Dan Levy has been the National Lead Writer for Bleacher Report since joining the company in 2011 and in 2013 added the role as a co-host of The Morning B/Reakaway, 7-10am on Bleacher Report Radio on SiriusXM. He has covered many national and international events that include Super Bowls, major golf championships, NBA and MLB playoffs, March Madness and the FIFA World Cup.
With a professional background in media and public relations, Levy focuses much of his attention on stories that highlight the social, cultural and even political evolution of sports. Since joining B/R, Levy has been a guest on literally hundreds of radio, television and online outlets around the world, including appearances on CNN, HLN and CNN International.
Prior to joining B/R, Levy was a host of the long-running, critically admired On the DL podcast, a daily show that focused on sports, media and popular culture. In addition, Levy previously worked for Sporting News—writing for several digital properties for the company—and was contributor for popular Philadelphia sports blog The 700 Level, as well as the Philadelphia Inquirer and Washington Post.
SCIENCE, DEFLATEGATE AND THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
DeflateGate has erupted onto the National stage, and seems poised to stay there through Superbowl Sunday and beyond. It has been a fascinating, tortured soap opera that has vexed most of us and brought out the worst in some of us. What if this controversy can be resolved through a more reasoned process? What if it could provide a teachable moment for the country about how justice and fairness can be undermined by our collective ignorance of established science and fact, and how what we don't know can distort our beliefs and actions? It is with such high hopes that I share these thoughts with you about under-inflated footballs.
To determine if the New England Patriots have violated NFL rules about ball inflation, the main question is, "Was the drop in ball pressure due to natural causes or tampering?" As Coach Belichick explained last Saturday, the best way to truly answer this question is to do an experiment. Before such an experiment, a scientist will need to form a testable hypothesis, a prediction, based on the facts of the situation and what is known about natural laws. In this case, the relevant physical law is the Ideal Gas Law (Pressure x Volume = n x R x Temperature) combined with the fact that friction generates heat.
Check out this informative video which also explains the science behind the pressure-drop: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hf8oQ4rhR-A
THE FOUR PHYSICAL PHASES OF DEFLATEGATE
Knowing the conditions at the AFC Championship game and how the Patriot’s footballs were treated, it’s not hard to anticipate the result based on the four different physical phases the balls went through. The logical prediction is that ball pressure would drop significantly below the NFL minimum 12.5 psi. In fact, this is a certainty:
1) Rubbing Phase - Before the AFC Championship game, Brady's balls were in the locker room, where the air temperature was likely 70-75 degrees. His balls were then rubbed vigorously for a substantial preparation period. The rubbing created heat from friction. The heat increased the air Temperature in the footballs above the indoor temperature. The warm air couldn't expand the footballs by much, so the Pressure would increase.
2) Cooling Phase A - Brady's warmed balls were given to referee Walt Anderson, who was asked to set the pressure at 12.5 psi. The warmed balls stayed in the official's locker room for over 2 hours and gradually cooled back to the indoor temperature. This initial drop in Temperature would result in a corresponding drop in Pressure (approx 1 psi per Coach Belichick).
3) Cooling Phase B - 10 minutes before kickoff, the balls were taken by NFL staff to the sideline. The temperature was approximately 50 degrees, but would have been lower on surfaces exposed to rain and wind-chill. Over the course of the first half, Brady's wet balls would have cooled to below 50 degrees. This second drop in ball Temperature would result in a further drop in ball Pressure (psi).
4) Stretching Phase - In addition, the leather of a wet football stretches, increasing the Volume inside it. Increased ball Volume would cause a third drop in ball Pressure (psi). Did you see the condition of the balls? Several pictures show them dripping wet and soaked through in the hands of the players and referees. The leather would have stretched - how much would have to be determined by experiment.
Taken together, these physical and climate factors would definitely drop the pressure in the footballs to substantially below the 12.5 psi set, per NFL protocol, by officials 2 hours pregame. This is not a possibility, it is a certainty.
Just like when you hold a solid object in your hand then let it go, it will fall according to physical laws (gravity), so it is that whenever a referee in their locker room inflates a warmed ball to the lower limit of 12.5 psi, then takes it out into cold, wet, windy weather, that ball will be underinflated 100% of the time. There is no question that this has happened countless times in late season, cold weather games throughout the history of the National Football League. Asterisks all around for everybody, especially the Packers!
A MATTER OF DEGREE
Aside from the certainty of cold weather pressure drop, the real question we are left with is, "How much does it drop?" This will be answered not by rifling through the team's email, text messages and surveillance video, but rather by an experiment. Hence Coach Belichick's usual common sense in taking the opportunity to do just this before the team left Foxborough. Until someone else performs and documents the definitive experiment (several amateur scientists have posted attempts on YouTube), we should all take him at his word that ball pressure would have dropped enough, without any tampering, to account for what was observed by the referees during the recent AFC championship game.
It should be pointed out that an NFL football team could have avoided football deflation below the league minimum 12.5 psi in very cold weather by checking the ball pressure on the sideline during the game and pumping more air into them (increasing the “n” in the Ideal Gas Law). However, this would violate NFL rules by tampering with the balls. Teams have been placed by the NFL in an untenable situation where they’re “damned if you do and damned if you don’t”… and double-dog-damned if they happen to be the New England Patriots.
THE BLIND LEADING THE BLIND
During this fascinating, frustrating, all-consuming week of DeflateGate, some might wonder how could so many intelligent, highly paid NFL executives and officials have established such a flawed rule, a rule that appear ignorant of the fact that cold weather drops ball Pressure.
The DeflateGate "scandal" rages on because so many remain mystified by the inexplicable deflation of footballs in a cold, wet game. The science needed to dispel this mystery is not hard to grasp. In fact, the ideal gas law was formulated back in 1834, and is taught in high school physics class. Tragically, many journalists and commentators lack this knowledge and have plunged ahead recklessly with false accusations and little curiosity about the basic facts of the matter. They think that for the pressure to drop significantly, someone must have let air out of the Patriots balls. They just know it. Emboldened by ignorance and sinister suspicion, they have proclaimed the Patriots must have cheated by intentionally let air out of the balls by tampering with them. We wonder why so many media pundits have been so blind to their ignorance.
Answers to these questions come from the other important scientific field at play in DeflateGate: Cognitive and Social Psychology. Discussion of this is complex and goes way beyond the issue of football pressure, but is extremely relevant to the media and society at large. If you are interested, please look up "Cognitive Bias" and "The Dunning-Kruger effect: Why The Incompetent Don’t Know They’re Incompetent".
The science of cognitive bias is necessary to help us to understand how overconfident NFL officials established unworkable inflation rules. It also helps us to better understand why so many pundits have failed to appreciate the reasons for football deflation in a cold wet game yet have gone on to lob accusations of ball tampering with great confidence and righteous indignation (and a few tears).
While the science of human cognition and its limitations is probably powerless to eliminate the mass hysteria of DeflateGate, Obama birthers or Climate change luddites, high school physics can reliably keep NFL footballs properly inflated during games in any kind of weather. It could, in some small way, embody the way an enlightened society can solve problems in a rational, effective manner. Like most true solutions, the fix for NFL balls is simple, cost effective and elegant. Here it is:
1) Keep the current process of the teams giving their game balls to the officials 2-3 hours before kick-off. The officials have time to inspect the balls and allow time to correct any concerns.
2) At least 90 minutes before kick-off, the officials place the balls in breathable tamper proof bags or other containers, seal the containers with tamper-proof fasteners, and take them down to the field. This will allow the air inside the footballs to equilibrate to the climactic conditions (i.e. temperature) on the field.
3) The bags should be placed in plain sight of both teams, fans and officials in the center of the field. In any case, they must not be left near sideline heaters or fans.
4) The outside of the containers should be reflective White in color. (If the containers were black or other dark color and left in the sun, they will heat up the balls and prevent equilibration.
5) Whether to keep the balls dry from any rain will have to be determined.
6) The officials will break open the tamper-proof seals 10-20 minutes before kickoff, remove the balls, and adjust air pressure to NFL specifications.
7) Officials should be allowed to check and readjust ball pressures at half-time or other times during the game.
This unfortunate outcome is the direct result of the NFL executives, lawyers and business owners with inadequate knowledge of basic high-school physics, who have established irrational rules for pregame football inflation. Robert Kraft’s indignation is certainly justified, but should be tempered by the realization that he joined so many others in implementing them. While apparently competent to manage business and legal matters, one wonders about the competency of NFL officials to handle all the other important matters facing the unprecedented sport of American football (like the science of concussions and head injuries).
DeflateGate is not about who said what to who, about how long it takes a young man to relieve himself before heading to the sideline, about whether a coach or player is popular or likeable, about whether anyone should have felt a drop in football pressure drop by squeezing the ball, or about whether deflation makes it easier or harder to hold, throw or catch a football. At least, this is not what it should be about. No, this controversy is simply about the pressure-drop in footballs during a cold, wet game. To determine whether or not pressure would have naturally dropped without tampering, the NFL needs a few scientists, not a team of lawyers on a witch hunt in need of a conspiracy. Most importantly, there is a simple, science-based process that NFL referees can easily follow to prevent similar problems in the future. It involves leaving the balls in sealed white bags at midfield for 90 minutes then adjusting ball pressure 15 minutes before kick-off.
Please consider these comments and feel free to publish, print, reproduce and pass on any portion of them.
8 teams would put Baylor/TCU in as the nations high scorers. A little fear there? Remember Bama is the eternal best TEAM. Yet OKLA stomped then a year ago by 17 points. Oddly on the way to the Pollsters Forum they stuck their highness MR Bama as 2nd and OKLA as 6th to start Sept 2014.
Only way to be fair and spread the Money around is a 32 Team Playoff as Dec Madness.
If two or four teams from One conference OR ANOTHER think they are DIVINELY APPOINTED to PLAY in the NC GAME and DENY all other worthy TEAMS a chance, then it is TIME for a little March Madness in the world of college football. Lets have a REAL PLAYOFF and call it December MADNESS. And a $BILLION in travel and TEAM revenues.
Here we go again. College foot ball fans MEEKLY accepting the NONSENSE put out by the MEDIA that a REAL football playoff of 32 teams is IMPOSSIBLE, too burdensome, or TAKES too much TIME from CLASS.
Basketball does it with 64. College football can easily do it with a 32 team playoff. No more BITTER FANS screaming MY TEAM got LEFT OUT. Basketball has March Madness. COLLEGE FOOTBALL needs December Madness.
ALABAMA in all its GREATNESS Lost a last Second STUNNER. Then the UNFAIR bullet or restriction BACKFIRED on them. Now they and about 30 or 40 or 60 other schools MUST SIT on the sidelines and Compete for LESSER GLORY than the NC TITLE. This is Totally Unnecessary and listen or read on :
I thought America had no ROYATY. Prince William gets to be King of England by doing nothing. He was BORN that WAY.
I think that Alabama is a Magnificent machine , a Great football team, but it has humans on its team. Humans Err. They are not Gods. No team Deserves the NC Game. You lose . YOU are out.
The SEC IS a truly powerful Conference. Three years ago the BCS robbed Oklahoma State which was 11-1 the chance to play in the NC TITLE. REmember They were 11-1. Alabama was awarded the game against TWO LOSS LSU.
Nothing FAIR ABOUT THAT. Oklahoma State Would have been CHOSEN in a real Playoff. OKLAHOMA UPSET Alabama last year. In a continuation of Genuine PLAY They WOULD have met Florida state. TREVOR KNIGHT against the Seminoles. Do you like the ODDS.
NO BCS. No 4 TEAM Playoff. But a 32 Team or 64 TEAM Playoff can work. Here is how:
First, Leave all FBS teams with the Fun and Reward of Playing the 30 plus Bowl Games. And 4 PLAYOFF BOWLS would be used on Jan 1 each year for the Elite 8 CFB playoff BOWLS.
And A $BILLION IN PLAYOFF MONEY In Gate receipt$, Hotel, tourist MONEY, Sueveniers and TRAVEL for the cities and Teams involved.
A Simple Guide by J D
FACT: There are always 13 SATURDAYS in the 92 days of September thru November.
STEP ONE: Require all teams to finish their 12 GAMES by the END of NOVEMBER. There would be TIME for ONE OPEN DATE . Or TWO using the LAST SATURDAY in AUGUST.
STEP TWO: Have an NCAA selection committee PICK the TOP 32 Football Teams: FOUR Divisions would be set up:
East, South, Midwest, West.
Four Number One Seeds would be chosen in each Division and progressively on down: Number Two through Eight.
SEED Number One would play Number Eight, Number Two plays Number Seven and so on.
STEP THREE: SIXTEEN GAMES would be played ( 32 Chosen Teams) on the First Saturday in December. The SWEET SIXTEEN winners would play on the second Saturday in December.
STEP FOUR: The Elite Eight Winners are in the HIGHEST FOUR BOWLS called CHAMPIONSHIP BOWLS and would be played on New Years Day.
STEP FIVE: The FOUR QUARTER FINAL TEAMS play their TWO GAMES on January 8 or later.
STEP SIX : THE FINALS: 2 WINNERS would play a week later near January 17 for the NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP.
Conclusion: Only FOUR TEAMS would NEED to PLAY past the HOLIDAY Weekend of January the 1st. And the REST of the TEAMS could GO BACK TO their Studies and Classes.
Also: The 30 plus BOWLS are kept . The LOSERS in the FIRST or SECOND Round can PLAY again in any BOWLS but the FOUR CHAMPIONSHIP BOWLS and win and rejoin the Top Twenty five.
Remember any team LOSING in the FIRST or SECOND WEEK of the Playoffs could STILL be INVITED to ONE of the 30 plus bowls.
IF TEAMS THINK They are the BEST, then let them PROVE IT on the Battlefield of Play. ONE team out of the 32 Teams chosen will win 5 games in a row and be true National Champ.!!!
Thanks for reading . My main concern is that somewhere, somehow, in my lifetime an Unfair 4 TEAM Playoff will be abolished. Every 8-3 team in the top 40 or 65 Teams will have respect and a chance to win it all.
This will bring in $1 BILLION dollars or more to the Teams and their Schools.
A riot is a riot! when will we stop excusing bad behavior ... let's see Rosa Parks / Michael Brown? burn the "bitch" down! there are two options when confronting a smoldering pile ... pour water on it or stir it up... I'd say there was very little interest in pouring water on it ... CNN and the likes were out there stoking the flames making sure that fire would burn ... giving, no creating a platform for all the regular hate mongers ... what if the chorus of voices from the intellectual, political and media elite would have echoed the sentiments of Charles Barkley? what if CNN had not camped out there for days on end... what if they would have taken the trucks and cameras and gone home? ... just one mans opinion ...
Dan - it is not often that I am moved to respond to an article. To say that almost all of us, not getting the elevation of a young man certainly not helping an old lady across the street to hero status - subsequently having to listen to journalists, celebrities, politicians etc... actually rationalizing the burning down of this "bitch" and protests across the rest of the nation - watching our political and intellectual elite allow for the "venting" for perceived injustices in the "system" to the black community that rationalizes the rantings of people like Farrakhan and Sharpton ... I could go on but you get the point ... that we don't get the point!!! I beg to differ, I think you do not get the point! - this was simply a way for a not so insignificant minority with the support of too many people that should know better to let the inmates run the asylum ... I really wonder what would have happened if the chorus of voices from the top on down would have echoed the sentiments of Charles Barkley - if no matter what issues do legitimately exist there would have been an resolute message from people like yourself that once you cross redlines you no longer have a platform... if CNN would have turned the cameras off? That Dan is the point! - there will be no CNN cameras stirring the pot for days where the Bosnian was killed by "unidentified" individuals with hammers or the myriad of attacks subsequently ... bottom line is that a riot is a riot! and sometimes there are self fulfilling prophecies and many of us feel that much if not all of this might not have happened if the media would have not vested so much into it and if communal and political leaders would have been ahead of the issue. Just one mans opinion - Zev
You seem to miss the point in your "Backlash over Rams' Hands-Up Gesture Totally Misses the Point". The world knows the facts of the case, and certain communities, just as you do, pick and choose which to apply and which to conveniently ignore in their arguments and demonstrations. However, as an American military member it is absolutely incredulous of you to suggest that NFL players (or anybody for that matter) show solidarity with a community by putting their “hands up” in protest during the National Anthem. Not only is it an affront to the men and women in uniform who protect our cities across America, it is an act of spitting on the graves of the men and women of uniform who paid the ultimate sacrifice in service of our country. This would simply serve to create an even more dynamic wedge in the argument providing further divisive perpetuation. There are other ways of demonstrating. This is not it. Your suggestion and any follow through is pure ignorance or pretension or both. I’m sure the young men and women serving around the globe in harm’s way appreciate this “support”.
for those who continue to deny the Giants the accolade of being a "dynasty", Jeremy Afeldt had the perfect answer - "Kiss my ring!"
In your recent Giants Dynasty article (questioning if the Giants are a dynasty):
You wrote that the Giants "aren't even that good" "over the last five seasons." Are you kidding me?! They won 3 championships. They proved they were the best baseball team by far over the last five seasons.
You also wrote: "Hell, the Giants didn't even win their division this season." Since they won the championship, does this even matter? No, it doesn't. Be definition, they proved they are the champions this year.
This article seems to be premised on poor logic, rendering your conclusions baseless IMHO.
While your Bon Jovi and the Bills article is a clever little piece or writing, it is also horribly misinformed.
While it is true that the Bills have not won a playoff game since December 30, 1995, does this mean we do not deserve to have a football team? Are the fans to blame for the team's lackluster on-field performance? No, of coarse not...in fact the fans continue to support the team despite a NFL high 14 year long playoff drought.
Also your point of the Bills needing to go to Toronto to attract "marquee free agents" is also way off base. Mario Williams came to Buffalo BECAUSE they are a small town, not in spite of it. Money talks my friend....and when you are any NFL team, you have a lot of it. Forbes ranks the Buffalo Bills as one of the 10 most profitable teams in the NFL.
And to your point that "Bon Jovi didn't say he plans to move the Bills." That's because he can't say that. The minute he says that, he will be ineligible to purchase the team. The fact that he has aligned himself with Toronto business men, scouted Toronto stadium locations and wrote a very carefully worded letter is all the evidence you should need. The Toronto Sun, Toronto Star all have reported that his intentions are to move the team.
So with all due respect to you sir...please get your facts straight. Especially when stealing our team would be a real shot through the ...ahhhh, never mind.
I like your article and you are correct that it's time to redefine American soccer. My view is perhaps out of the box, but I think that the only way American male soccer can mature and compete with Europe and South America is by creating a transnational soccer competition on the American peninsula including soccer teams from Canada, USA, Mexico and Costa Rica. This will generate the critical mass that USA soccer needs in the short term. The critical mass being more rivalry, more fans, better players, more financial investments in the sport to compete with the established popular sports in the USA. This soccer league will strenghten soccer's position in the US and lower the barrier to compete on the world stage. So, here you have my 2 cents worth solution. Given the recent results of the US team in Brasil they deserve to play on the world stage, but it takes vision, resources and hard work to accelerate the US performance level. Regards, JD.
Great article about the growth of soccer in the USA. Soccer will continue to grow at a great rate because it is is the most played game in this country. More young people play soccer for recreation than play American football, basketball, or even baseball. Since it is already the most popular sport from that point of view, I agree that making it the most popular sport on TV is really just an exercise in marketing.