Matt Moscardi Article Archive

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H-Y-P-E, Jets Jets Jets! Why the Jets are Undeserving of the New Hype (So Far)

With Tom Brady collapsing into the annals of unfortunate knee-acronym casualties, there is a buzz that the AFC is open for the taking. The same buzz suggests a Favre-led New York Jets team may be the takers...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 333 reads 3 comments
The NFL Bettor's Power Rankings

For those of you who followed my articles and/or blog last year, I'm back with a venegence this year. After a major overhaul of my NFL statistics system, I've cracked the illustrious 60 percent win mark and am looking to see if I can keep it up...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 410 reads 0 comments
Best of 2007: The Asterisk, and Why It’s Your Fault

An NBA referee caught gambling on his games. Bill Belichick caught filming the Jets' defensive signals. The Mitchell Report highlighting rampant steroid use in MLB. Floyd Landis stripped of his 2006 Tour de France title...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 971 reads 5 comments
NFL Week 17 Best Bets: What Has Vegas Been Smoking?

Vegas has gone nuts. Abso-frikkin-nuts. Indy +6.5 at home against Tennessee? Just because the Titans need the win? Really? I think Tom Moore could suit up and receive passes from Sorgi and they could STILL beat the Titans this week...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 1,404 reads 6 comments
NFL Week 16 Gambling Ranks: Petrino Leaves, Atlanta Shrugs, and Small Brains Make Big Moves

So the rankings are in for Week 16 (overall, beta, alpha, Sharpe). The story? Small minds are making big jumps. Here are the overall rankings: The Gamblers' Power Rankings ...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 680 reads 0 comments
NFL Week 15 Best Bets—A Pissed Atlanta is a Good Atlanta

So this week, I'm taking some risks. Some big risks. Calculated, but big. I'm betting almost 100% of my bankroll. My bets total $110 of my $136 bankroll...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 819 reads 0 comments
NFL Gambling: Week 15 Power Rankings

I've been on the road all week, so I'll be brief. I've included here the overall Gambler's Power Rankings (based on financial algorithms), followed by the Sharpe, Alpha, and Beta ranks for the week...

Written by Matt Moscardi about about 1 year ago 805 reads 0 comments
The NFL Hedge Fund: Week 14 Best Bets

The football Black Box generates top five picks weekly for spreads and moneylines.Note that "Bet Soon" indicates a pushable spread, and "x2!" indicates a double bet.Here are the top five:Spread Bets 1...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 560 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: The NFL Gambling Power Ranks

The Oakland Raiders are 4-8. They are in the woeful AFC West. And they are in the top half of teams in the league. At least so say the Gambling Rankings, my new moniker for the financial rankings...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 435 reads 1 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Memo To Jaguars: Indy Is Not a Mystical Ninja

Week 13 is in the books, and thanks to the Raven's impressive performance, it was mildly profitable! Here are the results: Results for Week 13 Spread: GB +7 (-110) v. DAL - $8.99 wins $0...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 535 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: The Box's (Semi-)Final Bets

The (semi-)final bets are in. I haven't decided if I'm adding in a few moneyline bets this week, so I'll wait until Friday or Saturday to make those bets. Right now, I decided to stay conservative and bet my top 5 spread picks only...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 318 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: NFL Week 13 Best Bets

Your Mom called—she said to throw your money away today. You'll see why with this week's top 5: The Rankings - Spread THE PICKS Over / * considers lay in pick order Under 1...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 504 reads 1 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Week 13 Power Broker Rankings

For information on how these ranks were initially derived, check out posts here.So the power ranks are in, and I added a new feature—the overall rank...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 533 reads 1 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Box's Results... Where Losing Never Felt So Good

Ok. I'm tired of not winning. It's not so much that I'm losing. I'm just not winning.I discovered a few blips in the system over the weekend when I was doing a small audit of the math—the ...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 376 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Box's Final Bets

Let me just say that I don't like my bets this week. In fact, I may prefer to have my face rub up against a cheese grater than make these bets. Too bad the Box says go. I am just a drone... Bets for Week 12 Moneyline: SEA (-160) v...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 214 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Final Pick Ranks

Despite travel fatigue, I am true to the cause—here are the final pre-bet rankings for both spread and moneylines this week: The Rankings - Spread THE PICKS Over / * considers lay in pick order Under 1...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 142 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do?: Week 12 NFL Rankings

The early picks are definitely preliminary, as Vegas can't seem to decide how to handicap the NE game. Again. In the rankings, I've highlighted the DET/GB game—where GB is currently favored ...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 553 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Inside Box 2.0, Where Profits Flow Like Beer in Boston

In my last post, I mentioned the idea of taking the financial scores and rankings and applying them to close spread games as a way to mitigate some of the volatility of pick 'em type games...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 292 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Down Dog, Down

So, much like the state of the stock market, the historical trends are being bucked week in and week out this season. Typically, underdogs are much safer bets. This year, favorites are just mauling the dogs...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 457 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do?: Clarifying NFL Team Rankings

Hopefully this will serve as a useful explanation for how to use some of the financial rankings.Let me repost the financial rankings side by side with the statistical rankings to better clarify how to use and read them both...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 486 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Cleveland Brown Is the New Black

What's interesting about the moneyline ranks, having completed the financial metric module to the Black Box (if you haven't been reading, Alpha, Beta, and Sharpe ratios), is the apparent lack of top tier teams in the top 5...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 793 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Week 11 NFL Power Rankings

So here in Boxland, there are slight tweaks that happen on a constant basis. As of today, there is an ever so slight tweak to the Beta algorithm that had a minor impact on double down bets (went ...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 972 reads 4 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Feed the Dog a Team From Texas

It's another dog filled week for the Box! I gotta say, on some of your caps there Cappy, you are getting pretty close. I think you even picked the trap game (I'm thinking ARI v. CIN is the trap this week, though it MAY be NO v...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 786 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Week 10 NFL Power Rankings

First things first: ALL HAIL THE BOX. SD won't cover say you? Boxy says otherwise. CLE can't cover? Nay, jerk! Box says and CLE does! All that work to make financials a part of the betting seems not worth it...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 647 reads 0 comments
What Would Wall Street Do: Week 10 Final Bets, Genius + Spam Equals GSPAM

It's going to be an interesting weekend. G-SPAM's first test week will pose interesting problems for me, I'm sure, and the Box is probably a little jealous right now, but here are the wacky picks:Parlays:1...

Written by Matt Moscardi about over 2 years ago 518 reads 0 comments

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Matt Moscardi Article Archive

H-Y-P-E, Jets Jets Jets! Why the Jets are Undeserving of the New Hype (So Far)

The NFL Bettor's Power Rankings

Best of 2007: The Asterisk, and Why It’s Your Fault

NFL Week 17 Best Bets: What Has Vegas Been Smoking?

NFL Week 16 Gambling Ranks: Petrino Leaves, Atlanta Shrugs, and Small Brains Make Big Moves

NFL Week 15 Best Bets—A Pissed Atlanta is a Good Atlanta

NFL Gambling: Week 15 Power Rankings

The NFL Hedge Fund: Week 14 Best Bets

What Would Wall Street Do: The NFL Gambling Power Ranks

What Would Wall Street Do: Memo To Jaguars: Indy Is Not a Mystical Ninja

What Would Wall Street Do: The Box's (Semi-)Final Bets

What Would Wall Street Do: NFL Week 13 Best Bets

What Would Wall Street Do: Week 13 Power Broker Rankings

What Would Wall Street Do: Box's Results... Where Losing Never Felt So Good

What Would Wall Street Do: Box's Final Bets

What Would Wall Street Do: Final Pick Ranks

What Would Wall Street Do?: Week 12 NFL Rankings

What Would Wall Street Do: Inside Box 2.0, Where Profits Flow Like Beer in Boston

What Would Wall Street Do: Down Dog, Down

What Would Wall Street Do?: Clarifying NFL Team Rankings

What Would Wall Street Do: Cleveland Brown Is the New Black

What Would Wall Street Do: Week 11 NFL Power Rankings

What Would Wall Street Do: Feed the Dog a Team From Texas

What Would Wall Street Do: Week 10 NFL Power Rankings

What Would Wall Street Do: Week 10 Final Bets, Genius + Spam Equals GSPAM

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