Warriors-Mavericks: NBA Odds and Picks for March 25, 2009

Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks
Mar 25, 2009 8:30PM - Click here for NBA Odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more NBA basketball picks from Ben Burns

I cashed a big ticket with the Warriors when they defeated the Mavericks a couple of weeks ago.

However, that was in Oakland, when the Warriors were well-rested. Tonight’s spot is much more difficult.

For starters, the Warriors are on the road instead of at home. That’s noteworthy as they’re an ugly 6-30 SU and 13-22-1 ATS, when playing away from home. That includes a money-burning 7-18 ATS (3-22 SU) mark, when they’ve played a road game with an over/under line of 210 or greater.

Additionally, the Warriors come off an extremely hard-fought loss at San Antonio last night. That type of defeat can be difficult to recover from, at the best of times.

This is tougher than a “typical” back-to-back spot though. That’s because they’ll also be playing their sixth game in nine nights. That’s an exhausting stretch, particularly for a banged-up Warriors team that runs up and down the floor so much.

Conversely, the Mavericks haven’t played since way back on Friday. Note that the Mavs are 17-12 ATS on the season, when facing a team which defeated them in their previous meeting. They’re also 10-5 ATS their last 15 games against teams which allow greater than 99 points per game.

Additionally, the Mavs are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS the last five times they hosted the Warriors. They won those five games by an average of 20 points, with each of the last three meetings here resulting in double-digit victories.

They should definitely be the “fresher” team tonight and that should lead to another double-digit victory. Consider laying the points.

Ben Burns had a profitable Tuesday, including a winner with the Jazz, his top TNT play. He’s now a FANTASTIC 56-34-2 his L92 NBA selections. As most know, Ben’s “Main Events,” which are ALWAYS featured on National TV, have been a SERIOUS CASH COW over the years. They’re already 2-0 over the last week and his latest goes today. Be there!