Chiefs vs. Ravens: Final Odds, Spread Picks for AFC Championship Game 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs will play in the AFC Championship Game for the sixth time in as many years Sunday when they travel to Baltimore to battle the No. 1 seed Ravens, a place in Super Bowl LVIII on the line.

A win would propel the Chiefs to the grand stage for the fourth time in five years, with a chance to establish a dynasty with a third Lombardi Trophy.

For the Ravens, a victory would solidify quarterback Lamar Jackson as one of the best of this era while proving an old-school, run-first, defensive football team can still thrive in a high-powered, pass-heavy league.

Ahead of the titanic clash for a spot in the sport's most prestigious game, find out what the current odds are and whether the favored team will cover the spread with this preview.

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Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

TV Schedule and Info

Michael Owens/Getty Images

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - DECEMBER 31: Roquan Smith #0 of the Baltimore Ravens reacts as he leads a huddle prior to an NFL football game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Miami Dolphins at M&T Bank Stadium on December 31, 2023 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)

AFC Championship Game

Date: Sunday, January 28

Time: 3:00 p.m.

TV: CBS

Streaming: Paramount+, NFL+

Place: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore

Current Odds

Perry Knotts/Getty Images

ORCHARD PARK, NY - JANUARY 21: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs walks out of the tunnel for warm ups prior to an NFL divisional round playoff football game against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium on January 21, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

Total Points

Over 44.5

Under 44.5

Bet $100, win $190.90

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Moneyline

Kansas City Chiefs (+164; bet $100, win $264)

Baltimore Ravens (-198; bet $100, win $150.50)

Spread Pick

Rob Carr/Getty Images

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 20: Quarterback Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens looks to pass against the Houston Texans during the AFC Divisional Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 20, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Sunday's game features the No. 1 and 2 stingiest scoring defenses in the league, with the Ravens allowing just 280 points in 2023 and the Chiefs giving up 294.

The last two AFC Championship games, each featuring the Chiefs, were won by three points.

Against that backdrop, the idea that oddsmakers have the Ravens as just four-point favorites is not that far-fetched.

Assuming the defenses play to their standard, there is no reason to believe we will suddenly see a massive blowout either way. Both quarterbacks are league MVPs, arguably the two best in the NFL. They have skill sets that allow them to bring teams back from the brink, score quickly and in big bunches, and keep games close.

The ability of the defenses to limit scoring means we will likely see our fair share of field goals, with the go-ahead score potentially coming off the foot of Justin Tucker or Harrison Butker.

Sure, one of the defenses could take a last-gasp effort and widen the score differential but three points feels like a safe bet given the talent on the field and a Chiefs roster closer to their own than what the Ravens encountered against Houston.

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Prediction: Ravens win outright, do not cover

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