball right back, they’ll be fine.

Prediction

Miami surely wants to avenge its Week 11 loss to the Bills. At home, with more momentum entering the game and with more to play for, it’ll do just that.

Miami, 20-14

David Daniels is a featured columnist at Bleacher Report and a syndicated writer.

Follow @TheRealDDaniels