1. NFL: Examining the In-Season Correlation of Defensive Performance

    Riddle me this: If many a fantasy analyst proclaim that it’s very difficult to predict how a defense will do before the season, then how much stock should we put into early-season performance? Think about it...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about 5 years ago 450 reads 8 comments

  2. NFL: Regression to the Mean, Sample Size, and In-Season Projections

    What if I told you that Adrian Peterson isn’t as good as his stats say? My reasoning is the Curse of the Leading Rusher. You’ve never heard of it before, but it’s an obvious trend...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about 5 years ago 1,422 reads 21 comments

  3. NFL: How Breakout and Breakdown Seasons Affect Future Performance

    To say that Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck was a bust last year is an understatement. Hasselbeck had finished in the top six in quarterback fantasy points three of five years from 2003 ...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about 5 years ago 1,489 reads 11 comments

  4. 2009 Fantasy Projections: Charting Manning's Downfall and Portis' Dependability

    It’s the middle of August, a time in which many fantasy football owners start to produce their rankings and cheat sheets. Some resort to intuition, while some take an expert’s rankings and tweak them...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 6,850 reads 28 comments

  5. Size Does Matter: How an NFL Player's Height and Weight Affect Performance

    Every year, it seems like a few talented college players are being snubbed from the NFL because their measurables, in NFL draft speak—height and weight, for example—are poor...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 53,286 reads 29 comments

  6. NFL Aging Curves by Position: Rookie QBs, Third-Year WRs, and Age-30 RBs

    They say age ain’t nothing but a number.Twenty-one, 26, 31—what’s the significance? Is age merely just a number, or a baseline for seasonal performance? How can we quantify ...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 11,687 reads 41 comments

  7. How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 3: Salary Cap Efficiency Since 2000

    Even an incompetent owner can spend money. It takes an intelligent one, on the other hand, to spend that money efficiently...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 296 reads 11 comments

  8. Why Raul Ibanez's Breakout Is Not Caused by Steroids

    Much has been made about Jerod Morris’ blog post regarding Raul Ibanez’s unexpected performance thus far...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 896 reads 21 comments

  9. How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 2: Quantifying Player Stats into Wins

    In Part I of this series, we saw how various stats correlated with wins and points scored. Among the observations: • Rushing attempts correlate better with wins than do passing attempts, ...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 3,059 reads 96 comments

  10. The Effects of the Officials in Super Bowl XL Using Win Probabilities

    Pop quiz: Who said regarding the referees, “I felt they were cheating us,” and “The way the refs were going, I wouldn’t have trusted them in overtime,” and that ...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 1,407 reads 40 comments

  11. Star-Struck: Which Sixth Round Quarterback Will Become a Star?

    In my article showing how draft round affects a quarterback’s career performance, I saw that sixth round quarterbacks perform almost as well as third rounders in their careers...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 150 reads 1 comments

  12. How Draft Round Affects a Defensive Back's and Linebacker's Career Performance

    With the skill positions and linemen done and examined, there’s just two more positions left for me to look at: defensive backs and linebackers...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 1,468 reads 7 comments

  13. How Draft Round Affects a Wide Receiver's Career Performance

    In the first three parts of this series, we've seen how the round in which a quarterback, lineman, or running back is drafted severely affects his career production. Today, I'll be looking at the careers of wide receivers...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 361 reads 10 comments

  14. How Draft Round Affects a Running Back's Career Performance

    You know the busts: Curtis Enis, Lawrence Phillips, Blair Thomas, Ki-Jana Carter. But can you name those sixth- and seventh-round steals, or even the guys picked in the first round who panned ...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 1,049 reads 5 comments

  15. How Draft Round Affects an Offensive and Defensive Lineman's Career Performance

    Yesterday, I examined how quarterbacks perform based on the round in which they were drafted. Today, I'll be looking at offensive and defensive linemen, to see if first rounders have a better, longer career than third or fourth-round linemen...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 319 reads 3 comments

  16. How Draft Round Affects a Quarterback's Career Performance

    In one week, the Detroit Lions will likely draft quarterback Matthew Stafford as the No. 1 overall pick. USC quarterback Mark Sanchez and Kansas State's Josh Freeman are both candidates to be drafted in the top 15 picks...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 849 reads 27 comments

  17. NL West Projected Standings: Will Manny Lead the Dodgers to the Playoffs Again?

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 284 reads 3 comments

  18. NL East Projected Standings: Will Atlanta Spoil the Phillies' Title Defense?

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1. Atlanta Braves Atlanta allowed 4...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 313 reads 18 comments

  19. NL Central Projected Standings: Will the Chicago Cubs Break the Curse?

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 592 reads 7 comments

  20. NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Sweet Sixteen and Final Four

    We've gotten through the first two rounds and the Final Four . Now, let's get to the Sweet Sixteen and look at the Final Four again. Like last time, all statistics are since 1989, unless otherwise noted...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 1,737 reads 0 comments

  21. NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: First and Second-Round Upsets

    The majority of bracket-fillers know the age-old advice to pick at least one No. 12 seed upset in the first round. This article will look at other predictable first-round upsets and how those teams compare in the second round of play...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 3,069 reads 0 comments

  22. NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Final Four

    Number of No. 1 Seeds • Last year was the first year all four No. 1 seeds made the Final Four. • In the last 20 years, a No. 1 seed has made the Final Four every year except 2006...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 1,570 reads 0 comments

  23. AL West Projected Standings: Why the Angels Are Down and the Rangers Are Rising

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 274 reads 13 comments

  24. AL East Projected Standings: Will New York's Offseason Spending Spree Pay Off?

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 506 reads 0 comments

  25. AL Central Projected Standings: Is Kansas City a Contender?

    Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

    Zach Fein Written by Zach Fein about over 5 years ago 645 reads 15 comments