Dave's College Basketball Picks, Feb. 1: Missouri State at Creighton

Missouri State (9-12, 2-8) at Creighton (16-6, 6-4)

Line: Creighton -13.5

Missouri State suffered an 11-point loss on the road Thursday to Southern Illinois. It was the Bears sixth straight road loss and seventh out of eight opportunities this season. Missouri State is just not able to score. While the defense is allowing just 61.7 points a game (best in the Missouri Valley Conference), the offense isn’t even reaching that (60.9 points on average).

A pre season favorite, Creighton is seeing its regular season title hopes fade away. With Northern Iowa’s victory on Saturday, the Blue Jays find themselves 3.5 games out of the top spot. Having already lost once to the Panthers, Creighton is positioning itself now for post season play.

ATS

Missouri State is 7-13 ATS, including 3-5 on the road

Creighton is 10-8 ATS, including 4-5 at home

Creighton is 8-2 ATS against Missouri State in their last 10 matchups

Creighton has not covered this amount of points yet at home in the conference season. With the expected low-scoring game, 13.5 becomes much larger.

Dave’s Pick: Missouri State +13.5

See all of Dave's College Basketball Picks Against the Spread at cbbplace.com.