NFL MVP Race 2022-23: Latest Predictions After Updated Odds Entering Week 13

Maurice Bobb@@ReeseReportFeatured Columnist INovember 29, 2022

NFL MVP Race 2022-23: Latest Predictions After Updated Odds Entering Week 13

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    KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - NOVEMBER 27: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball during the first quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at Arrowhead Stadium on November 27, 2022 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jason Hanna/Getty Images)
    Jason Hanna/Getty Images

    In the National Football League, winning is one of the most important factors in the highly contested race for the Associated Press Most Valuable Player Award.

    Last season, Aaron Rodgers ran away with the coveted MVP trophy for the second year in a row after leading the Green Bay Packers to a 13-4 record, which was tied for the best in the NFL.

    This year, Jalen Hurts is leading the Philadelphia Eagles to the best record in the league thus far.

    Right behind the Eagles are the Kansas City Chiefs, which are led by dynamic quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who many feel is the front-runner for 2022-23.

    The Miami Dolphins are the most surprising team in the NFL, and that's because of the outstanding play of Tyreek Hill and Tua Tagovailoa.

    And while the MVP award won't be announced until just before the Super Bowl, here's an early look at the top contenders, predictions and odds entering Week 13.


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    HOUSTON, TX - FEBRUARY 04:  Peyton Manning presents the  AP Most Valuable Player Award during the NFL HONORS at the Wortham Theater Center on February 4, 2017 in Houston, Texas. Atlanta Falscons quarterback Matt Ryan was the winner. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
    Bob Levey/Getty Images
    • Patrick Mahomes: -160
    • Jalen Hurts: +350
    • Tua Tagovailoa: +500
    • Josh Allen: +1400
    • Joe Burrow: +1400
    • Lamar Jackson: +6000
    • Dak Prescott: +6000

    Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

MVP: Patrick Mahomes

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    INGLEWOOD, CA - NOVEMBER 20: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass during the NFL regular season game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers on November 20, 2022, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    If the MVP voting were held this week, Jalen Hurts is the clear winner and it's not even close.

    His Philadelphia Eagles have the best record in the NFL and he's brought back the kind of winning to that franchise that it hasn't seen in years.

    But there are still six more weeks left in the regular season and that's where Patrick Mahomes will likely make his case.

    The Eagles have a tougher schedule than the Kansas City Chiefs the rest of the way, so that gives Mahomes a window of opportunity to not only win more games, but pad his stats.

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    Patrick Mahomes is on another level right now. πŸ’ͺπŸ”₯<a href=";ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#ChiefsKingdom</a> <a href=""></a>

    Currently, the superstar QB leads the NFL in passing yards (3,585) and touchdowns (29), with a passer rating of 105.3.

    He's only completed 66.1 percent of his passes and has thrown for eight interceptions, so he'll have to shore up his efficiency over the next six games.

    But right now, the oddsmakers have him in the lead for the award and unless Hurts is able to continue to defy expectations, Mahomes will be taking home his second career MVP.

Runner-up: Jalen Hurts

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    PHILADELPHIA, PA - NOVEMBER 27: Jalen Hurts #1 of the Philadelphia Eagles looks to pass the ball against the Green Bay Packers at Lincoln Financial Field on November 27, 2022 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)
    Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

    Jalen Hurts is just 24 years old, but he's already managed to change the culture for the Philadelphia Eagles franchise.

    The quarterback is in control of the Eagles' offense from top to bottom, and all he's been doing is winning ball games.

    Case in point: Hurts racked up over 100 rushing yards in the first quarter in Philly's 40-33 win over the Green Bay Packers.

    He went on to run 157 yards for the game, good enough to break Michael Vick's single-game record of 130 yards for the Eagles set in 2010.

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    However, Hurts isn't just good with his legs. He has also made vast improvements throwing the football.

    The former Oklahoma and Alabama player has 17 passing touchdowns with only three interceptions and completes 67.3 percent of his passes.

    Mahomes is having another banner year for the Chiefs, but if Hurts manages to run the table over the next six weeks, he's going to be in prime position to steal the MVP away from the 2018 winner.

Third Place: Tua Tagovailoa

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    MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 27: Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins directs his team during the first quarter in the game against the Houston Texans at Hard Rock Stadium on November 27, 2022 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)
    Megan Briggs/Getty Images

    Putting the MVP award aside, it's important to acknowledge the career resurgence Tua Tagovailoa is having this season with the Miami Dolphins.

    Miami has a 9-2 record and leads the AFC East, a far cry from last year's struggles.

    In fact, according to Aditi Kinkhabwala of CBS Sports, Tagovailoa regularly asked himself, "Do I suck?" last season while throwing for 16 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a dismal 90.1 QB rating.

    However, all of that changed with the addition of first-year head coach Mike McDaniel, who used a 700-play tape to show the 2020 fifth overall pick how good he really is.

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    "I think anyone here can attest to someone believing in them and how that changes how they see themselves but also things around them, so perspective," Tagovailoa told reporters. "But it was awesome. There's a lot of details that entail me sitting down with him and other things as well, but it's awesome. It's really cool."

    Tagovailoa listened to McDaniel and hasn't looked back.

    This year, the Alabama product already has 19 touchdowns, with only three interceptions and a vastly improved 115.7 QB rating.

    Tagovailoa has over 1,000 less yards passing than Mahomes, but considering the trajectory of the Dolphins this season, he has put himself in the conversation for MVP and still has enough time to give the rest of the top contenders a run for their money.