Super Bowl Line: 5 Prop Bets Vastly More Exploitable Than Spread

If your into money, turn to the prop bets over the game spread in this Super Bowl. This is going to be a tightly contested battle that could go either way, but some of the prop bets have clear cut winners. 

The Patriots are currently three-point favorites, and that is just a risky play. It is just as easy to convince yourself that the Patriots are going to win as it is that the Giants are going to win. 

So, just stay away and go for the fun and more easily predictable prop bets instead. 

Lines according to Bovada

National Anthem Length

Line: Over/under 1:34

Play: Under

This is the best bet of the whole day. Clarkson is an anthem veteran. She has done this song before in numerous events, so we have a wealth of other performances to judge her on.

There is this performance before a Cowboys game that was a crisp 1:30, and this one before last year's World Series, which was also a nice and consistent 1:30.

The following is the longest performance for her that I have seen. It was at last year's NBA finals and it came in just a hair under 1:33.  

The message is clear: take the under!

Peyton Manning Appearances on TV

Line: Over/under 3.5

Play: Over

Here is another no-brainer. Peyton plays prominently into all kinds of storylines in this game. First, he is going to be cheering on his brother, Eli. That will make for some good camera shots. 

Second, he essentially built the stadium the game is going to be played in. 

Third, his health and future in the NFL is the biggest storyline in the league that is not about the Super Bowl. 

There is no way this game is played without him being showed at least five times. 

How Many Times Will Andrew Luck Be Mentioned During the Broadcast

Line: Over/under 1

Play: Over

Luck's name is going to come up more than once. These broadcasters are not going to be able to show Peyton without debating the merits of the Colts drafting Luck versus keeping Manning. 

And once they get going, his name will be mentioned at least twice. 

What Will Madonna Use to Start Her Show

Line: Handheld mic +200, Headset -300

Play: Mic

There was a time when Madonna would rock the headset, but she left those days behind with her American accent. 

Madonna almost exclusively expresses herself with the mic now, and she is unlikely to make a clunky switch from mic to headset at any time in the performance. She will be rocking the mic like she is in this video. 

How Many Times Will Robert Kraft Be Shown on TV

Line: Over/under 3.5

Play: Over

A team's owner is always a big candidate for airtime, and Robert Kraft is even more so. 

He is one of the most visible owners in the NFL, and he has had a year filled with storylines. He was a central figure in ending the lockout, and his wife sadly passed away before the start of the season.  

Kraft will easily surpass four broadcast appearances.