December 12, 2013
December 10, 2013
December 8, 2013
December 5, 2013
Best known for Player Usage Charts and his record-breaking ESPN Insider contributions, founding Hockey Prospectus writer Rob Vollman was first published in the Fall 2001 issue of the Hockey Research Journal, and has since co-authored all four Hockey Prospectus books and recently authored one of his own, Rob Vollman’s Hockey Abstract.
While modern statistical hockey analysis stands on a mountain of complexity, Rob’s work is best known for being expressed in clear, focused, and applicable terms, and is often presented in a humorous and entertaining way. Whether you are arguing about the worst trades in history or which team improved the most in the offseason, his objective approach will hopefully add clear, cold facts to the discussion in a style that is engaging—and convincing!
Rob’s most popular innovations include Player Usage Charts to see how players are being used, Quality Starts for goaltenders, Goals Versus Salary (GVS) to measure a player’s cap value, his history-based projection systems (codenamed “Snepsts67”), his new Passes statistic, and advances in the field of NHL translations to understand how well players coming from other leagues will perform.
Thanks for your comments and opinions Bob, I appreciate that.
I think the Rangers are a solid team and one of the legitimate Stanley Cup contenders to come out of the Eastern Conference this year.
There are certainly things that occur on a day-to-day basis in the locker room and/or on the ice, but I'm obviously not equipped to comment on those (and beware anyone who says he is). That being said, the Rangers have a roster of some highly professional, experienced and talented athletes, and should be able to adapt and respond to whatever challenges may arise.
PS- Rob I am sorry, but I forgot to say I love your work and your slant on things hockey related. That should have been my first sentence. BE WELL!
Good Evening Rob: When I go on any sites re Ranger trade rumors or any possible trades in the works, I always wind up with guys(and gals) who want to trade Lundquist for two pucks and a donut, or someone else who thinks Justin Falk is Justin Faulk. I am no genius nor can I sit down after a game and tell you who did what and when. I do know that right now I do not like what I see as far as Ranger's lack of size and toughness(I am not just talking fighting). I think losing Prust hurt this team. I contend that just about any team in the league can run Nash, Stephan, Kreider and any one else you can name including Lundquist and not fear any REAL retaliation. I am not looking for bench clearing brawls,I would like a couple of players who have some respect in this league. Sestito hit someone the other day and said to the Ranger bench basically "what are you going to do about it"? He also taps Nash"s stick while Nash is on bench. Our answer was Derek Dorsett( I have no problem with Dorsett, I just think he is all alone as our answer to the Lucic's of the NHL. Do you see anything positive on the Ranger horizon? Sometimes I think they should switch the WOLFPACK and the RANGERS for one night and see what happens(only kidding), but I think you get my point(AND QUITE A LONG POINT IT IS ISN'T IT). Sorry about rambling but this is a very strange make up of players that I do not see going very far and it is only December. Again, I apologize for this WAR AND PEACE sized rant, but I do not know who else to ask. Slats does not return my tweets and James Dolan refuses to return my calls. I am completely nonplussed. THANK YOU for your time and BE WELL!
Thanks Jamey. Hockey analytics is definitely an acquired taste. Early on it looks like nonsense, and it takes time to see its value.
And yes Eric, this truly is a job for the humble. You have to believe in your work and put it out there, even when everyone thinks you will fail, and then learn from whatever predictions that you will inevitably get wrong.
Thanks Reggie. I genuinely appreciate everyone who takes the time to read and comment, but it's true that some fans tend to lose their perspective sometimes. Hockey analytics is a new field and it's up to us to put it in ways that make sense. It's a work in progress.
Holy crap!!! You take allot of heat for your articles...cheers to you keeping your head on straight and not taking posters personally - some nasty SOB's out there. Yowza!
78 points for the Ducks huh? Picked them to finish near the bottom did you? Hows that working out? Oh yeah, they've got the best record in the NHL and are currently kicking the shit out of Buffalo http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1781146-predicting-every-teams-points-total-for-the-2013-14-season/page/25
I don't always agree with your statistical analysis, but I respect how you consistently reply to your commenters. Too many writers here neglect ever doing that
Thanks for the comments guys, I'm glad you enjoy my work.
Tom JC: I agree! Stats aren't for everyone. Plus, possession and shots only matter because they're closely related to goals and wins, which are the only things that really count.
Stats are for accountants and actuaries. Real numbers count in Sports. Wins and losses trump shots on goal and possession anytime.
Rob i just found your site and I'm a big fan of what you're doing. I love math. I love statistics. I recently watched moneyball and am reading the book. I've been a long time fan of hockey a decent player myself and have played fantasy hockey over the last three years with a 3rd and back-to-back 1st place finishes. Over the last two years I've deployed a computer program that I built with my friend to give me an edge.
Anyway, I was just excited and wanted to say keep it up.