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College Basketball Betting Picks: Florida vs. South Carolina

Touthouse HandicappersFeb 3, 2009

Free Pick: Florida -8.5 (-110) - Tue February 3rd ‘09 9:00p
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The Florida Gators are a perfect 13-0 straight up at home this season while winning by a hefty average of +18.8 points per game, so we look for another handy victory when they host the South Carolina Gamecocks tonight.

The Gators are the second-highest ranked SEC team on the Pomeroy Ratings, at No. 31, trailing only No. 25 Kentucky. The Gators are averaging 78.6 points per game and they are hitting an amazing 49.3 percent of their field-goal attempts at home. Furthermore, they are hitting 56.5 percent of their two-point attempts overall, ranking fourth in the entire country in that category.

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Now granted, Florida did not have the toughest of non-conference schedules, but even after adjusting for SOS, they rank 19th in the nation in offensive efficiency at 1.150 points per possession. Comparatively, South Carolina ranks 88th in that department with an adjusted PPP of 1.071.

Now, the Gamecocks are 18-4, but all four of their losses have come away from home. The biggest difference in their home/away splits is in their defense, as South Carolina is allowing a high 77.2 points per game on a porous 50.5 percent shooting on the road!

That should be their death blow tonight vs. an offense as efficient as Florida's.

Look for the Gators to build a big early lead and never look back here.

College Basketball Free Pick: Florida -8.5 (-110)

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