Last-Minute Odds, Picks Against the Spread for NFL Week 7

Need your last minute odds and picks against the spread for Week 7 season of the NFL season? 

You've come to the right place. 

In the following slides, we'll break down each game on the Week 7 schedule in terms of favorites and underdogs, Vegas point spreads and who we think will cover each spread.

Betting on the NFL is never easy, but we'll do our best to handicap each matchup for you. 

For my official score predictions for each game, refer to this piece here. 

Titans-Bills, Cardinals-Vikings, Browns-Colts

Tennessee at Buffalo (-3.0)

Both of these teams are coming off important Week 6 wins, with the Titans beating Pittsburgh last Thursday night and the Bills upsetting the Cardinals in Arizona.

A three-point spread here seems about right, but trust the trend numbers: Tennessee is 0-3 against the spread as the road underdog this season, and Buffalo is 2-0 as the favorite. The Bills will make it 3-for-3 covering three-point spreads in 2012. 

ATS: Buffalo

Arizona at Minnesota (-7.0)

The Cardinals are 3-0 against the spread as the underdog this season, so taking Minnesota involves some risk.

But consider that the Vikings have won this matchup by a touchdown or more in two straight head-to-head meetings, and ESPN's AccuScore is giving Minnesota a 26-16 edge in its 10,000-simulation test. Vikings can cover this touchdown spread at home. 

ATS: Minnesota

Cleveland at Indianapolis (-2.0)

The Colts may be 4-1 in this matchup since 2001, but the Browns have covered or washed the spread in each of the last five games. Considering the Colts are just two-point favorites, Cleveland would need a one-point loss, tie or straight-up win to cover this spread.

I think they hit on one of the three options, with Cleveland's first road win of the 2012 season as my likely result. 

ATS: Cleveland

Ravens-Texans, Packers-Rams, Cowboys-Panthers

Baltimore at Houston (-7.0)

Obviously, the Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb factor come into play in this seven-point spread for Houston. I wouldn't trust it. The Ravens have never lost in six ever tries against the Texans, including two wins over the last 375 days or so.

Houston isn't completely healthy either, especially on defense. Joe Flacco and Ray Rice win this spread by scoring 30-plus points on the road. 

ATS: Baltimore

Green Bay at St. Louis (+5.0)

This has danger written all over it from a betting perspective. The Packers, fresh off a 18-point win over the previously unbeaten Texans, are traveling into a betting nightmare in St. Louis.

While the Rams are 3-0 (both against the spread and win-loss) as the home underdog this season, the Packers are 0-2 as the road favorite (losses in Seattle and Indianapolis). That said, the safe money is probably on Green Bay, who have won three-straight games in this matchup by 19 or more points. 

ATS: Green Bay

Dallas at Carolina (+3.0)

Dallas as the away favorite was a road Vegas had to go down after Carolina started 1-4 this season. But given the bye week off, and the crushing loss the Cowboys suffered through in Week 6, this could be prime upset time.

Plus, the Panthers are 2-0 against the spread as the underdog, while the Cowboys are 0-3 as the favorite. Carolina covers. 

ATS: Carolina

Redskins-Giants, Saints-Buccaneers, Patriots-Jets

Washington at New York (-6.0)

If this game isn't classic cover-time for the Redskins, I don't know what is. The Giants are returning home after arguably the NFL's top road win this season, so they'll be feeling plenty good about themselves.

Letdown time, especially with the game's most explosive rookie coming into town? Rex Grossman covered both times against the Giants in 2011. We think Robert Griffin III can do the same Sunday. 

ATS: Washington

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+2.0)

The two-point spread doesn't allow much wiggle room for picking the Bucs. But if you're one of the few that thinks Tampa Bay will win outright Sunday, the two points doesn't matter.

Considering that the Bucs are 3-0 as the underdog against the spread this season, and that Tampa Bay won 26-20 last season at home, picking the Bucs to cover here isn't the craziest thing to do. 

ATS: Tampa Bay

New York at New England (-11.0)

We're glad Vegas didn't get cute with this line. 11 is about right, but they definitely could have gone into the seven- or eight-point range considering the wackiness of last week.

That said, New England looks like a decent bet here. The Patriots will win this game by double-digits thanks to a breakneck offense the Jets could only dream of replicating. 

ATS: New England

Jaguars-Raiders, Steelers-Bengals, Lions-Bears

Jacksonville at Oakland (-7.0)

The Jaguars have covered both road spreads this season, in Indianapolis and in Minnesota. This is a similar matchup talent-wise, but the Raiders look like a team that might be trending up after staying punch-for-punch with the unbeaten Falcons a week ago.

Oakland gets its first-ever win in this series Sunday, and by more than a touchdown. 

ATS: Oakland

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+1.0)

A one-point spread is really as much a a toss up as you can get in the NFL. It's your call. Some recent trends may point Cincinnati's way.

While the Bengals have yet to be a home underdog this season, the Steelers are 0-2 as the road favorite. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 against the spread in 2012, too. 

ATS: Cincinnati

Detroit at Chicago (-6.5)

Surprise lock of the week? Maybe. Just maybe. The Bears have been very good against the spread this season, especially at home. Chicago is 2-0 as the home favorite.

Detroit also hasn't beat the Bears in Chicago since 2007, losing by an average of two touchdowns. The Lions are just 1-4 against the spread, too. I like the Bears a lot in this both from a win-loss and against-the-spread perspective.