2012 College Football Week 5 Power Rankings: Alabama Gunning for Repeat

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	87.3	32.5	16.0
2.	Georgia Bulldogs	+2	84.4	32.0	16.8
3.	USC Trojans	-	83.7	34.9	19.8
4.	LSU Tigers	-2	81.8	29.1	15.5
5.	Oregon Ducks	-	79.8	31.6	18.9
6.	Florida State Seminoles	+1	78.4	29.9	17.7
7.	West Virginia Mountaineers	+1	76.1	32.0	21.6
8.	Oklahoma Sooners	-2	74.5	30.4	19.9
9.	South Carolina Gamecocks	-	73.8	27.3	17.6
10.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+3	73.6	28.8	19.0
11.	Texas Longhorns	+3	73.6	27.2	18.0
12.	Clemson Tigers	+3	72.8	29.8	21.3
13.	TCU Horned Frogs	-1	72.5	30.2	21.0
14.	Stanford Cardinal	+3	71.7	27.7	19.2
15.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-5	70.8	28.9	19.5
16.	Florida Gators	+10	70.8	25.3	17.3
17.	Michigan State Spartans	+7	69.7	26.5	18.5
18.	Michigan Wolverines	+2	69.4	26.8	18.9
19.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-	69.1	26.6	18.7
20.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-4	68.8	29.2	21.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-	68.7	28.3	20.8
22.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-11	67.8	28.8	21.9
23.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+32	66.8	25.6	19.1
24.	Boise State Broncos	+1	66.2	28.9	22.3
25.	Texas A&M Aggies	-3	66.1	27.5	20.8
26.	Washington Huskies	+6	65.6	28.4	22.6
27.	Kansas State Wildcats	+6	65.6	26.2	20.5
28.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-10	64.7	28.6	23.1
29.	Tennessee Volunteers	+1	64.2	25.7	20.1
30.	Louisville Cardinals	-7	64.1	26.7	21.1
31.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+4	63.9	25.6	20.3
32.	Oregon State Beavers	+20	63.5	28.1	22.5
33.	Arizona State Sun Devils	+10	63.3	27.2	22.0
34.	Purdue Boilermakers	+5	62.1	26.0	21.4
35.	Missouri Tigers	-8	61.8	24.9	20.0
36.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	-5	61.7	25.7	20.9
37.	Wisconsin Badgers	+1	61.2	26.4	21.6
38.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-2	60.8	26.8	22.0
39.	Arizona Wildcats	-10	60.4	27.8	23.9
40.	UCLA Bruins	-12	60.3	26.0	21.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Northwestern Wildcats	-	59.7	26.3	22.5
42.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+6	59.7	28.6	24.9
43.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+2	59.7	23.6	19.9
44.	Baylor Bears	-2	59.5	26.8	22.7
45.	California Golden Bears	+1	59.2	25.7	22.0
46.	Auburn Tigers	+7	58.5	24.5	21.4
47.	Iowa State Cyclones	+4	57.7	25.5	22.3
48.	Brigham Young Cougars	-8	57.6	24.5	21.0
49.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-2	57.2	24.1	21.1
50.	Utah Utes	-16	57.1	23.1	20.5
51.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+5	56.8	25.1	22.7
52.	Washington State Cougars	-3	56.7	27.0	24.5
53.	Virginia Cavaliers	-9	56.2	25.2	22.3
54.	South Florida Bulls	-17	56.2	25.2	22.8
55.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-1	56.1	25.3	22.4
56.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+1	55.9	25.4	23.5
57.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-7	55.1	24.8	22.8
58.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+2	54.4	25.3	23.1
59.	Ohio Bobcats	+3	52.5	24.2	23.3
60.	UCF Knights	-1	51.2	25.2	24.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+2	51.1	22.2	21.5
62.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+4	50.1	25.5	25.3
63.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+6	49.9	26.2	26.4
64.	Toledo Rockets	-	49.8	25.5	25.4
65.	Connecticut Huskies	-	49.6	21.1	21.2
66.	Syracuse Orange	-8	49.5	24.4	23.9
67.	Duke Blue Devils	-	49.0	25.1	25.8
68.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-7	48.7	20.9	21.0
69.	Maryland Terrapins	+2	48.1	22.4	23.4
70.	Boston College Eagles	-2	46.7	22.2	23.4
71.	Mississippi Rebels	+2	46.4	21.1	22.5
72.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-	45.8	24.5	25.9
73.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+2	45.4	24.8	26.7
74.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	+3	45.3	22.1	23.4
75.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+4	44.5	24.2	26.5
76.	Utah State Aggies	-6	44.4	24.1	25.9
77.	Western Michigan Broncos	+5	44.1	25.0	27.2
78.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+5	44.0	22.8	24.6
79.	Temple Owls	-5	43.8	20.7	23.3
80.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	-4	43.5	24.5	27.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Houston Cougars	+3	43.2	24.7	27.3
82.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	+9	42.8	23.1	25.8
83.	Navy Midshipmen	+2	42.1	22.1	25.1
84.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+4	41.7	21.9	24.8
85.	San Diego State Aztecs	-7	41.3	22.5	26.0
86.	Kansas Jayhawks	-	41.0	23.4	26.2
87.	Indiana Hoosiers	-6	40.8	22.3	25.7
88.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	+2	40.4	24.2	27.9
89.	Colorado Buffaloes	+12	40.3	21.2	25.2
90.	Kentucky Wildcats	-10	40.0	17.9	21.2
91.	FIU Golden Panthers	+1	38.6	22.6	26.7
92.	Bowling Green Falcons	+1	38.5	21.6	25.8
93.	Air Force Falcons	-4	38.1	22.4	26.8
94.	Ball State Cardinals	+1	37.8	22.6	27.5
95.	Hawaii Warriors	+2	37.4	20.3	25.3
96.	Wyoming Cowboys	-2	37.3	20.5	25.6
97.	East Carolina Pirates	-1	37.2	21.4	26.7
98.	Rice Owls	+1	35.9	22.6	28.2
99.	UTEP Miners	-1	35.4	21.5	27.3
100.	Central Michigan Chippewas	+4	35.4	22.1	28.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Army Black Knights	-1	33.2	19.2	26.1
102.	San Jose State Spartans	+1	33.1	22.8	29.6
103.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+6	32.2	20.2	27.0
104.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	-17	31.2	18.5	25.8
105.	North Texas Mean Green	+6	28.2	20.1	28.9
106.	Colorado State Rams	-	28.1	17.3	26.0
107.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-	27.9	15.7	24.1
108.	Troy Trojans	-3	27.3	21.0	30.3
109.	Buffalo Bulls	+5	26.3	17.9	27.5
110.	UNLV Rebels	+6	25.9	18.5	28.1
111.	UAB Blazers	+2	25.9	19.9	29.7
112.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	-2	24.9	19.5	30.4
113.	Tulane Green Wave	-11	24.3	17.4	27.9
114.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-6	23.4	16.2	27.6
115.	New Mexico State Aggies	-3	23.0	19.6	31.0
116.	Memphis Tigers	+1	19.7	16.9	30.0
117.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-2	19.7	15.9	29.5
118.	Akron Zips	-	19.4	16.2	29.5
119.	New Mexico Lobos	-	18.9	17.1	30.2
120.	Idaho Vandals	-	17.5	17.0	30.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
121.	Texas State Bobcats	-	14.1	16.0	31.7
122.	Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners	+1	12.9	15.8	33.0
123.	South Alabama Jaguars	-1	11.8	14.8	32.6
124.	Massachusetts Minutemen	-	7.9	11.9	31.6