The Schwach Indicator: March 12
Texas A&M dropped only two spots in the Schwach Indicator standings following its loss to Texas Tech Wednesday night, and so the Aggies appear to be safe for the time being.
For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.
As the NCAA tournament approaches every March, one starts hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.
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I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal.
So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.
I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, director of operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.
We came up with the following formula.
For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.
For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.
This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home).
Check out Mosang Miles's latest slideshow article grouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.
Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Wednesday, March 11.
1 Connecticut 7932.25
2 Pittsburgh 7827.75
3 North Carolina 7723.00
4 Memphis 7430.00
5 Michigan State 7351.75
6 Duke 7210.00
7 Oklahoma 7155.75
8 Louisville 6876.00
9 Villanova 6273.50
10 Wake Forest 6233.25
11 Kansas 5964.50
12 Xavier 5847.75
13 Florida State 5708.75
14 Clemson 5629.50
15 UCLA 5585.25
16 Marquette 5541.00
17 Washington 5528.00
18 West Virginia 5476.75
19 Illinois 5473.25
20 Siena 5461.25
21 Gonzaga 5398.00
22 Syracuse 5395.25
23 Butler 5308.00
24 Missouri 5281.00
25 Brigham Young 5186.50
26 Creighton 5185.50
27 LSU 5080.00
28 Arizona State 5055.75
29 California 4936.50
30 Dayton 4856.00
31 Purdue 4842.25
32 Utah 4790.00
33 Tennessee 4641.75
34 Texas 4617.50
35 Ohio State 4563.00
36 Niagara 4504.75
37 Texas A&M 4495.25
38 Oklahoma State 4454.00
39 Boston College 4329.75
40 Minnesota 4258.75
41 Saint Mary's 4213.75
42 Wisconsin 4203.50
43 Utah State 4159.00
44 Illinois State 4126.25
45 Northern Iowa 4085.50
46 Penn State 4084.00
47 UNLV 3916.00
48 New Mexico 3890.50
49 Temple 3862.25
50 South Carolina 3792.00
51 UAB 3754.25
52 Rhode Island 3724.75
53 Michigan 3713.75
54 Virginia Commonwealth 3695.75
55 Florida 3644.25
56 Arizona 3596.75
57 Tulsa 3549.00
58 Cleveland State 3533.25
59 Virginia Tech 3495.25
60 USC 3485.00
61 Georgetown 3436.75
62 Western Kentucky 3427.75
63 Providence 3414.75
64 Maryland 3405.00
65 San Diego State 3400.75
66 Auburn 3379.50
67 Davidson 3361.75
68 Kansas State 3348.00
69 Miami (FL) 3213.75
70 Mississippi State 3177.50
71 George Mason 3107.00
72 Vanderbilt 3105.00
73 Washington State 3100.25
74 Northwestern 3060.00
75 Kentucky 3051.50
76 Notre Dame 3014.25
77 UTEP 2994.75
78 Cincinnati 2904.00
79 Stanford 2842.75
80 Duquesne 2735.25
81 Wisconsin-Green Bay 2731.00
82 Nebraska 2708.50
83 Baylor 2666.25
84 Vermont 2481.75
85 Houston 2461.25
86 Old Dominion 2454.50
87 Northeastern 2437.75
88 Hofstra 2351.75
89 Seton Hall 2322.50
90 La Salle 2302.50
91 Saint Joseph's 2270.00
92 Wright State 2227.50
93 Mississippi 2197.25
94 Nevada 2140.50
95 Bradley 2124.25
96 North Carolina State 2094.00
97 Arkansas-Little Rock 2052.00
98 Charleston 2025.00
99 Binghamton 2022.25
100 Buffalo 1977.50
101 Iowa 1977.00
102 Alabama 1908.50
103 American University 1864.00
104 Evansville 1837.00
105 St. John's 1783.25
106 North Dakota State 1777.25
107 Fairfield 1774.00
108 Saint Louis 1677.50
109 Miami (OH) 1651.00
110 Wyoming 1623.25
111 Rider 1528.25
112 Richmond 1426.25
113 Texas Tech 1414.00
114 Boise State 1388.00
115 Drake 1367.50
116 Stephen F. Austin 1338.75
117 Weber State 1301.75
118 James Madison 1195.75
119 Drexel 1169.50
120 Arkansas 1142.00
121 Virginia 1138.50
122 Robert Morris 1129.00
123 Portland State 1058.75
124 UCF 1044.75
125 North Texas 990.50
126 TCU 986.00
127 Milwaukee 984.75
128 Portland 966.75
129 Virginia Military 959.50
130 Wichita State 940.50
131 Akron 913.75
132 Oakland 911.75
133 Iowa State 905.00
134 Troy 886.00
135 Cornell 820.25
136 South Alabama 813.25
137 Oregon State 760.50
138 Kent State 723.50
139 Manhattan 701.50
140 Southern Miss 682.00
141 Idaho 680.50
142 New Mexico State 678.00
143 Georgia Tech 639.00
144 Illinois-Chicago 591.50
145 Bowling Green 580.50
146 San Diego 573.00
147 Southern Illinois 553.50
148 Massachusetts 528.50
149 Liberty 474.75
150 Radford 422.50
151 East Tennessee State 389.50
152 St. Bonaventure 359.50
153 Texas A&M-CC 300.50
154 Pacific 217.50
155 South Florida 213.25
156 Mount St. Mary's 210.50
157 Boston University 193.00
158 Georgia 166.50
159 Citadel 127.75
160 Tennessee-Martin 127.50
161 Morgan State 99.00
162 Marshall 67.50
163 Middle Tennessee State 58.50
164 Oral Roberts 55.50
165 Long Beach State 11.00
166 Sam Houston State -6.00
167 Charlotte -17.50
168 Albany -23.50
169 Oregon -37.50
170 Tulane -142.25
171 Morehead State -149.50
172 Nicholls State -152.50
173 Santa Clara -187.75
174 Rutgers -198.00
175 Ohio -242.50
176 Chattanooga -247.50
177 Belmont -271.50
178 UC Santa Barbara -308.50
179 Murray State -340.50
180 DePaul -380.50
181 George Washington -403.50
182 Cal State Northridge -435.00
183 Navy -438.00
184 Holy Cross -461.50
185 Wofford -493.50
186 UMBC -507.75
187 Louisiana Tech -516.50
188 Jacksonville -547.00
189 Missouri State -574.00
190 Indiana State -639.00
191 Loyola (IL) -655.50
192 East Carolina -678.50
193 Loyola (MD) -689.50
194 Texas-San Antonio -704.50
195 Iona -717.50
196 Montana -718.00
197 UC Riverside -729.00
198 Eastern Kentucky -755.50
199 Stony Brook -771.50
200 Colorado State -801.25
201 Western Carolina -816.75
202 Indiana -889.50
203 Texas-Arlington -899.50
204 Canisius -933.50
205 Alabama State -950.75
206 New Hampshire -956.75
207 Austin Peay -963.00
208 San Jose State -1083.50
209 Delaware -1117.00
210 Mercer -1117.00
211 Idaho State -1131.50
212 Sacred Heart -1144.50
213 Cal State Fullerton -1195.00
214 Hawaii -1206.00
215 North Carolina-Asheville -1231.00
216 Montana State -1241.00
217 Towson -1292.75
218 Colorado -1319.25
219 Lamar -1334.50
220 Jackson State -1366.00
221 St. Peter's -1379.50
222 Florida International -1391.50
223 IUPUI -1447.50
224 Denver -1465.00
225 Rice -1476.00
226 Presbyterian -1488.50
227 Fresno State -1515.00
228 Lipscomb -1565.50
229 Utah Valley -1567.00
230 San Francisco -1578.25
231 Samford -1609.75
232 Arkansas State -1669.50
233 Georgia State -1709.50
234 Air Force -1712.25
235 Eastern Washington -1721.00
236 Youngstown State -1731.50
237 Long Island -1760.50
238 Marist -1777.75
239 UC Davis -1843.75
240 Valparaiso -1875.50
241 William & Mary -1894.75
242 UC Irvine -1962.50
243 Southern Methodist -1974.00
244 Chicago State -1976.50
245 Yale -1981.00
246 Texas State -2004.50
247 Coppin State -2004.75
248 IPFW -2008.00
249 Lehigh -2009.50
250 Harvard -2044.50
251 Appalachian State -2075.00
252 Gardner-Webb -2155.50
253 Ball State -2185.50
254 Northern Colorado -2233.00
255 Campbell -2323.50
256 Stetson -2324.00
257 Savannah State -2366.50
258 Longwood -2367.00
259 South Carolina State -2367.25
260 Wagner -2408.50
261 New Orleans -2425.00
262 Louisiana-Lafayette -2442.50
263 Central Connecticut State -2451.00
264 Winthrop -2479.00
265 North Carolina A&T -2507.00
266 Quinnipiac -2534.00
267 Elon -2544.00
268 Southern Utah -2558.25
269 South Dakota State -2613.50
270 Princeton -2624.00
271 Southeastern Louisiana -2658.50
272 Tennessee State -2700.50
273 Columbia -2704.25
274 North Carolina-Wilmington -2708.50
275 Pepperdine -2781.75
276 Detroit -2787.00
277 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2791.00
278 Bethune-Cookman -2793.25
279 Georgia Southern -2871.25
280 Prairie View A&M -2873.50
281 Jacksonville State -2897.00
282 Hampton -2956.50
283 McNeese State -3013.00
284 Louisiana-Monroe -3035.00
285 Eastern Illinois -3048.00
286 Pennsylvania -3122.50
287 USC Upstate -3124.00
288 Maine -3132.75
289 Cal State Bakersfield -3135.50
290 Northern Arizona -3182.50
291 Western Michigan -3192.50
292 Centenary -3275.50
293 Brown -3345.50
294 Coastal Carolina -3347.00
295 Central Michigan -3352.50
296 Tennessee Tech -3375.00
297 Central Arkansas -3380.75
298 Fordham -3386.00
299 St. Francis (NY) -3403.00
300 Norfolk State -3503.50
301 Texas-Pan American -3511.50
302 Northwestern State -3608.00
303 Army -3643.00
304 Hartford -3657.75
305 Cal Poly -3709.75
306 Florida A&M -3754.25
307 Bucknell -3788.50
308 Florida Atlantic -3808.75
309 Northern Illinois -3809.50
310 Charleston Southern -3836.50
311 Colgate -3865.50
312 Toledo -3870.00
313 Florida Gulf Coast -3871.50
314 Lafayette -3873.50
315 UMKC -3984.75
316 Bryant University -4070.75
317 Western Illinois -4150.00
318 Loyola Marymount -4208.50
319 Alabama A&M -4231.00
320 Dartmouth -4236.50
321 Delaware State -4449.50
322 High Point -4458.00
323 Houston Baptist -4504.50
324 Eastern Michigan -4505.00
325 North Florida -4528.00
326 Furman -4541.00
327 Howard -4611.50
328 Monmouth -4711.75
329 Fairleigh Dickinson -4734.00
330 St. Francis (PA) -4746.50
331 UNC Greensboro -4751.00
332 Southern University -4797.50
333 Mississippi Valley State -4884.50
334 Winston-Salem -5357.50
335 Texas Southern -5500.50
336 Kennesaw State -5543.00
337 Grambling State -5761.50
338 North Carolina Central -5962.50
339 Alcorn State -6059.50
340 Maryland-Eastern Shore -6187.00
341 Sacramento State -6450.50
342 Southeast Missouri State -6615.25
343 N.J.I.T. -8848.50
Jordan Schwartz is Bleacher Report's New York Yankees Community Leader. His book "Memoirs of the Unaccomplished Man" is available at amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, and authorhouse.com.
Jordan can be reached at jordanschwartz2003@yahoo.com



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