Zach Fein Article Archive

B/R Articles

NFL: Examining the In-Season Correlation of Defensive Performance

Riddle me this: If many a fantasy analyst proclaim that it’s very difficult to predict how a defense will do before the season, then how much stock should we put into early-season performance? Think about it...

Written by Zach Fein about about 1 month ago 234 reads 7 comments
NFL: Regression to the Mean, Sample Size, and In-Season Projections

What if I told you that Adrian Peterson isn’t as good as his stats say? My reasoning is the Curse of the Leading Rusher. You’ve never heard of it before, but it’s an obvious trend...

Written by Zach Fein about 2 months ago 733 reads 21 comments
NFL: How Breakout and Breakdown Seasons Affect Future Performance

To say that Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck was a bust last year is an understatement. Hasselbeck had finished in the top six in quarterback fantasy points three of five years from 2003 ...

Written by Zach Fein about 3 months ago 1,413 reads 12 comments
2009 Fantasy Projections: Charting Manning's Downfall and Portis' Dependability

It’s the middle of August, a time in which many fantasy football owners start to produce their rankings and cheat sheets. Some resort to intuition, while some take an expert’s rankings and tweak them...

Written by Zach Fein about 3 months ago 6,422 reads 28 comments
Size Does Matter: How an NFL Player's Height and Weight Affect Performance

Every year, it seems like a few talented college players are being snubbed from the NFL because their measurables, in NFL draft speak—height and weight, for example—are poor...

Written by Zach Fein about 4 months ago 2,941 reads 29 comments
NFL Aging Curves by Position: Rookie QBs, Third-Year WRs, and Age-30 RBs

They say age ain’t nothing but a number.Twenty-one, 26, 31—what’s the significance? Is age merely just a number, or a baseline for seasonal performance? How can we quantify ...

Written by Zach Fein about 4 months ago 3,584 reads 43 comments
How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 3: Salary Cap Efficiency Since 2000

Even an incompetent owner can spend money. It takes an intelligent one, on the other hand, to spend that money efficiently...

Written by Zach Fein about 5 months ago 389 reads 12 comments
Why Raul Ibanez's Breakout Is Not Caused by Steroids

Much has been made about Jerod Morris’ blog post regarding Raul Ibanez’s unexpected performance thus far...

Written by Zach Fein about 5 months ago 800 reads 21 comments
How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 2: Quantifying Player Stats into Wins

In Part I of this series, we saw how various stats correlated with wins and points scored. Among the observations: • Rushing attempts correlate better with wins than do passing attempts, ...

Written by Zach Fein about 6 months ago 1,722 reads 97 comments
The Effects of the Officials in Super Bowl XL Using Win Probabilities

Pop quiz: Who said regarding the referees, “I felt they were cheating us,” and “The way the refs were going, I wouldn’t have trusted them in overtime,” and that ...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 687 reads 32 comments
Star-Struck: Which Sixth Round Quarterback Will Become a Star?

In my article showing how draft round affects a quarterback’s career performance, I saw that sixth round quarterbacks perform almost as well as third rounders in their careers...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 88 reads 3 comments
How Draft Round Affects a Defensive Back's and Linebacker's Career Performance

With the skill positions and linemen done and examined, there’s just two more positions left for me to look at: defensive backs and linebackers...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 1,317 reads 7 comments
How Draft Round Affects a Wide Receiver's Career Performance

In the first three parts of this series, we've seen how the round in which a quarterback, lineman, or running back is drafted severely affects his career production. Today, I'll be looking at the careers of wide receivers...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 212 reads 10 comments
How Draft Round Affects a Running Back's Career Performance

You know the busts: Curtis Enis, Lawrence Phillips, Blair Thomas, Ki-Jana Carter. But can you name those sixth- and seventh-round steals, or even the guys picked in the first round who panned ...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 707 reads 5 comments
How Draft Round Affects an Offensive and Defensive Lineman's Career Performance

Yesterday, I examined how quarterbacks perform based on the round in which they were drafted. Today, I'll be looking at offensive and defensive linemen, to see if first rounders have a better, longer career than third or fourth-round linemen...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 139 reads 3 comments
How Draft Round Affects a Quarterback's Career Performance

In one week, the Detroit Lions will likely draft quarterback Matthew Stafford as the No. 1 overall pick. USC quarterback Mark Sanchez and Kansas State's Josh Freeman are both candidates to be drafted in the top 15 picks...

Written by Zach Fein about 7 months ago 588 reads 27 comments
NL West Projected Standings: Will Manny Lead the Dodgers to the Playoffs Again?

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 216 reads 3 comments
NL East Projected Standings: Will Atlanta Spoil the Phillies' Title Defense?

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1. Atlanta Braves Atlanta allowed 4...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 158 reads 19 comments
NL Central Projected Standings: Will the Chicago Cubs Break the Curse?

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 366 reads 7 comments
NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Sweet Sixteen and Final Four

We've gotten through the first two rounds and the Final Four . Now, let's get to the Sweet Sixteen and look at the Final Four again. Like last time, all statistics are since 1989, unless otherwise noted...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 824 reads 0 comments
NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: First and Second-Round Upsets

The majority of bracket-fillers know the age-old advice to pick at least one No. 12 seed upset in the first round. This article will look at other predictable first-round upsets and how those teams compare in the second round of play...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 1,068 reads 0 comments
NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Final Four

Number of No. 1 Seeds • Last year was the first year all four No. 1 seeds made the Final Four. • In the last 20 years, a No. 1 seed has made the Final Four every year except 2006...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 413 reads 0 comments
AL West Projected Standings: Why the Angels Are Down and the Rangers Are Rising

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 203 reads 13 comments
AL East Projected Standings: Will New York's Offseason Spending Spree Pay Off?

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 365 reads 0 comments
AL Central Projected Standings: Is Kansas City a Contender?

Note: All team projections were found using the FEINs projections. An explanation behind projected wins, losses, and other stats can be found here. 1...

Written by Zach Fein about 8 months ago 587 reads 16 comments

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Zach Fein Article Archive

NFL: Examining the In-Season Correlation of Defensive Performance

NFL: Regression to the Mean, Sample Size, and In-Season Projections

NFL: How Breakout and Breakdown Seasons Affect Future Performance

2009 Fantasy Projections: Charting Manning's Downfall and Portis' Dependability

Size Does Matter: How an NFL Player's Height and Weight Affect Performance

NFL Aging Curves by Position: Rookie QBs, Third-Year WRs, and Age-30 RBs

How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 3: Salary Cap Efficiency Since 2000

Why Raul Ibanez's Breakout Is Not Caused by Steroids

How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 2: Quantifying Player Stats into Wins

The Effects of the Officials in Super Bowl XL Using Win Probabilities

Star-Struck: Which Sixth Round Quarterback Will Become a Star?

How Draft Round Affects a Defensive Back's and Linebacker's Career Performance

How Draft Round Affects a Wide Receiver's Career Performance

How Draft Round Affects a Running Back's Career Performance

How Draft Round Affects an Offensive and Defensive Lineman's Career Performance

How Draft Round Affects a Quarterback's Career Performance

NL West Projected Standings: Will Manny Lead the Dodgers to the Playoffs Again?

NL East Projected Standings: Will Atlanta Spoil the Phillies' Title Defense?

NL Central Projected Standings: Will the Chicago Cubs Break the Curse?

NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Sweet Sixteen and Final Four

NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: First and Second-Round Upsets

NCAA Tournament Trends of the Day: Final Four

AL West Projected Standings: Why the Angels Are Down and the Rangers Are Rising

AL East Projected Standings: Will New York's Offseason Spending Spree Pay Off?

AL Central Projected Standings: Is Kansas City a Contender?

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