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2011 NFL Draft Review: What NFL Team Had the Best Draft

Chris KouffmanMar 16, 2012

Grading an NFL draft after only one year into the careers of the players drafted is a fool’s errand. So you must trust me when I suggest that this little venture of mine must be taken with a big grain of salt.

Nonetheless, grading the 2011 NFL Draft for every team is my task, and so I set upon deciding which criteria to use in the grading.

I figured there must be some subjective element to deciding who drafted well and who did not, but there also has to be some sort of objective framework to work around.

In the modern era, NFL teams draft players with immediate impact high on their list of priorities. It is a fact of life that young players are expected to contribute sooner, as compared with 20 years ago.

So one objective framework that I was curious to use was data for each snap. You can find snap data at Pro Football Focus.

However, pure snap totals would not be enough. Some teams simply had more to work with in the draft, and they would have an unfair advantage in their snap totals because of this.

That is when it occurred to me that I could cross-reference the snap data with pick values on the good old Draft Trade Value Chart and turn the two into a ratio of snaps per point.

Still, the formula needed a little tweaking. Cam Newton was drafted No. 1 overall, which carries a point value of 3,000 points on the Draft Trade Value Chart.

Cam started the whole year and was one of the best true rookie quarterbacks to ever play the game, yet he "only" played 1,061 snaps relative to his 3,000 point value.

Essentially, this would be the same as a No. 24 overall pick only playing about 260 snaps.

Newton played just about every offensive snap for the Carolina Panthers, but the Panthers’ total objective grade would suffer because of the point value.

That is why I decided to make the point value a percentage of the total number of possible snaps played by that player's offensive or defensive unit. For instance, Newton only could have played 1,072 snaps on the year, and so instead of using a 3,000 point value in the denominator of his ratio, I would use 1,072.

I then turned the results into a simple percentile and handed out letter grades of A, B, C, D and F on a simple curve. These constituted the letter grades for the objective portion of a team’s draft grade.

The subjective portion of the team’s grade was a little trickier. I felt there had to be some objective element to the grading even though it opens up the floor for criticism of my subjective grades.

The perfect case study for why there needs to be a subjective element is the San Francisco 49ers.

Strictly speaking, they did not get a whole lot of snaps out of their draft picks, in part because Colin Kaepernick was taken as a backup quarterback (for now).

However, Aldon Smith was a hugely successful pass rusher, and one of the most effective in the NFL. There was also positive signs out of guys like tailback Kendall Hunter, fullback Bruce Miller and defensive back Chris Culliver.

The 49ers chose to sit the rookies that were not ready to play, rather than putting them out there.

The bottom line is, just using snap data, the 49ers’ draft would have ranked in the bottom quartile of the league, and given the success of Aldon Smith and the other guys that did play, I am not sure that’s entirely fair.

So I introduced an element of subjective grading, which I based on how well the players that did grace the field actually played. From there, I was able to issue total grades based on the combination of the objective and subjective grades.

Let's take a look at the the results, from the best team's draft to the worst.

#1. Baltimore Ravens: A

1 of 32
#1.
Baltimore Ravens
Total GradeA
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used1,286.5
Adjusted Chart Points      1,286.5
Total Snaps1,855
Best Pick ValueDE Pernell McPhee / CB Jimmy Smith

#2. Denver Broncos: A

2 of 32
#2.
Denver Broncos
Total GradeA
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used3,892.1
Adjusted Chart Points      2,566.1
Total Snaps3,942
Best Pick ValueLB Von Miller

#3. Tennessee Titans: A

3 of 32
#3.
Tennessee Titans
Total GradeA
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used2,296.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,941.4
Total Snaps2,740
Best Pick ValueDT Jurrell Casey / DT Karl Klug

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#4. Houston Texans: A

4 of 32
#4.
Houston Texans
Total GradeA
Objective GradeC
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used2,145.8
Adjusted Chart Points      2,063.8
Total Snaps2,356
Best Pick ValueDE J.J. Watt / LB Brooks Reed

#5. Oakland Raiders: A

5 of 32
#5.
Oakland Raiders
Total GradeA
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used935.7
Adjusted Chart Points      935.7
Total Snaps2,409
Best Pick ValueWR Denarius Moore

#6. New York Jets: B

6 of 32
#6.
New York Jets
Total GradeB
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used830.1
Adjusted Chart Points      830.1
Total Snaps1,011
Best Pick ValueDT Muhammad Wilkerson / WR Jeremy Kerley

#7. San Francisco 49ers: B

7 of 32
#7.
San Francisco 49ers
Total GradeB
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used2,362.9
Adjusted Chart Points      2,075.4
Total Snaps1,866
Best Pick ValueLB Aldon Smith

#8. Washington Redskins: B

8 of 32
#8.
Washington Redskins
Total GradeB
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,885.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,885.4
Total Snaps2,992
Best Pick ValueRB Evan Royster / LB Ryan Kerrigan

#9. Buffalo Bills: B

9 of 32
#9.
Buffalo Bills
Total GradeB
Objective GradeC
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used3,232.8
Adjusted Chart Points      2,085.8
Total Snaps2,372
Best Pick ValueDT Marcell Dareus / LB Kelvin Sheppard

#10. Miami Dolphins: B

10 of 32
#10.
Miami Dolphins
Total GradeB
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,430.1
Adjusted Chart Points      1,418.1
Total Snaps2,176
Best Pick ValueFB Charles Clay / C Mike Pouncey

#11. Dallas Cowboys: B

11 of 32
#11.
Dallas Cowboys
Total GradeB
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeA
  
Chart Points Used2,218.3
Adjusted Chart Points      1,950.3
Total Snaps1,797
Best Pick ValueRB Demarco Murray / OT Tyron Smith

#12. Pittsburgh Steelers: B

12 of 32
#12.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Total GradeB
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,080.8
Adjusted Chart Points      1,080.8
Total Snaps1,258
Best Pick ValueOT Marcus Gilbert

#13. Kansas City Chiefs: B

13 of 32
#13.
Kansas City Chiefs
Total GradeB
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used1,596.6
Adjusted Chart Points      1,596.6
Total Snaps1,647
Best Pick ValueLB Justin Houston / DE Allen Bailey

#14. Cincinnati Bengals: C

14 of 32
#14.
Cincinnati Bengals
Total GradeC
Objective GradeC
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used2,778.7
Adjusted Chart Points      2,147.7
Total Snaps2,386
Best Pick ValueQB Andy Dalton

#15. Cleveland Browns: C

15 of 32
#15.
Cleveland Browns
Total GradeC
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,849.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,849.4
Total Snaps4,407
Best Pick ValueDE Jabaal Sheard

#16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: C

16 of 32
#16.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Total GradeC
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,547.0
Adjusted Chart Points      1,547.0
Total Snaps2,733
Best Pick ValueDE Adrian Clayborn / DE Da’Quan Bowers

#17. Seattle Seahawks: C

17 of 32
#17.
Seattle Seahawks
Total GradeC
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,210.0
Adjusted Chart Points      1,210.0
Total Snaps2,624
Best Pick ValueCB Richard Sherman / LB K.J. Wright

#18. Philadelphia Eagles: C

18 of 32
#18.
Philadelphia Eagles
Total GradeC
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeF
  
Chart Points Used1,433.8
Adjusted Chart Points      1,379.9
Total Snaps3,160
Best Pick ValueLB Brian Rolle

#19. Atlanta Falcons: C

19 of 32
#19.
Atlanta Falcons
Total GradeC
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used1,792.9
Adjusted Chart Points      1,390.3
Total Snaps1,135
Best Pick ValueRB Jacquizz Rodgers

#20. Carolina Panthers: C

20 of 32
#20.
Carolina Panthers
Total GradeC
Objective GradeB
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used3,560.7
Adjusted Chart Points      1,632.7
Total Snaps2,042
Best Pick ValueQB Cam Newton

#21. Jacksonville Jaguars: C

21 of 32
#21.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Total GradeC
Objective GradeA
Subjective GradeF
  
Chart Points Used1,660.6
Adjusted Chart Points      1,418.6
Total Snaps2,263
Best Pick ValueFS Chris Prosinski

#22. Chicago Bears: C

22 of 32
#22.
Chicago Bears
Total GradeC
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used1,178.8
Adjusted Chart Points      1,178.8
Total Snaps1,019
Best Pick ValueFS Chris Conte / DT Stephen Paea

#23. Arizona Cardinals: C

23 of 32
#23.
Arizona Cardinals
Total GradeC
Objective GradeC
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used2,332.3
Adjusted Chart Points      2,116.3
Total Snaps2,471
Best Pick ValueFB Anthony Sherman / DT David Carter

#24. New Orleans Saints: C

24 of 32
#24.
New Orleans Saints
Total GradeC
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeB
  
Chart Points Used1,782.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,782.4
Total Snaps1,068
Best Pick ValueDE Cameron Jordan / RB Mark Ingram

#25. Minnesota Vikings: D

25 of 32
#25.
Minnesota Vikings
Total GradeD
Objective GradeC
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,876.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,733.4
Total Snaps1,859
Best Pick ValueTE Kyle Rudolph / FS Mistral Raymond

#26. Green Bay Packers: D

26 of 32
#26.
Green Bay Packers
Total GradeD
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,107.2
Adjusted Chart Points      1,107.2
Total Snaps833
Best Pick ValueLB D.J. Smith

#27. Indianapolis Colts: D

27 of 32
#27.
Indianapolis Colts
Total GradeD
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,417.2
Adjusted Chart Points      1,417.2
Total Snaps1,480
Best Pick ValueDT Drake Nevis

#28. New England Patriots: D

28 of 32
#28.
New England Patriots
Total GradeD
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used2,397.4
Adjusted Chart Points      2,397.4
Total Snaps1,531
Best Pick ValueOT Nate Solder

#29. Detroit Lions: D

29 of 32
#29.
Detroit Lions
Total GradeD
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,976.4
Adjusted Chart Points      1,976.4
Total Snaps1,060
Best Pick ValueDT Nick Fairley

#30. New York Giants: D

30 of 32
#30.
New York Giants
Total GradeD
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeC
  
Chart Points Used1,533.2
Adjusted Chart Points      1,533.2
Total Snaps1,079
Best Pick ValueLB Jacquian Williams

#31. St. Louis Rams: D

31 of 32
#31.
St. Louis Rams
Total GradeD
Objective GradeD
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,836.3
Adjusted Chart Points      1,836.3
Total Snaps1,766
Best Pick ValueWR Greg Salas

#32. San Diego Chargers: F

32 of 32
#32.
San Diego Chargers
Total GradeF
Objective GradeF
Subjective GradeD
  
Chart Points Used1,947.2
Adjusted Chart Points      1,947.2
Total Snaps1,241
Best Pick ValueWR Vincent Brown
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