The Schwach Indicator: March 3
This is the eighth week of the Schwach Indicator standings. For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.
As the NCAA tournament approaches every March, one starts hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.
I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal.
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So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.
I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, director of operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.
We came up with the following formula.
For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.
For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.
This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home).
Check out Mosang Miles's latest slideshow article grouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.
Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Monday, March 2.
1 Connecticut 8037.25
2 Pittsburgh 7226.00
3 North Carolina 7043.25
4 Memphis 6975.25
5 Duke 6956.00
6 Oklahoma 6914.75
7 Michigan State 6747.00
8 Louisville 6225.00
9 Villanova 6062.50
10 Xavier 5776.00
11 Kansas 5735.00
12 Wake Forest 5472.00
13 Clemson 5468.50
14 Florida State 5466.25
15 Illinois 5387.75
16 Marquette 5308.00
17 Washington 5280.00
18 Butler 5256.50
19 LSU 5222.50
20 UCLA 5206.00
21 Creighton 5129.00
22 West Virginia 5068.50
23 Missouri 5019.75
24 Purdue 4993.00
25 Arizona State 4983.50
26 Syracuse 4910.00
27 Gonzaga 4827.00
28 Brigham Young 4724.00
29 Utah 4719.50
30 Siena 4685.50
31 California 4662.50
32 Dayton 4652.75
33 Texas 4503.75
34 Tennessee 4333.75
35 Boston College 4255.75
36 Niagara 4126.75
37 Wisconsin 4107.75
38 Saint Mary's 4018.75
39 Minnesota 4005.75
40 Utah State 4004.00
41 Texas A&M 3993.75
42 Ohio State 3968.00
43 Rhode Island 3956.75
44 Oklahoma State 3948.25
45 UNLV 3868.00
46 Penn State 3796.00
47 UAB 3774.00
48 Maryland 3601.75
49 Georgetown 3595.25
50 South Carolina 3559.00
51 Virginia Tech 3536.25
52 Arizona 3492.75
53 Illinois State 3473.75
54 Cincinnati 3432.50
55 Providence 3379.25
56 Florida 3367.75
57 Davidson 3365.25
58 Temple 3342.25
59 Kentucky 3339.75
60 Northern Iowa 3334.25
61 New Mexico 3282.00
62 Kansas State 3266.00
63 Michigan 3252.75
64 Tulsa 3215.50
65 Miami (FL) 3147.25
66 Virginia Commonwealth 3091.75
67 USC 3070.00
68 San Diego State 2969.50
69 Washington State 2866.25
70 Wisconsin-Green Bay 2854.75
71 Vermont 2799.50
72 George Mason 2749.50
73 Northeastern 2731.00
74 Western Kentucky 2730.25
75 Notre Dame 2642.50
76 Auburn 2629.00
77 Northwestern 2561.00
78 Cleveland State 2468.50
79 Mississippi State 2464.75
80 Baylor 2397.00
81 Old Dominion 2370.00
82 Hofstra 2359.00
83 Vanderbilt 2343.50
84 UTEP 2317.00
85 Houston 2258.25
86 Duquesne 2258.00
87 Arkansas-Little Rock 2238.00
88 Stanford 2231.50
89 Nebraska 2153.00
90 Wright State 2046.50
91 La Salle 1999.50
92 Saint Joseph's 1979.75
93 Bradley 1937.00
94 Evansville 1931.50
95 Mississippi 1914.25
96 Buffalo 1899.50
97 North Carolina State 1875.50
98 Seton Hall 1826.75
99 Wyoming 1815.25
100 American University 1782.50
101 Iowa 1780.50
102 Binghamton 1776.50
103 Nevada 1660.00
104 Charleston 1613.75
105 Drake 1554.75
106 Miami (OH) 1545.75
107 Saint Louis 1516.50
108 Alabama 1514.25
109 Fairfield 1498.00
110 Rider 1497.50
111 Drexel 1495.50
112 Boise State 1387.00
113 St. John's 1328.00
114 North Dakota State 1326.75
115 Weber State 1289.75
116 Arkansas 1223.50
117 James Madison 1131.50
118 UCF 1069.25
119 Portland 1043.25
120 Milwaukee 1028.50
121 Stephen F. Austin 1021.50
122 Troy 997.00
123 TCU 994.75
124 Oregon State 958.50
125 Virginia Military 931.00
126 Akron 917.00
127 Virginia 890.00
128 Manhattan 859.00
129 North Texas 823.00
130 Wichita State 818.75
131 Iowa State 816.50
132 Oakland 798.50
133 Southern Miss 793.00
134 Texas Tech 769.00
135 Robert Morris 750.50
136 San Diego 737.00
137 Portland State 726.75
138 Richmond 695.50
139 Cornell 652.00
140 Southern Illinois 648.50
141 New Mexico State 611.00
142 Liberty 554.25
143 Boston University 524.00
144 Bowling Green 502.00
145 Illinois-Chicago 491.00
146 Charlotte 444.00
147 Georgia Tech 372.50
148 Idaho 354.00
149 Tennessee-Martin 351.75
150 Citadel 343.00
151 Oral Roberts 308.00
152 St. Bonaventure 283.50
153 South Alabama 272.25
154 South Florida 254.50
155 Kent State 234.50
156 Marshall 217.50
157 Radford 146.50
158 Oregon 138.25
159 Mount St. Mary's 119.00
160 Massachusetts 113.50
161 Morgan State 36.75
162 Pacific 2.00
163 Ohio -5.50
164 Middle Tennessee State -5.75
165 Long Beach State -28.00
166 Navy -40.00
167 Wofford -123.00
168 Texas A&M-CC -171.00
169 George Washington -172.50
170 Murray State -176.00
171 Sam Houston State -176.00
172 East Tennessee State -177.00
173 Tulane -194.00
174 Belmont -223.00
175 Georgia -229.00
176 Rutgers -234.50
177 Louisiana Tech -295.50
178 East Carolina -313.50
179 Texas-San Antonio -331.50
180 Iona -335.50
181 Santa Clara -339.00
182 Albany -404.00
183 Missouri State -426.00
184 Montana -431.50
185 Loyola (MD) -444.00
186 Loyola (IL) -466.75
187 Texas-Arlington -495.50
188 Eastern Kentucky -519.00
189 DePaul -527.25
190 Colorado State -536.00
191 Holy Cross -549.50
192 Cal State Northridge -558.50
193 UC Riverside -570.50
194 Stony Brook -586.50
195 Jacksonville -602.00
196 Nicholls State -611.50
197 Chattanooga -679.00
198 Western Carolina -681.50
199 UC Santa Barbara -722.00
200 Morehead State -789.75
201 Alabama State -816.75
202 UMBC -839.75
203 Indiana -847.00
204 Indiana State -849.50
205 Delaware -900.00
206 Austin Peay -945.00
207 Hawaii -948.00
208 San Jose State -959.50
209 Lamar -972.25
210 New Hampshire -1091.00
211 Idaho State -1098.00
212 North Carolina-Asheville -1129.00
213 Canisius -1135.50
214 Colorado -1138.50
215 Sacred Heart -1164.50
216 St. Peter's -1212.00
217 Cal State Fullerton -1214.25
218 Mercer -1215.25
219 IUPUI -1242.50
220 San Francisco -1284.00
221 Denver -1364.75
222 Fresno State -1377.75
223 Ball State -1393.50
224 Florida International -1415.00
225 Presbyterian -1426.50
226 Montana State -1428.00
227 Rice -1453.75
228 Youngstown State -1463.00
229 Long Island -1464.00
230 Arkansas State -1476.50
231 Lipscomb -1527.50
232 Jackson State -1594.25
233 Utah Valley -1647.50
234 Valparaiso -1660.50
235 Samford -1662.50
236 Lehigh -1688.50
237 Yale -1690.50
238 UC Davis -1698.00
239 Georgia State -1737.00
240 Air Force -1755.00
241 Towson -1784.00
242 Eastern Washington -1795.50
243 Harvard -1807.00
244 William & Mary -1816.50
245 IPFW -1829.00
246 Gardner-Webb -1907.00
247 Chicago State -1919.50
248 Marist -1941.00
249 Louisiana-Lafayette -1989.00
250 UC Irvine -2004.50
251 Coppin State -2011.25
252 Texas State -2014.50
253 Southern Methodist -2032.50
254 Northern Colorado -2052.25
255 Appalachian State -2067.00
256 Winthrop -2138.00
257 Campbell -2166.50
258 North Carolina A&T -2238.00
259 Wagner -2253.50
260 New Orleans -2262.00
261 Princeton -2282.00
262 Stetson -2290.00
263 Central Connecticut State -2323.50
264 Longwood -2340.25
265 McNeese State -2357.50
266 Savannah State -2397.00
267 Tennessee State -2438.00
268 Columbia -2463.75
269 South Carolina State -2544.50
270 Hampton -2544.75
271 Quinnipiac -2546.50
272 Western Michigan -2548.00
273 South Dakota State -2568.50
274 Pennsylvania -2593.00
275 Elon -2603.00
276 Southern Utah -2610.50
277 North Carolina-Wilmington -2631.25
278 Georgia Southern -2655.75
279 Detroit -2668.00
280 Maine -2792.75
281 Louisiana-Monroe -2806.50
282 Eastern Illinois -2826.50
283 Jacksonville State -2857.50
284 Pepperdine -2860.00
285 Cal State Bakersfield -2883.00
286 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2884.00
287 Bethune-Cookman -2903.25
288 Southeastern Louisiana -2933.00
289 Prairie View A&M -2993.50
290 Northern Illinois -2997.50
291 Coastal Carolina -3108.00
292 Northwestern State -3139.50
293 Centenary -3153.00
294 USC Upstate -3182.25
295 Fordham -3209.00
296 Northern Arizona -3222.00
297 Tennessee Tech -3267.50
298 Cal Poly -3269.75
299 St. Francis (NY) -3339.50
300 Central Arkansas -3388.75
301 Florida A&M -3456.75
302 Central Michigan -3470.50
303 Texas-Pan American -3494.25
304 Toledo -3518.50
305 Brown -3540.00
306 Bucknell -3589.00
307 Army -3593.00
308 Norfolk State -3618.00
309 Florida Atlantic -3703.00
310 Hartford -3709.25
311 Dartmouth -3711.00
312 Charleston Southern -3733.50
313 Lafayette -3785.50
314 Colgate -3828.00
315 Alabama A&M -3846.00
316 Howard -3917.00
317 Florida Gulf Coast -4004.00
318 UMKC -4005.75
319 Loyola Marymount -4043.50
320 Bryant University -4132.25
321 Western Illinois -4135.50
322 Delaware State -4235.00
323 Houston Baptist -4240.50
324 Furman -4263.00
325 High Point -4276.50
326 Southern University -4369.50
327 Eastern Michigan -4400.00
328 Mississippi Valley State -4555.00
329 North Florida -4607.00
330 UNC Greensboro -4652.50
331 Fairleigh Dickinson -4762.50
332 Monmouth -4765.25
333 St. Francis (PA) -4776.00
334 Grambling State -5014.25
335 Winston-Salem -5107.00
336 Texas Southern -5415.00
337 Maryland-Eastern Shore -5471.00
338 Alcorn State -5546.50
339 Kennesaw State -5653.50
340 North Carolina Central -6001.50
341 Sacramento State -6533.00
342 Southeast Missouri State -6595.00
343 N.J.I.T. -7796.00
Jordan Schwartz is Bleacher Report's New York Yankees Community Leader. His book "Memoirs of the Unaccomplished Man" is available at amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, and authorhouse.com.
Jordan can be reached at jordanschwartz2003@yahoo.com



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