NFL Week 6 Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six opportunities following a bye week, as they get set to host the Kansas City Chiefs inside Raymond James Stadium, with Sunday's opening kickoff scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Sports bettors will find that the Buccaneers are four-point home favorites in the current Week 6 NFL betting odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has dropped two points from its opening number to settle in at 40.5.

Let's take a closer look at this non-conference affair from a betting perspective, while offering a pro football prediction along the way.

Kansas City Chiefs

Brady Quinn will get his shot as quarterback of the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, as starter Matt Cassel is out with a concussion.  

The Chiefs will need to avoid mistakes if they plan on picking up their second victory of the season, entering this week with a minus-15 turnover differential, which ranks last in the NFL by a wide margin.

Quinn will likely hand the ball off frequently in the Sunshine State, as the team is second in the league in running the football.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Greg Schiano is coming off his first bye week as an NFL coach, which could allow his team to take a step forward in this spot, especially after getting out-gained in its first four contests.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will need to jump on the Kansas City Chiefs early, as they've been outscored by a 37-22 margin in the fourth quarter.

Sports bettors may have a hard time ignoring that the Buccaneers are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games.

Las Vegas Perspective

I reached out to Jimmy Vaccaro earlier this week about this high-profile affair. He serves as the public relations director for William Hill US, and here's what he had to say:

"Tampa Bay should be able to avoid disaster, but they'll be coming from behind in what I think will be a high-scoring game."

Prediction

As discussed in the video, I believe the early line movement in this contest tells the story, as the oddsmaker is inviting action on the road underdog.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are known as being a terrible home favorite, but they get the job done against an opponent that has turned the ball over in reckless fashion in 2012.

NFL Week 6 Pick Against the Spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4

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