NFL MVP Race 2023-24: Latest Predictions After Updated Odds Entering Week 17

Brock Purdy entered Week 16 as the NFL's MVP front-runner, but a frustrating four-interception showing in Monday's loss to the Baltimore Ravens ensured he's not running away with the award.

In fact, he watched Lamar Jackson steal pole position in the race.

As the league turns its attention to a busy Week 17 schedule, B/R is resetting the updated MVP field.

Along with providing the latest odds from DraftKings, we've reviewed two major storylines from the most recent slate. And it wasn't a positive one for either Purdy or Dak Prescott.

Updated MVP Odds

Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images

Josh Allen

Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens: -160

Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers: +400

Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers: +600

Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins: +1200

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills: +1600

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys: +2000

Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins: +2200

Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles: +2500

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs: +3500

---

Odds courtesy of DraftKings.

Dak Prescott's Case Crumbles

Megan Briggs/Getty Images

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA - DECEMBER 24: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys is tackled by David Long Jr. #51 of the Miami Dolphins during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium on December 24, 2023 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)

Entering the week, Dak Prescott held +600 odds for the MVP—trailing only Purdy and Jackson.

That dream is fading dangerously fast.

Following a last-second 22-20 loss to the Miami Dolphins, Prescott has dipped to +2000. Although he didn't play badly—even leading a go-ahead touchdown drive in the fourth quarter—the setback means the Dallas Cowboys are unlikely to win the NFC East.

Not since 2012 (Adrian Peterson) has a player from a non-division champion won an MVP, and only three others in this millennium (Peyton Manning, Steve McNair and Marshall Faulk) have done the same.

Prescott is still in the MVP hunt, given that Dallas mathematically can catch the Philadelphia Eagles. Week 17's showdown with the Detroit Lions is a potential resume-boosting game, too.

Dak's margin for error, however, is undeniably gone.

Brock Purdy Falters in Key MVP Battle

Loren Elliott/Getty Images

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 25: Brock Purdy #13 of the San Francisco 49ers looks on prior to a game against the Baltimore Ravens at Levi's Stadium on December 25, 2023 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Loren Elliott/Getty Images)

Right or wrong, Monday night's showdown likely made a serious difference for a large number of MVP voters.

It was an evening Brock Purdy may like to forget.

Lamar Jackson accounted for 297 yards and two touchdowns in a decently comfortable 33-19 victory for Baltimore. Purdy, however, tossed a career-worst four interceptions and exited the game early with a stinger (which isn't expected to sideline him next weekend).

The outcome resulted in Jackson vaulting to favorite status, while Purdy dropped to +600 and fell behind teammate Christian McCaffrey (+400) in the order.

Purdy remains a key contender, but that performance harmed his MVP resume at a very inopportune moment.

---

Gambling problem? Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369).

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visiting ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), visiting OPGR.org (OR), or calling/texting TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).

Odds and lines subject to change. 21+ (18+ NH/WY). AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.