Dave's College Basketball Picks, Mar. 5: Missouri State at Wichita State

Missouri State (11-19, 3-15) against Wichita State (15-15, 8-10)

Game played at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Mo

Line: Wichita State -2

Missouri State finished the regular season with a 52-69 road loss against Indiana State. The loss was the second in a row for the Bears and their sixth defeat in their last seven contests.

Missouri State finished in last place with four games separating them from the closest team. These two teams split the regular season series with each team winning at home.

Wichita State fell to Southern Illinois 68-72 on Saturday to finish in a three-way tie for fifth place in the Missouri Valley Conference standings. Wichita State now has to perform away from home to advance, and the Shockers have been terrible on the road. Wichita State defeated Indiana State and Siena in their only road victories this season.

ATS-

Missouri State is 9-18-2 against the spread including 5-8 on the road

Wichita State is 11-14 against the spread including 6-8 on the road

Not that these teams are good to start with, but they both are very bad road teams. Both teams won just two games all season on the road and have poor ATS numbers there as well.

Both teams have trouble scoring and I expect a close low scoring affair. While I think Missouri State has a shot here, I’m going with the Shockers, as I think they have a better chance of having success on offense in a low scoring game.

Dave’s Pick: Wichita State -2

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