Fantasy Football Out on a Limb: Volume 21

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. 

To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Donovan McNabb 33.85 beat Kurt Warner +1 [32.95 (31.95 actual plus spotted point)] WHICH I WON. 
Edgerrin James (8.9) over Willie Parker (4.5) WHICH I WON. 
Kevin Curtis (12.2) over Derrick Mason (4.1) WHICH I WON. 

Record:  3-0

Season Record
Regular Picks:  52-33 (.612)
Super Stretch Picks:  8-8 (.500)
Playoff Picks:  7-2 (.778)
Overall:  67-43 (.609)

SUPER BOWL PICKS

Quarterback
 
Kurt Warner over Ben Roethlisberger +3
Arizona has relied on the passing game all year, and they aren’t about to change because it’s the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh has a stout D, but the Cards should be able to move the chains through the air.

Since Warner is an easy choice I’ll spot Big Ben three points, which amounts to 60 yards.

Running Back
  
Willie Parker over Edgerrin James +2.5
I think Willie Parker has the potential to be Pittsburgh’s top Offensive threat on Super Bowl Sunday so I don’t mind spotting Edge 25 yards. Although Edge is more likely to score a TD in my opinion, I’m guessing neither reach paydirt. 

Willie will pile up the yards in the 4th Quarter as Pittsburgh runs out the clock.  Edge will have a hard time cracking 50 yards against this powerhouse.

Wide Receiver
  

Anquan Boldin over Santonio Holmes +1.5

Larry Fitzgerald has had a remarkable playoff run, and I feel Pittsburgh will key in on him to try to slow him down.  Giving less attention to Boldin, especially when he had ample time to rest, could be costly for the Steelers.  I think Warner does what he can to make Boldin forget about the Conference Championship. 

Even if he goes, Hines Ward will likely be slowed a bit.  Santonio Holmes will have to step his game up.  He’s capable of it, but I still have more faith in Boldin.  Therefore, I’ll spot Holmes 15 yards.