Fantasy Football: Out on a Limb Vol. 20

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. 

To mix things up, I’ll occasionally do some two-on-one matchups, or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes, I’ll spot a player some points. 

For the playoffs, I will pick one matchup for quarterback, running back, and wide receiver.

Scoring
Six points for rushing or receiving TD
Four points for a passing TD
A total of 0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
A total of 0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Jake Delhomme (14.25) beat Eli Manning (8.45) WHICH I WON. 
Willie Parker (26.6) beat Chris Johnson (16.0) WHICH I WON. 
Justin Gage +1.5 [15.0 (13.5 actual + 1.5)] beat Muhsin Muhammad (5.5) WHICH I LOST. 

Record:  2-1

Season Record
Regular Picks:  52-33 (.612)
Super Stretch Picks:  8-8 (.500)
Playoff Picks:  4-2 (.667)
Overall:  64-43 (.598)

Championship Round Picks

 

Quarterback
  
Donovan McNabb over Kurt Warner +1
Warner had the better regular season, but McNabb is playing like a new man in the playoffs.  I think their numbers will be similar, but McNabb’s running could give him the edge.  To make it an out on the limb pick, I’ll spot Warner a point.

Running Back
 
Edgerrin James over Willie Parker
Both of these backs have had playoff success after disappointing regular seasons.  I think Edge is more likely to continue his resurgence, since he doesn’t have to face Baltimore.  Not that Philly is a pushover, but the Ravens are playing some sick ball right now.

Wide Receiver
  
Kevin Curtis over Derrick Mason
I am categorizing this one in the “hunch department.”  I see McNabb relying heavily on Curtis to get to the Super Bowl.  Westy is banged up, and he’ll go to the vet rather than rookie DeSean Jackson.  Mason has to face a tough Pittsburgh D that won’t take it easy like they did last week at the end of the Chargers victory.