"But I still believe Hamels is staying, I still believe ownership will allow it." How? You think the owners will become baseball fans and not care about losing money?

It's not whether Sabean wants to sign Cain and Lincecum or not. It's whether the team can afford to do so financially as well as whether those players want to stay in SF or not.

Out of the three, Hamels is the most likely one to hit free agency. Cain's situation largely depends on Lincecum and his performance midseason. There's no way that Sabean can lock up both Lincecum and Cain, he'll be lucky to even lock up one of them. I'm saying all this not from a Yankees fan standpoint but from a objective baseball observer. I'm not saying these things because I want the Yankees to sign them, I'm saying it because I think they will happen.

Grienke will stay imo because of the less than stellar performance in the past 2 seasons which lowers his value for Brewers to be able to afford him. As well as his anxiety issue that will prevent him from the big cities (NYC, BOS, LA), so he'll probably want to stay as well.

Phillies have contracts coming off the book, but they also added so many new contracts. J-Roll 11 mil, Pap 12.5 mil+ around 10-20 mil arbitration for players like Pence, Bench players (Thome...etc) and the increase in some of the players contract (Cliff Lee, Howard...etc, their annual salary increase by years).

Ownership is not fan, they operate baseball team for profit not to fulfill fan's dreams. If you can't view this on the business perspective, I don't know what to tell you. You are seemingly telling me Phillies will sign Hamels to an extension because you think they will. I'm not telling you what I think they will do, I'm telling you what they CAN do and what they CAN'T do by running this baseball team as a business (which is the reality we live in).

I'll give you a source that shows what each team made (operating income) last season. Phillies payroll last season was 177 mil and they made about 9mil last season. If they exceed 186 mil this season they will for sure lose money just on operating not to mention luxury tax.
This is the source: http://www.forbes.com/lists/2011/33/baseball-valuations-11_land.html

I apologize for the multiple posts, the system wouldn't allow me to post a long post for whatever reason.

he's only in his 20s and dominant, he can command way more $ annually and more year as well as better run support from other teams.

If Cain is pitching as great as ever, why would he sign an extension with the Giants?