Rams vs. Lions: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF
The Los Angeles Rams and Detroit Lions finish off Sunday's Week 1 slate with a rematch of their wild-card round showdown last postseason.
Matthew Stafford will once again bring the Rams into Ford Field, but he is hoping for a better outcome than the playoff loss.
Dan Campbell's Lions come into the 2024 season with a wealth of expectations after advancing to the NFC Championship Game.
The Lions are now one of the hunted teams in the NFL and how they play with that pressure could alter the dynamic of some of their games.
Detroit is favored to win the contest, but a good amount of points are expected because of the explosive playmakers inside both offenses.
Updated Game Odds
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Spread: Detroit (-4.5)
Over/Under: 52.5
Money Line: Detroit (-205; bet $205 to win $100); Los Angeles Rams (+170; bet $100 to win $170)
Detroit came away with a 24-23 victory in the wild-card round last season.
The Rams covered the spread in that game and went 11-6-1 against the spread.
The Lions had the best ATS record in the entire NFL last season at 14-6.
Detroit was also one of the best teams to the over. The Lions hit the over in 13 of their 20 contests.
The Rams went an even 9-9 to the over last season.
Rams Props to Watch
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Puka Nacua Over/Under 75.5 Receiving Yards
Last season's breakout star in the fantasy football and betting communities has a high standard to live up to in 2024.
Puka Nacua has one of the highest receiving yard props on the entire NFL Week 1 board at 75.5.
Nacua had nine catches for 181 yards against the Lions last season and had seven 100-yard performances.
Nacua hit the century mark in seven of the eight games last season in which he went over 80 receiving yards.
Nacua only had seven or more receptions on six occasions, so his receiving-yard over appears to be the better over to bet than the over on his receptions at 6.5.
Matthew Stafford Over/Under 258.5 Passing Yards
Stafford cruised past his passing-yard prop in the wild-card round, as he threw for 367 yards.
The former Lions quarterback had five 300-yard passing games in the 2023 regular season and had three more games with at least 260 passing yards.
With Cooper Kupp and Nacua at his disposal, Stafford should put up some strong numbers through the air.
The questions regarding Kyren Williams and Blake Corum's usage in the backfield could steer you away from Rams rushing props, but the dynamic in the passing game is clear with Stafford airing it out to a pair of big targets.
Lions Props to Watch
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Amon-Ra St. Brown Over/Under 82.5 Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown went for 110 receiving yards in the wild-card win over the Rams.
The seven-catch, 110-yard day was a normal stat line for St. Brown last season as Jared Goff's primary target, so it's not surprising to see a receiving yard prop this high.
St. Brown had nine 100-yard receiving games in the 2023 regular season plus two more contests with at least 90 receiving yards.
The over/under 82.5 is high compared to the rest of the NFL, but St. Brown proved he can reach that point over and over again.
Sam LaPorta Over/Under 53.5 Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta's role in the Detroit offense could grow after the free-agent departure of Jameson Williams.
The second-year tight end could be Goff's No. 2 target in the passing game to start. Jameson Williams could eventually fill the role left open by Reynolds.
LaPorta eclipsed the 50-yard mark in nine regular-season contests in 2023 and he had at least six targets in more than half of his appearances.
Goff will target LaPorta at a high rate, and given his lower receiving-yard prop, he may be a more palatable player to target for bettors than St. Brown and his high number.
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