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ARLINGTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 22: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson #8 throws during the second half against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 22: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson #8 throws during the second half against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)Sam Hodde/Getty Images

Bills vs. Ravens: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF

Joe TanseySep 29, 2024

The latest showdown of the AFC's titans takes place on Sunday night in Baltimore.

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens play host to Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills one week after they got their season on track with a road win over the Dallas Cowboys.

Buffalo has had the far better start than Baltimore at 3-0, but the Bills come into Sunday night as a slight underdog on the point spread.

Allen and Co. eclipsed the 30-point mark in each of their three victories in 2024, and while Baltimore has not conceded that high of a point total, all of the Ravens opponents cleared the 20-point mark.

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Updated SNF Odds

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - SEPTEMBER 23: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills carries the ball during the third quarter of an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Highmark Stadium on September 23, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)
ORCHARD PARK, NY - SEPTEMBER 23: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills carries the ball during the third quarter of an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Highmark Stadium on September 23, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread: Baltimore (-2.5)

Over/Under: 46.5

Money Line: Baltimore (-142; bet $142 to win $100); Buffalo (+120; bet $100 to win $120)

Buffalo enters with a 2-1 record against the spread, while Baltimore is 1-2 ATS.

The Ravens are the only NFL team with a perfect 3-0 mark to the over. Buffalo is 2-1 to the over.

The last meeting between the Bills and Ravens in 2022 featured 43 points, which would have gone under the total set for Sunday's game.

Baltimore's three straight concessions over 20 points puts the over in play, and if that trend continues, the Bills may have a chance to cash in on the money line for the second time this season. They won outright as an underdog against the Miami Dolphins in Week 2.

Bills Props to Watch

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ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 23: Dalton Kincaid #86 of the Buffalo Bills runs with the football against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Highmark Stadium on September 23, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Kathryn Riley/Getty Images)
ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 23: Dalton Kincaid #86 of the Buffalo Bills runs with the football against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Highmark Stadium on September 23, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Kathryn Riley/Getty Images)

Josh Allen Over/Under 231.5 Passing Yards

Baltimore has allowed the most passing yards in the entire NFL.

That could be the weakness that the Bills offense attacks the most on Sunday night.

Allen has had two 230-yard passing performances this season, but he only had 139 yards through the air in his toughest matchup against the Dolphins.

Allen's rushing ability can take away from his passing stats in certain games, but it is worth noting his season high is 44 yards.

The Ravens allowed 281 passing yards to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1 and 361 yards through the air to Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3.

Until Baltimore cleans up its passing defense, this may be the betting way to take advantage of that unit.

Dalton Kincaid Over/Under 3.5 Receptions & Over/Under 38.5 Receiving Yards

Dalton Kincaid is second on the Bills in targets and receptions and third in receiving yards.

The tight end is coming off a season high in targets on Monday night against the Jacksonville Jaguars, a game in which he scored his first touchdown of the season.

Kincaid is Allen's No. 2 target behind Khalil Shakir, and in some situations, he can be Buffalo's most reliable pass-catcher.

Allen will need Kincaid to thrive to win big games throughout the season, so expect to see a heavy dose of the tight end early on in Sunday's contest.

Kincaid's had at least four receptions in 13 of games in two seasons with the Bills. He recorded over 40 receiving yards in eight of those contests.

Ravens Props to Watch

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ARLINGTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 22: Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry #22 runs with the ball in front of Dallas Cowboys cornerback Caelen Carson #21 during the second half at AT&T Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 22: Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry #22 runs with the ball in front of Dallas Cowboys cornerback Caelen Carson #21 during the second half at AT&T Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

Derrick Henry Over/Under 68.5 Rushing Yards

Baltimore should try to establish its ground game against the Bills to wear down the Buffalo defense and to keep Allen off the field.

That could be the one weakness the Ravens exploit because the Bills conceded over 100 rushing yards in Weeks 1 and 2.

Derrick Henry is coming off a 25-carry, 151-yard, two-touchdown performance against the Cowboys.

There's a good chance the Ravens try to run Henry around 20 times once again to gain control of the game.

Jackson will certainly have a few key runs of his own, like he does in every game, but the Ravens should have a heavy reliance on Henry.

Henry's faced the Bills four times in his career. He had at least 19 carries in three of those games and got over the 70-yard mark twice.

Zay Flowers Over/Under 51.5 Receiving Yards

A big game calls for the Ravens' top targets to get involved, just like Zay Flowers did in the opener against Kansas City.

Flowers had six catches on 10 targets for 37 yards in Week 1. Isaiah Likely stole the spotlight with his dynamic performance, but Flowers was Jackson's go-to guy from his bunch of wide receivers.

Flowers only had three catches for 20 yards in Week 3, so he might be a bit off the radar for some people picking props for Sunday night.

Baltimore's No. 1 wide out shined in his lone home game so far this season with 91 yards against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 2.

All four of Flowers' 75-plus-yard performances have come in Baltimore and six of his nine games with at least 60 yards happened at home.

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