Predicting Over/Under Wins for the AFC South

Since the NFL implemented its 32-team realignment 10 years ago, the AFC South was the Indianapolis Colts' division to lose. But those days are over.

It was the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans that dueled for the division title in 2011. While the Texans had clinched before the two teams met in a bizarre season finale, Tennessee needed a win and some help to make the playoffs. The Titans won by a point. The help never came. 

Could the AFC South rise again and send two, or even three teams to the playoffs in 2012?

Houston will benefit from a healthy Matt Schaub at quarterback. Arian Foster might be the most underrated running back in football. But they traded away middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans and leave themselves in a leadership vacuum on both sides of the ball. 

Of all four teams, Tennessee might benefit the most from a full offseason, of which they were deprived in the CBA negotiations last summer. Second-year head coach Mike Munchak will have a chance to fully install his system. The contract issue with running back Chris Johnson has been settled, and he is now free to mow down defenders as he did in the waning weeks of last season.   

Jacksonville appears to be rudderless. Their best player is skipping minicamp, as Maurice Jones-Drew remains displeased over his contract, and perhaps his team. Quarterback Blaine Gabbert is already being written off in some circles. And why not...he's played almost an entire season.

And of course, Indianapolis enters the Andrew Luck era, hoping to rebuild the organization with the blueprint they used with Peyton Manning over a decade ago. If the Colts have their way, history will be repeating itself again at the top of the standings. 

NFL Lead Blogger Aaron Nagler continues our game of Over-Under with the AFC South in our latest debate. Enjoy our video above and leave us your predictions in the comments. Or don't. I'm not your mother.