Bleacher Report - Football

Thoughts From The Zone: One Step Forward, One Step Back

Raider Card Addict — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 22:55:35 -0500

One step forward, one step back.

Oakland came into the game had reasons for hope, considering the team has been good pulling off wins against the Bengals and the Eagles.

As it was, after Oakland had pulled to within 10 in the third quarter there was still some hope the team could repeat last week's comeback.

A touchdown by Tony Romo to Roy Williams sealed the Raiders fate early in the fourth quarter.

So, what did the Raiders learn from this game?

For one, the Raiders do have some offense now. It's only anyone's guess as to where this team would have been had we dropped JaMarcus Russell early in the season and had Bruce Gradkowski starting from game one. For the team, the Raiders had 305 yards of offense, and 14 first downs. When Russell was playing quarterback, some games they would have seven first downs and manage only 124 yards.

Not for the first quarter, not for the first half. The whole game.

We learned, that Darrius Heyward-Bey can catch the ball and score a touchdown at the same time. To be honest, if you put a guy in crutches out there and stood him up, he could catch the ball, too. Darrius was hit right between the numbers. Pure and simple, it doesn't excuse all the throws the Raiders make in his general direction that he doesn't catch.

We also have a running game that is coming along nicely. Now someone needs to tell Tom Cable to go ahead and let the running game control the outcome. It's obvious that the running backs the Raiders have will carry the team.

However, we did learn several things about the team that were unsettling.

We learned that our tackling is regressing and that several times the Raiders had golden opportunities to change the game. On one play, the Raiders had the ball tipped up, two players ran into each other, and a fourth player just missed the interception. This was deep in Dallas territory.

Other cases when a tackle early on was needed, the Raiders failed to wrap up the player, allowing Felix Jones to go for a long run. It's also starting to show that Chris Johnson is not near the player he was last year on terms of coverage, as he was picked apart constantly.

Some other factors, which are minor can't be helped—missed calls, an illegal chop block against Gallery for one—makes you wonder how many creative calls can be made.

As it goes, the home team automatically gets 10 points. The Raiders now can get the yardage. But until they can put more points on the board, they will lose those games.

Next up for the Raiders, a trip to Pittsburgh.

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Why Charlie Frye Won't See the Field In Oakland

Ramone Brown — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 22:53:42 -0500

There is clearly a production problem with the QB position in Oakland. First JaMarcus Russell completely bombed the first half of the season with a 51.6 completion rate and nine interceptions this season.

He was then replaced by Bruce Gradkowski who gave us very similar results mis-firing just as badly with a 52.2 completion rate, three INTs, and three fumbles this season. Aside from the 0.6 percent completion rate improvement, Gradkowski's performance is nearly identical to Russell's. Gradkowski over-threw receives, mis-read defense, and was unable to recognize open receivers.

With results like that many are calling for the Raiders third QB Charlie Frye. And it isn't completely un- warranted as Frye has the highest career completion rate of the three Raider QBs: Gradkowski 52.8, Russell 51.6, and Frye 62.0. With Frye's completion percentage exceeding the other two QBs by 10 percent it is a wonder why he hasn't seen the field. Frye not only has the higher completion rate, but has more career yards than Gradkowski, and the most NFL experience.

The reason Frye hasn't seen the field is because favorites are being played with the QBs in Oakland.

First off, Bruce Gradkowski. He was coached by Raiders QB coach Hackett while in Tampa, and Hackett was the one who pushed for the Raiders to bring in both Gradkowski and Jeff Garcia, Hacketts two former pupils. Because of there past in Tampa Bay it is clear that Hackett favors Gradkowski.

Then there is JaMarcus Russell. To fully understand this you have to go back to accusations made that Al Davis is racist. A Tim Brown quote was mis-understood where he basically said Al Davis doesn't like black players from Notre Dame because they rely on their education or smarts rather than pure physical ability.

No way am I saying that Davis is racist. What I am saying is he prefers black athletes who rely on their physical abilities over there brains.

Clearly JaMarcus Russell fits well into what Al Davis wants in his black athletes. Russell is one of, if not the, strongest armed QBs the NFL has seen. Also when Russell was drafted he was very athletic for his size, and fit perfectly in the Al Davis height-weight-speed mold.

Not only that, but Russell isn't seen as the most mentally gifted QB in the league as many have questioned his intelligence.

A QB who made it through college purely on physical ability, and isn't a big thinker. If the Tim Brown quote is true what else would Al Davis want in a QB.

Then there is Charlie Frye. Barring injury he likely won't see any action this year simply because the other two QBs are favored. The only thing he has going for him is being Al Davis's second favorite QB as Davis granted Frye an audience prior to signing him.

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Steelers' QB Has Bell Rung But Looks To Play

steve tisch — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 22:47:02 -0500

Will Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger play against the Baltimore Ravens this week?

According to our Magic 8-Ball, ”All Signs Point To Yes”, but a line for the game has yet to be released.

The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported earlier that Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin expected Big Ben to play, and yesterday said that Roethlisberger was taking snaps with the first-team offense at practice.

Pittsburgh lost to the Kansas City Chiefs last Sunday, and looked like they would lose their No. 1 QB as well.

With the game knotted at 24 apiece in OT, Roethlisberger took a knee to the head and was taken out of the game, replaced by understudy Charlie Batch.

The Steelers ended up losing 27-24 and failed to cover as 12-point road faves—the total was set at 39.5 and went over.

Big Ben, “took a blow, needless to say, it was a concussion-oriented thing so I doubt he was going to come back into the football game,” explained Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin after the game.

If that wasn’t enough, Batch suffered a wrist injury in relief and required surgery, out four to six weeks—QB Dennis Dixon is the team’s third-stringer.

Roethlisberger told the Post-Gazette in the postgame presser that he wasn’t sure if he was concussed and that he felt ok.

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Jets' Sanchez Would Be Wise To Emulate Former Giant Phil Simms

Nick Antonicello — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 22:25:02 -0500

Since the New York Jets see no value in bringing in a mentor for the struggling Mark Sanchez, it looks like former New York Giant great Phil Simms sees potential in this USC standout.

The former Super Bowl MVP, and a first round draft pick himself in 1979, sees plenty of upside in the rookie and that's a good thing for a player in an organization as dysfunctional as the New York Jets.

Simms is not only a great evaluator of talent, but has a son in the NFL and understands the rigors and trials of becoming a successful starting quarterback in the National Football League.

Thirty years ago Phil Simms was an unknown college quarterback from Moorehead State who swelled into the first round when the San Francisco 49ers worked him out, and even considered passing on a guy named Joe Montana from Notre Dame to get the services of this injured prone kid from Kentucky.

But New York made Phil Simms the seventh pick, and he led the Giants to a 6-4 record as a starter passing for 1,743 yards, and 13 TDs, and 14 INTs in 1979.

Between 1979 and 1983 several injuries, and a lack of confidence by a new head coach named Bill Parcells, saw Simms go the bench in 1983 where he would stay til the sixth game of the season when he found himself in an annual competition for the starting job with Scott Brunner.

Simms would finally wrest the job from Brunner once and for all in 1984, as Simms tossed for over 4,000 yards with 22 TDs as the Giants got back to the playoffs and began their march as a dominant force in the NFC along with the Niners, Redskins, and Bears.

Simms solidified himself in the eyes of Parcells and the organization as a great quarterback with his 22-25 performance in Super Bowl 21, when he outgunned the great John Elway of the Denver Broncos for the first of two Super Bowl rings in his fourteen year career with Big Blue.

Phil Simms finished his career with 95-64 record as a starter and a .597 winning percentage, which should be good enough for a call from Canton sometime in his future.

Phil Simms has gone on to be one of the game's better color analysts with CBS and a featured motivational speaker and author. If Mark Sanchez can be half of the talent, individual, and leader of former Giant great Phil Simms, his career will be a bright one.

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Too Early 2010 NFL Mock Draft: Top 14

Seth Cox — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 21:18:14 -0500

One week later and we are ready to continue on in the journey towards the NFL draft. This will definitely be rehashed from the last two articles, but there has been some movement on my big board and in the standings.

So who is going where now and what has changed? We will soon find out.

A couple of things to point out—this is what I am projecting now for the teams. As we near the draft I will begin to unveil a different feature which includes what I would do if I was the GM of that team and what the team WILL do.

Also, these picks are as of the standings right now, not where I project they will finish at the end of the year.

Let's get started.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Well, the feel good stuff all went out the window rather quickly. After a complete whooping delivered at the hands of the Saints, there is no denying this team needs help all over the field.

I am a big proponent of starting your franchise on the offensive and defensive line, and with no sure fire things on the offensive line, I think the Bucs get back to their defensive minded approach and go defense.

With the first pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Ndamukong Suh, DT Nebraska

2. St. Louis Rams

The Marc Bulger era is over. They still have Steven Jackson but he needs immediate help. They have some nice weapons that they are developing on both sides of the ball, but need some more.

They are several players away from being a playoff contender. So what is a team to do?

Add a player that can be the face of the franchise for years to come. This is a quarterback driven league, and in my eyes, this guy is the most polished, NFL ready QB in the draft.

With the second pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Jimmy Clausen, QB Notre Dame

3. Cleveland Browns

I have no idea how to project this team. The offense looked like they were finally clicking and the defense gave up what seemed like 4 million points to the Lions.

Seriously, the Lions. So this week, we move the best player in the draft up to the number three slot. A game changer on defense who could be in the Bob Sanders, Ed Reed, Troy Polamalu mold.

With the third pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Eric Berry, SS Tennessee

4. Detroit Lions

The investment into Matthew Stafford will most assuredly have an effect on this pick. How they do not draft someone to protect that investment would be a great question.

While I have been down on the OL prospects this year, one player has been consistent enough over the last couple of years, and has the POTENTIAL to be a corner stone on the left side of the OL for years to come.

With the fourth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Russell Okung, OT Oklahoma State

5. Oakland Raiders

A quarterback is becoming more and more of an option here. Would they really pull the plug on the former first overall pick JaMarcus Russell? Maybe not yet, but they also have so many needs all over the place that they will likely go best available here.

There are some franchise changers here, but I am not sure this franchise can be changed overnight. I have them taking the most physically impressive player in this draft.

With the fifth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Taylor Mays, FS USC

6. Washington Redskins

What to do with this team? So many busted draft picks are littering the field. The defense is solid, and I could see someone added there, but as we go forward I think the OL will need to be addressed.

As I have said two or three times already, this draft is not stocked with as much OL talent as there have been in the past drafts, but there is a local kid who looks to be climbing up the draft boards.

With the sixth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Bruce Campbell, OT Maryland

7. Seattle Seahawks

Could this really be the scenario that plays out for the Seahawks? Could they really have to make a choice between the local kid and the need of a OL?

I have no idea what they would do, but for this version of the Too Early draft I have them taking the local kid with all the talent in the world.

With the seventh pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Jake Locker, QB Washington

8. Kansas City Chiefs

Playing really well as of late they are getting close, at least to me, to being a team on the rise.

Of course when you say that you really never know what could happen.

I have no idea where they need to go, because as I watch them play I see weakness along the interior of the line, but do you really draft an interior lineman in the top 10?

Also, there is no nose guard worth taking. I am at a loss, so I am going on gut, that they are going to address the OL.

With the eighth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Bryan Bulaga, OT Iowa

9. Buffalo Bills

I think the Trent Edwards era is over. I also don't know if they would take a QB with a bad shoulder, even if it is surgically repaired.

So they take a dominant force along the defensive line, and look to improve on their terrible run defense.

With the ninth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Gerald McCoy, OT Oklahoma

10. Tennessee Titans

The offense has come along nicely, and the need for another weapon for Vince Young is definitely there.

But, there are no can't miss WR prospects this year, so I think they look to the defense and look to improve the defensive backfield.

With the tenth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Joe Haden, CB Florida

11. San Francisco 49ers

The OL needs help. I am convinced that the need for an OL is the reason for both Alex Smith and Shaun Hill's poor play at times.

There is another OT that is worthy of being picked this high, and I think they pull the trigger on one that is slowly falling down the draft boards.

With the eleventh pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Trent Williams, OT Oklahoma

12. New York Jets

Well they looked great early, but have struggled mightily of late. What can be done to help? First solution is to get Mark Sanchez some weapons. No RB or WR has been taken yet in my draft, but that ends here, with a speedy, deep threat added to the Jets repertoire.

Also, are they really going to bring back Braylon Edwards? They need a big time WR and I think that this guy is flying up into the top 15 of the draft. Of course, it is still early.

With the twelfth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Damian Williams, WR USC

13. Denver Broncos (From Chicago)

Looked great early as well, but have struggled as of late, and there is a guy that I think Josh McDaniels would love to work with here.

Of course all that matters is that he shows up and proves to still have the good arm strength and pinpoint accuracy that had many believing he was going to be the number one pick last year.

With the thirteenth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Sam Bradford, QB Oklahoma

14. San Francisco 49ers (From Carolina)

So with their second pick in the first round, I truly believe the 49ers look to add a pass rusher to their defense.

They are improving greatly along the defensive side of the ball and a pass rusher is really all they lack to take the next step.

So who do they look for? I think they look for someone who can be a tweener pass rusher who may be injured, but he is still a first round lock.

With the fourteenth pick in the 2010 NFL Draft: Greg Hardy, DE Ole Miss

Come back next week as we continue to preview the draft and delve a little deeper into the needs of each team as well.

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Why Al Davis Should Hire Joe Lombardi As Offensive Coordinator

David Xaviel is the Real Mr. X — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 20:59:42 -0500

Recently, I wrote an article in support of Raiders coach Tom Cable, after I had written an article earlier this season that expressed my discontent with the Raiders coach.

I believe that the Raiders are on the right track, despite the losses, because I do believe that the current players now care when they lose.

The difference is that I think the Raiders have gone from treading water to rebuilding mode, thus to change course with another coach would be another unneeded setback.

Unfortunately, Raider Nation was stuck with the "pathological liar" known as Lane Kiffin from USC, who attempted to orchestrate a coup by colluding with Michael Lombardi to trade Randy Moss; acquiring his friend and mega-flop Mike Williams from USC; refusing to work with JaMarcus Russell; and trying to fire defensive-coordinator Rob Ryan and hire his dad Monte Kiffin.

That is no theory.

Obviously, Raider Nation has been frustrated with circling the waters. We had high hopes for 2009, but we should not be dismayed about the future. We are on the right track, and must believe that this team will and can continue to improve.

I believe that the biggest need for Oakland is a full-time offensive coordinator. The biggest contrarian voice has been, however: No one wants to coach for Al Davis. I see that as an admission of low confidence.

If any coach said, "I won't coach for Davis," I would take that as admission that the coach does not believe in what he can do for a team.

He's saying that he can't win with an owner that orchestrated three Super Bowl winners and 40 years with the highest winning percentage in the NFL.

Thus, saying, "I can't win with Davis," is just admission that you really aren't that good.

If you want an answer for the Oakland struggles: Look to Michael Lombardi's bad draft picks and the fact that the Raiders have greatly improved on draft day ever since they canned the Bruce Allen puppet for the fifth time in Lombardi's career; the attempted coup by Lane Kiffin; or the muckraking by ESPN and East Coast media ("biggest post Super Bowl collapse in NFL history", which can be disproven qualitatively and quantitatively).

Who better to be offensive coordinator than Saints' quarterback coach Joe Lombardi?

That's right. The grandson of Vince Lombardi. He has been part of the Saints' offensive coaching staff since 2007, where the Saints run an offense similar to that of the Oakland offenses of yore.

When I look at the Raiders' roster, I see talent, but not vision for how to use that talent. The vision I can see for Raider players is similar to that of the Saints offense.

The Raiders offensive-line has been improving, and could stand mostly depth and an upgrade at right-tackle. Between Chaz Schilens, Louis Murphy, and Darrius Heyward-Bey, I think the Raiders have a trio that could be comparable to Marques Colston, Devery Henderson, and Robert Meachem.

Meanwhile, Raiders' TE Zach Miller is practically a clone of Saints' TE Jeremy Shockey, if not better.

Though Darren McFadden was not the super-hyped player that Reggie Bush was, I think that they are similar in what type of plays that they should make: Catching the ball on short routes, and running the ball, "east-west".

I could see Michael Bush in a role similar to Pierre Thomas, and Justin Fargas in a role similar to Mike Bell, with Gary Russell and Luke Lawton to boot.

Lombardi would also have Paul Hackett and Ted Tollner to provide insights, and groom him as an offensive-coordinator.

The biggest question mark has been the quarterback. JaMarcus Russell has all the skills, but seems to lack desire and focus. Bruce Gradkowski meanwhile has given the Raiders a competitor for Russell.

I'm not sure sure as to which quarterback is better suited for the offense, but I do believe that the Raiders have two talented prospects to work with, and that Joe Lombardi would be the perfect match at offensive coordinator to give either QB the chances to make plays.

http://www.neworleanssaints.com/Team/Coaches/People/Joe%20Lombardi.aspx

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NFL: Liver's Week 12 Picks

Adnan Tezer — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 20:50:14 -0500

As last week showed, it only gets tougher to pick these damn games as the season goes along. Despite being 3—7 through the Thursday night and Sunday morning games, the Liver rebounded nicely to win the last six games including the Sunday (thank you Jay Cutler) and Monday night game (thank you Kris Brown) to finish a respectable but not great (by this year’s standards) 9—7 for the week.

Anyone that had Kansas City beating Pittsburgh has my eternal respect but I don’t think there were too many of you.

Hopefully the Liver gets his Ace Rothstein groove back this weekend.

F.Y.I. For those who haven’t seen the ESPN Sunday NFL Countdown commercial with Snoop Dogg and Mike Ditka; check it out on YouTube. CLASSIC .

Of course it goes without saying that the following picks AGAINST THE SPREAD are for RECREATIONAL USE ONLY . Only Rick Pitino, LeGarrette Blount, Donte’ Stallworth, Braylon Edwards, Bob Griese, Miguel Cabrera, Tila Tequila, Bill Belichick, Steve Phillips, Travis Henry, Serena Williams, Michael Jordan, Tony Romo, Elizabeth Lambert, Richard Heene (a.k.a. Balloon Boy’s father), the Liver’s biological father (a.k.a. The Most Interesting Man in the World) and all Somali Pirates would be drunk enough to question the Esteemed Liver's picks.

Last week’s record—9—7

2009 record against the spread—100—59—1 (.625)

Sunday, November 29

Washington at Philadelphia (—9)

I have to admit it; Jason Campbell is not a bad QB. The offense just can’t score points. When you’re missing key players like Clinton Portis and Chris Cooley that’s to be expected. I hate taking Filthy laying this many points with Andy Reid lurking the sidelines ready to call a bad timeout or throw a blatantly idiotic challenge flag when it comes down to the last three minutes of the game but the Redskins just can’t score enough points. Pick—Filthy

Tampa Bay at Atlanta ( —12)

Atlanta’s season is pretty much done after last week. Tampa Bay looked like the Tampa Bay from earlier in the year against the Saints last week. Still, that’s a lot to lay on this Falcons team right now. Pick—Tampa Bay

Miami at Buffalo (+3)

Ricky Williams looked like he was back in Austin running for the Longhorns last Thursday night against the Panthers. Losing Ronnie Brown will still cost this team but not today. Pick—Miami

Carolina at N.Y. Jets (—3)

The Jets are awful right now and the Panthers, although they regressed against the Dolphins, are coming in off of 10 days rest. How are the Jets going to stop the Panthers running game? Pick—Carolina

Indianapolis at Houston (+3 ½)

Poor Houston. How many game have they blown this season? Indy continues to win by the skin of Peyton Manning’s teeth despite their secondary issues. I picked them to lose last week and I’m picking them to lose this week. This is the only early game worth a watching by the way. Pick—Houston

Seattle at St. Louis (+3)

Great…another NFC West game. What a thrilling contest this one should be. No Marc Bulger for St. Louis means Kyle Boller? Oh no. Then again that offense is one—dimensional anyway. All you have to do is hand the ball off to Steven Jackson and try to make a hole for him. Pick—St. Louis

Cleveland at Cincinnati (—14)

The Browns explode for 37 and STILL can’t win? The Bengals will wipe away the vomit in their mouth from the give—away loss against the Raiders last week. If they can’t wipe the field with these Browns, then they have a problem. Pick—Cincinnati

Chicago at Minnesota (—10 ½)

Jay Cutler is overthrowing WIDE OPEN RECEIVERS . Why is it that guy has the permanent facial expression of a five—star career drunkard? Pick—Minnesota

Arizona at Tennessee (—3)

Who’s betting against the Titans and Vince Young right now? Kurt Warner is iffy with his concussion problems, which means that Matt Leinart could see some playing time. I think I’m going to refer to the 2009 NFL season as “The Year of the Concussion” what with all the players getting knocked out and the talk about concussion education. Try saying “concussion education” five times fast. Pick—Tennessee

Jacksonville at San Francisco (—3 ½)

That’s too high a line for this 49’rs team. Jacksonville is the better team with the better running game right now. Alex Smith is great at throwing touchdowns WHEN THE GAME IS OVER AND ALL IT DOES IS F*** WITH THE LIVER TAKING THE PACKERS LAYING SIX AND A HALF . Too bad he can’t do that when the game is in the first half. Pick—Jacksonville

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UFL Final Attendance Numbers For Premeire Season In

Tobi Writes — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 19:44:41 -0500

The UFL's Premiere season is over and the attendance numbers are in. I wrote an article on attendance after the Redwood's first home game, suggesting strong promotional efforts were needed.

With no promotion, things have gotten worse.

Here are the 12 games attendance numbers in order:

Stadium City attendance

Sam Boyd Las Vegas 14,209
Citrus Bowl Orlando 11,203
Sam Boyd Las Vegas 12,160
AT&T Park San Francisco 6341
Citrus Bowl Orlando 12,021
Giants Stadium New Jersey 10,318
Tropicana Field St. Petersburg 11,354
Shuart Stadium Hempstead, NY 4392
Rentschler Field E. Hartford, CT 5201
Spartan Stadium San Jose 4312
AT&T Park San Francisco 6837
Sam Boyd Las Vegas 13,306

Total fans attending UFL games: 111,654

Average attendance per game: 9305

While there is a lot to be said for controlling costs, one has to wonder if the marketing folks who came up with the idea of the "Premiere Season" with its secondary sites were under the impression there would be some promotion attached to sell tickets.

It would have certainly made some sense to lay the groundwork for expansion teams in these secondary sites.

It would seem like drawing 5201 to see a game in Connecticut would not be a strong positive in terms of securing a future owner for an expansion Connecticut team, but that is just one man's opinion.

What are your thoughts on the UFL's initial season?

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Giants Have Found Their Identity As a Bad Football Team in The NFL

Nick Leveski — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 19:22:23 -0500

Another game goes by and I'm still not convinced the New York Giants care about the 2009 NFL season.

I thought the bye week in Week 10 would serve as a nice breather for a team struggling with some deficiencies on both offense and defense. It looked like the rest helped as the Giants jumped out to a 17-7 lead over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 11.

Then the defense gave up a scoring drive on every Falcons possession in the second half. One field goal and three touchdowns, including the score to tie the game and send it into overtime.

Wake up call?

All the talking heads will tell you the Giants were prepared and ready to play the Denver Broncos this past Thursday night. They practiced hard and were said to have enacted some other football cliches in the days leading up to the important Thanksgiving Day matchup.

But what they did was come out flat, uninspired, unfocused, and unaware that they were fighting to stay in playoff contention.

Actions speak louder than words, don't they?

The Giants went into halftime down 16-0. They had 38 total yards. Their vaunted running game piled up 17 of those yards. Kicker Lawrence Tynes had to kick two field goals, one from 52 yards, just to keep them from putting up zeroes across the board.

But here are some more words to reassure the fans that they're really not that bad: "We're a good football team," said Giants defensive end Osi Umenyiora. "We just played bad today."

"We know we have a lot of talent and it's going to pick up," said Giants running back Brandon Jacobs. "We just have to get our engines going."

Yeah, you're right, guys. You just had one bad game and you forgot to turn your engines on. That makes sense.

I sort of wish I had known that earlier, then I could have stopped removing myself from a Thanksgiving party to check the score of the game online.

Gimme a break.

The Giants are 1-5 in their last six games. Their one win came in overtime and was an absolute fluke. They lose that coin toss and they'd be 0-6 in their last six games.

So spare me the optimism and just tell me to stop watching your football games because you guys are sleeping in until next year.

Have C.C. Brown refuse to play another down of football until he consistently contributes in a positive way.

Maybe he could refill Gatorade coolers without knocking them over before someone gets a drink. Maybe he could work one night as a security officer outside of Giants stadium and try to make it through the night without setting off any alarms. Just some suggestions.

Have offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride give a press conference entirely about in-game adjustments just to remind him he is allowed to make those sorts of decisions.

Make Bill Sheridan take a couple of communications studies courses at a local college so he can learn that "miscommunication" doesn't mean "I don't know how to do my job."

And have the rest of the team watch every single NFL game this season so they can see just exactly where they fit into the landscape: As an extremely mediocre team that flexed it's muscles early in the season against mediocre competition.

Oddly enough, those teams have gotten progressively better while the Giants have gotten progressively worse.

If they're searching for an identity, I've found it: A bad football team.

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2009 NFL Season: Week 12 Thanksgiving Day Special

C Douglas Baker — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 19:19:50 -0500

Introduction

After the New York Giants went 5-0, many pundits had them ranked as the best team in the NFL in their power rankings. I said then that they were at best a mediocre team. I may not always be right, but I was right about that.

The traditional football games on Thanksgiving Day featured two matchups that really were not that compelling to the average football fan. The still lowly Detroit Lions hosted the solid but struggling Green Bay Packers, while the Dallas Cowboys hosted the usually pathetic Oakland Raiders.

Most thought the games would be blowouts and they certainly lived up to the tripe. Green Bay had no trouble rolling over Detroit, and Oakland proved to be no match for Dallas.

Many have wondered if the Detroit Lions should no longer be hosting a nationally televised game on Thanksgiving given their long-standing lack of quality teams. A Thanksgiving Day matchup should be a marquee game between two quality teams, right?

I disagree though. The Detroit Lions have been hosting a Thanksgiving Day game since 1934. That’s 75 years of tradition for the Lions, sometimes a good team, lately not, hosting a game on this holiday.

The National Football League is built on tradition and after 75 years I don’t see a reason to break that tradition now. Despite not being a great team now, presumably the Lions will be relevant again.

And for me, watching any professional football game is enjoyable. I always know I’ll see the Lions host somebody on this day and I look forward to it every year.

Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions, 34-12

As expected this game was not even close. After Green Bay fumbled the opening kickoff leading to a quick Detroit touchdown, the game was basically over. Detroit’s offense never did much else, while Matthew Stafford threw four picks.

Green Bay played an all around solid game, with Donald Driver catching seven passes for 142 yards and a touchdown. This included a 68 yard grab in the first quarter to set up Green Bay’s first touchdown. Cornerback Charles Woodson had his second sterling game with two interceptions, one that he returned for a touchdown in garbage time.

I’m not sure why the Lions started rookie quarterback Matthew Stafford who played with a separated left shoulder. I think he has the potential to be the franchise quarterback for the Lions and it just doesn’t seem worth risking further damage to his shoulder at this point in the season.

This game turned out pretty much as expected. It was a good game for Green Bay to get back to winning and try to jumpstart an attempt to make the playoffs as Wild Card team. They have a long way to go for that.

MVP: Donald Driver, WR

Dallas Cowboys over Oakland Raiders, 24-7

The NFC East used to be considered the toughest conference in the NFL.

Not anymore.

Right now the storied franchise of the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Philadelphia Eagles are middle-of-the-road teams, at best. The Washington Redskins are abysmal and shouldn’t even be in the conversation.

The race for the NFC East is going down the stretch and Dallas needs to keep winning with the Giants and Eagles right in the mix. Pundits have even taken to calling Tony Romo not just an average quarterback, but a bad one. He deserves it given the way he has played this year.

In this game Dallas had no trouble putting the Raiders away. Romo had a very good outing and wide receiver Miles Austin was again fantastic. He had seven catches for 145 yards and touchdown to lead the Dallas Cowboys offense.

On the other side of the ball, the Raiders started fourth-year quarterback Bruce Gradkowski over the bust of a No. 1 overall draft pick JaMarcus Russell.

Gradkowski, frankly, is never going to be a particularly good NFL quarterback, but he is gutsy and had didn’t play that badly against the Cowboys. The Raiders were just simply overmatched.

Dallas, like Green Bay, really needed an easy win and to get their offense rolling after a very pedestrian performance against the Redskins last week.

MVP: Miles Austin, WR

Denver Broncos over New York Giants, 26-6

This was the marquee matchup of the day which most thought we be a closely contested ball game. Both teams have been struggling a great deal the past month, with the Broncos losing four-straight games and the Giants losing the last five out of six.

Too bad it was on the NFL Network. Many football fans, as a result, didn’t have access to the game.

It was an interesting game but not much was missed.

I actually thought the Giants would win this game but they never bothered to show up.

They were pathetic.

The Giants, on their second offensive snap of the game, had to call a timeout to avoid a delay of game penalty. They followed this up with a minus-two yard run by Brandon Jacobs. That basically set the tone for the game as the Giants offense seemed to have stayed in New York.

I watched Brandon Jacobs very closely in this game because he has been struggling of late.

What I noticed was disturbing.

Even when he got into a good hole he didn’t have the same burst of speed and power to make a good gain like he has in the past. I don’t know if it’s because he has been injured a bit or some other ailment, but he definitely is not the same runner he has been in the past.

There were holes that he got to that Chris Johnson or Adrian Peterson, or last years Brandon Jacobs for that matter, would have turned into a long gain. Something is missing or has gone awry there.

Meanwhile a lot has been said of the struggles of the Giants offensive line. They played reasonably well at all times, more so on running plays. The announcers kept saying they were getting beat physically but they most looked confused by the Broncos tricky defensive alignments than they were physically dominated.

But the Broncos defense played extremely well. Elvis Dumervil had two sacks and a forced fumble, safety Brian Dawkins was a menace all over the field, and the Denver secondary, led by Champ Bailey, blanketed the Giants’ receivers.

In fact the quarterback pressures could often be attributed to superior defensive back play more so than the defensive line dominating the line of scrimmage. But it was a very well played game by the Denver defense all around.

The Giants defense didn’t play terribly but again, they weren’t beaten physically as much as the Broncos just outplayed them.

Case in point, if you watched Giants’ defensive end Osi Umenyiora against the Broncos' left tackle, Ryan Clady, he often got good penetration and sometimes pressure on Kyle Orton. But he was completely shut out of the game.

Meanwhile Denver’s rookie running back Knowshon Moreno played very well with a shifty, slithery style of running that netted yards when most backs would have been shut down.

I have seen Denver play several times this year and I have not seen these moves by Moreno before. Maybe it’s because I wasn’t watching him at his best or that he has been injured, but now I see why people are so excited about this guy.

He has a unique running style that avoids big contact and can make the most out of small openings. And, of course, wide receiver Brandon Marshall was making some sick one handed catches.

But frankly, at the end of the day I am not sure whether Denver looked so good because the Giants were just plain awful, or if they have come out of their funk. They certainly looked much better than they have the past few times I’ve seen them.

I do know one thing, however. The Giants appear to be on the way down and out. See ya!

The MVP could really go to Dumervil, Dawkins, or Bailey. I am going with Champ Bailey because I thought it was the Denver pass coverage that was the key to their success on defense.

MVP: Champ Bailey, CB

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Is Vince Young's Resurgence Enough to Keep Him in Tennessee?

Dave Stanley — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 18:53:32 -0500

If anything, this is a good problem for the Tennessee Titans to have.

A few months ago, the burning question in Nashville was who the Titans would draft in the wake of what was sure to be a disastrous season.

The incumbent, Kerry Collins, was deemed washed up. He was essentially a graybeard that had used up all of his luck and opportunities.

And we all know the story of his then-backup, the much-maligned and embattled Vince Young. Most viewed him as a bust.

The best case scenario for his move to the starting lineup was for him to increase his value in a possible trade.

Now, however, the tide has turned, as Young's inspired play as of late has Tennessee on a four game winning streak. Whether or not he's directly or indirectly affected their reversal of fortune is debatable.

But on thing is true: he's looking more and more like his Texas Longhorn self. Granted, his numbers will never be confused with Peyton Manning's.

But his patience, poise and, of course, speed, have given opposing defenses fits and the Titans new life.

So while one burning question has been answered, another one has been posed: is all of it enough for Tennessee to go back to 2006's Plan A, and name him the indefinite starter for the future?

Or is he merely on a lucky streak? Most signs point to the former scenario, given his healthy new attitude. Remember, there was another scrambling quarterback for the franchise a few years ago who just so happened to develop into a MVP pocket passer.

His name? Steve McNair. Once his game developed, the "Dare McNair" defenses of the old AFC Central became obsolete.

True, the comparison isn't exactly parallel. McNair never pouted when booed, nor did his exhibit quasi-suicidal behavior in the aftermath. But Young's exhibited a maturity that's rarely been seen from him this season.

Most agree that his time on the bench behind Kerry Collins was good for his maturation, for both his football IQ and himself.

If the season ended today, the aforementioned question about Young's future would be a tough one. However, he is arguably in control of his own destiny. Because the more he wins and the better he plays, the more this becomes a no brainer for the Titans' front office.

Barring any meltdowns, he should be given the keys to the franchise; this is not the same old Vince.

Perhaps this time next year, we'll be discussing how big of a new contract he should be getting.

Time will tell.

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2010 NFL Mock Draft First Round

Ian O'Brien — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 18:25:30 -0500

Here's the latest update for my 2010 Mock NFL Draft.

Draft order is based on season record and playoff finish projections:

1. Cleveland Browns—Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame

With Charlie Weis more than likely getting fired, Clausen will most likely declare for the NFL. Clausen has an excellent arm and accuracy. He has 23 TDs, 4 INTs, and a 67.3 completion percentage. Plus, he plays in a pro-style offense.

Although Brady Quinn had four TDs last week, it was against the Lions, which is not saying much. It's time for the Browns to start with a new QB since Derek Anderson can't produce either.

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers—Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska

Suh is an explosive defensive tackle who can play in either a 4-3 or 3-4 scheme, which will help him at the next level. The Buccaneers, who could use his help, continue to struggle on defense this year.

Their rush defense is their weakest spot, and Gaines Adams was traded away after he turned out to be a bust. Eric Berry is a tempting pick here, but the rush defense is what the Buccaneers need to fix first.

3. St. Louis Rams—Jake Locker, QB, Washington

Marc Bulger suffered a concussion to end his 2009 season, and it will blow my mind if he continues playing in 2010. The Rams need a new QB now, and Locker has shown some great potential such as when he led Washington to its game-winning drive against USC. He's a dual threat, and he is ahead of Sam Bradford as far as draft stock goes.

4. Detroit Lions—Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State

Matt Stafford played against the Packers yesterday with a dislocated left arm, and he his one tough guy for going through all the pain he has gone through his rookie year.

His offensive line is to blame for the rough season, as they have allowed 33 sacks. Okung can help fix that. He is a four-year starter at Oklahoma State. He has amazing leadership and a strong work ethic. He would definitely be a first day starter.

5. Buffalo Bills—Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma

The Bills' run defense is terrible, allowing over 190 rushing yards a game. McCoy is an elite defensive tackle, and he has great intangibles and is explosive with high stamina.

6. Kansas City Chiefs—Eric Berry, S, Tennessee

The Chiefs are living in Kansas S**tty right now, and they need help at left tackle and defense. Okung is off the board, so we'll go with Berry to fix the secondary. Berry may be the most talented 2010 prospect. He is an interception machine with the ability to return any pick for a TD.

7. Washington Redskins—Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma

Daniel Snyder goes for big-name players, and Bradford is as good as it gets. The Redskins need a QB since Jason Campbell is struggling. He has many concerns such as playing in a spread shotgun offense and staying healthy. Campbell’s NFL success is a total mystery.

8. Oakland Raiders—Taylor Mays, S, USC

Al Davis is a really incompetent owner, and he drafts his players based on their 40-yard dash times. He drafted Darrius Heyward-Bey and Darren McFadden, and they are both busts.

They only have speed to show off. Mays is having a bad senior year with USC as their defense struggles, but Davis doesn't care that the Raiders need a QB and an O-line badly. Mays has a 4.59 40-time, and Davis sees a Pro Bowl safety in Mays as a result.

9. Seattle Seahawks—Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland

The Seahawks need a left tackle badly because someone always gets close to Matt Hasselbeck, and the protection needs to improve. Walter Jones is on IR and is too injury-prone to continue playing football. Looks like the Seahawks should have drafted Eugene Monroe when they had the chance.

10. San Francisco 49ers (from Carolina)—Joe Haden, CB, Florida

Haden is the best cornerback in the nation and leads Florida's dominant defense. The 49ers would benefit from his services as they need to improve their secondary. Nate Clements gets injured too much and won't be worth resigning

11. Seattle Seahawks (from Chicago)—Jahvid Best, RB, Cal

This is a reach, but the Seahawks need a running back since Julius Jones is no good and Justin Forsett can't handle the duties alone.

12. New York Jets—Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan

The Jets need a wide receiver since Braylon Edwards is a huge failure. He drops way too many passes. However, there is no wide receiver with high enough value to take here, so the Jets can wait until the 2nd round. Warren would form a great CB tandem lining up across the field from Darrelle Revis.

13. San Francisco 49ers—Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa

The 49ers need an upgrade at right tackle. Adam Snyder has been awful, allowing 7.5 sacks. Bulaga is a strong lineman who will likely skip his senior year.

14. Tennessee Titans—Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss

Kyle Vanden Bosch is a free agent at the end of the season, and so are some other defensive ends on the Titans. Hardy would be a great fit for the Titans' rush defense.

15. Miami Dolphins—Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama

The Dolphins have a hole at inside linebacker. McClain is the top inside linebacker in this year's draft, so this is a perfect scenario for the Dolphins.

16. Houston Texans—Earl Thomas, S, Texas

The Texans need help in the secondary, and Thomas is the best available in that area. He and Bernard Pollard would form a good safety duo.

17. Baltimore Ravens—Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State

The Ravens need a receiver badly since Derrick Mason will probably retire, and Mark Clayton is not reliable. Bryant has a lot of talent and should keep his draft stock up despite his NCAA troubles.

18. Atlanta Falcons—Travis Lewis, LB, Oklahoma

The Falcons need an outside linebacker to upgrade over Mike Peterson. He has top-15 pick talent and could start for the Falcons right away.

19. Jacksonville Jaguars—Tim Tebow, QB, Florida

The Jaguars need more publicity, and they haven't sold out any games this season. Drafting a big name like Tim Tebow would bring in a lot more fans just like signing Brett Favre attracted more fans for Vikings games. The Jaguars may need to move on with a new QB too because David Garrard isn't doing that great.

20. New York Giants—Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida

Antonio Pierce is getting old, and he is out for the regular season. He wasn't that great anyway, so the Giants could use a new linebacker. Spikes is a good leader and is on a national championship-contending team in Florida.

21. Denver Broncos—Jerry Hughes, DE, TCU

The Broncos are struggling on defense now that their true colors have been exposed, and they could use some help for their rush defense. They could use a DE to play in a 3-4 scheme across from Robert Ayers who is doing pretty well. Elvis Dumervil has 14 sacks, and the rush defense can only improve with the addition Hughes.

22. Arizona Cardinals—Charles Brown, T, USC

Mike Gandy is in his 30s now and will be a free agent, and Levi Brown is a bust. He has allowed six sacks and has committed nine penalties. The Cardinals need to upgrade at tackle, and Brown is doing great at USC.

23. Pittsburgh Steelers—Ras-I Dowling, CB/FS, Virginia

Dowling is a cornerback who can also play free safety, and the Steelers need an upgrade over Ryan Clark at free safety. Troy Polamalu could use a partner while roaming in the secondary.

24. Dallas Cowboys—Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma

Flozell Adams is old, and he has committed a lot of false start penalties. The Cowboys need to get a tackle to upgrade over Adams.

25. Green Bay Packers—Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers

The Packers' offensive line has looked better, but I'm still not convinced because it has only started to look better against the 49ers and Lions.

Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher are both in their 30s and fragile. Tauscher was an emergency signing since Allen Barbre was terrible, and he doesn't have much left in him. Aaron Rodgers will be known as a top-five QB as soon as he gets a line that gives him at least one second to throw the ball.

26. Philadelphia Eagles—Mike Iupati, G, Idaho

The Eagles are somewhat shaky on their offensive line, and it's mostly on the inside. The Andrews brothers aren't the same anymore. It's rare for a guard to go in the first round, but Iupati is a rare first-round talent at guard.

27. San Diego Chargers—Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU

The Chargers have moved on without Chris Chambers, and they need a new No. 2 receiver to play across from Vincent Jackson. LaFell wisely stayed for his senior year due to the deep receiving 2009 draft class, and it will pay off for him.

28. Cincinnati Bengals—Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma

Gresham should have declared last year. He has been out the whole season with an injury. The only need for the Bengals is a tight end, and Gresham is the best. He is a threat down the middle of the field who could take the usual double-team off of Chad Ochocinco.

29. Minnesota Vikings—Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas

I heard that Favre will re—sign with the Vikings for one more year, but the Vikings need to draft a successor. Sage Rosenfels is good as a fill-in at best.

Mallett has been doing great at Arkansas since transferring from Michigan. He has 3,194 yards, 28 TDs, and only six interceptions. He isn't the kind of QB to produce right away, but he produces amazing results if you give him time. He'' also benefit just like Aaron Rodgers did by sitting and watching Favre.

30. Indianapolis Colts—Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama

The Colts could use a defensive tackle to take pressure off of Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. They don't have any needs, and Cody is a top-15 talent, so this pick is a steal.

31. New England Patriots—C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson

Spiller is an explosive RB, and the Patriots could use some help at that position. Fred Taylor is old, and Laurence Maroney is improving but still needs to prove he can be a No. 1 RB.

32. New Orleans Saints—Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri

The Saints are my pick to win the Super Bowl. They could use an upgrade at linebacker, and they never had the chance to take one in 2009 with no 2nd or 3rd round picks.

Tune in next week for another update.

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The Oakland Raiders Need to Do a Self-Study to Get Out of a Rut

Damali Binta YAEL — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 18:06:41 -0500

Whatever I ask of you, I must ask of myself. If the Oakland Raiders are perceived as having fallen into a rut, then it is likely the Raider Nation is in a rut.

So, I initiated a self-study on Nov. 27. The self-study is only done to serve as a model for each and every member of the Oakland Raiders franchise.

Now, here is my humble submission of a self-study since I started writing for the Bleacher Report.

My first article was published in May 2009, which means I have been an active writer for about six months. I estimated the number of days I have been active, and it added up to 189 days.

This is the 200th article that I have published. Some may say this is cause to celebrate, but when I look at the study, I see where there is room for improvement.

I hope it does not surprise you that I admit that there is room for improvement, but the only way to reach a very high level of excellence is to be honest with yourself when you judge your own performance.

Is this type of self-study being conducted on a daily or weekly basis for the Oakland Raiders? I hope so. It would be an eye-opener.

Here are some statistics:

Am I pleased with this report of my Bleacher Report activities? Yes and No.

The daily discipline of reading and writing about sports is a positive activity. However, when I see that I have not written many comments when compared to the number of comments I have received, I am not happy.

What will I do? I will try to respond to more comments from my colleagues. If support is what I want, then I must give support to others.

Here is more data:

-58,800 article reads
Rank: 363 of 18,247

-199 articles written
Rank: 165 of 18,307

-449 article likes
Rank: 20 of 6,846

-2,324 comments received
Rank: 68 of 11,736

-1,502 comments written
Rank: 130 of 83,844

-85 comment likes
Rank: 211 of 13,064

-133 fans
Rank: 90 of 17,254

Based on this self-study, I have been either selfish or too busy to respond to other writers' articles and comments. I have got to do better.

Now, let's focus on my favorite team, the Oakland Raiders. Are you willing to be honest to assess your performance as of Nov. 27?

Please do so. It is your professional responsibility to look at your performance and design a strategy for improvement.

I was so dismayed at the loss on Nov. 26 that the numbers were scrambled in my brain. A 4-7 record is what I deeply desired, but instead we are 3-8.

Since I have written 200 articles in about 189 days, it means I am writing articles more than once per day. This means that the Oakland Raiders have been on my mind, not once, but sometimes twice per day. That should tell you something about the commitment many of us on the Bleacher Report have for our favorite teams.

Now, what is good for the fans is certainly good for the Oakland Raiders. A daily dose of discipline and attentiveness to the training and learning associated with transforming into a winning team is all that we, who are committed to writing about the Oakland Raider experience, expect of the team we so dearly love.

A few months ago, someone said that my growth in sports writing has advanced at an above average rate. If the growth of the writers is greater than the growth of the team, then how do you think the writers (and fans) feel?

Things will get out of sync. So, do your job and we must do our job. Together, we can learn from a regular self-study of our team and of ourselves.

Oakland Raiders, do your self-study and get yourself on a plan for improvement.

That's the lesson for Black Friday! Let's get out of the losing "rut" and get on a "yellow brick road" to success.

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What Makes an NFL MVP?

Paul Preibisius — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 17:39:12 -0500

As the NFL season starts ramping towards its playoff push, award conjectures start to crop up all over the place, especially in article-submitted locales such as Bleacher Report. But what constitutes an MVP? How are arguments and favorites created? What is the ultimate deciding factor?

In other sports it can be much easier to discern, baseball mostly excuses pitchers from MVP voting because of the Cy Young (from 1987 to now only one, Dennis Eckersley in 1992). We can therefore look to the combination of the same four stats each year to p decide it, it is about how a player handles himself at the plate—defense and quality of player interaction don't weigh in heavily. Basketball is similarly placed where an individual talent can be simply looked at statistically and probably determined without ever watching that fellow play.

Football is much tougher. We know weight is given to offense before defense—though it is not impossible for a defensive player to win the award. If things stand as they are at present, Elvis Dummervil of Denver is on pace for 20 1/3 sacks. With a team not particularly thought of as a defensive juggernaut, to go with a better than expected team record, how come this name is not mentioned in MVP circles alongside Jared Allen (and his pace for 16.8 sacks)? Allen is a great player, probably even a better player. Yet with a superior supporting cast he has the weaker numbers.

Ahh well, let us ignore the sack-totals for now. Tackles and interceptions are even more rarely used as a primary tool for deciding a league mvp. This is understandable as the differences in separation have been much smaller. Darren Sharper’s Seven picks are one behind the leader (Jairius Byrd of Buffalo), and his renaissance has been heavily factored into New Orleans defensive improvement.

Tackles are even more difficult with seven guys in a span between 86 and 101 tackles at this point. Though you rarely see the leaders Curtis Lofton (101) and Patrick Willis (96) in any mvp arguments. So we can eliminate tackles as a probable source.

Ultimately the few names in the running on this side of the football just don’t have the absolutely gaudy statistics required to overcome the offensive bias in MVP voting. If Darren Sharper keeps turning his picks into points all on his own, or Jared Allen makes use of his capacity for a monster single game, either one could dark horse into the top five, but none will do better than fourth this year.

Next we stride along to the flash and sizzle of what the NFL wants to sell—offense. This is broken into passing yards/completion percentage/QB rating, receiving yards and receptions, rushing yards/yards per carry, and everyone shares that old favorite, the touchdown.

It would be fine to leave it at that if the award was accredited to the most statistically superior player. Peyton Manning is on pace for 5072 yard to end the year, Brett Favre leads quarterback rating at 112.1, touchdowns are a wash at this point with six guys between 20 and 22. Assuming everyone keeps the same pace they are on it is a matter of Manning’s roughly 1,100 yard advantage (Favre is on pace for 3986) to Favre’s 9.4 point higher rating. This gives Manning the MVP award from a pure statistical outlook.

Except we then have to cope with Chris Johnson and his pace for 1987 yards on the year. As a player who is seeing his rushing totals going up, that could easily end up eclipsing 2,000 which would warrant a statistical argument on his behalf.

The closest competition at running back is from Steven Jackson and Adrian Peterson, both looking to end around the 1,600 yard mark, not enough to dent Manning’s 5,000 or Johnson’s flirtation with 2,000.

Reggie Wayne is the closest wideout statistically, on pace for 120 catches for nearly 1,600 yards with 12.8 TD’s. Should he continue that pace he would statistically keep up with Johnson and Manning.

Now that we have narrowed it to basically three guys, we will take the cold hard facts and start molding them a la voting considerations with the less concrete factors. The media darling-ness is factor number one. Right now the ‘sexy’ teams are the Vikings and Saints, so we look to Jared Allen again, Adrian Peterson again, the silver fox himself, return to Sharper, and now must add Drew Brees into the equation. Sharper is the instant elimination here, he is a great player but not the guy reporters jam mic’s in front of.

Jared Allen is very media friendly. He is the only real chance at a defensive player getting league MVP because of this, Jared Allen sells. Is this enough to outweigh the other factors, probably not but it will get him a few slots higher in total mvp voting than probably warranted. Now we have Adrian Peterson.

He is much more interesting to those with microphones and flashbulbs than Chris Johnson, the Vikes are the team everyone outside of cheeseland are rooting for, and he’s been ‘the guy’ in the purple palace for several years now.

Favre, the final of the Minnesota trio, is media mecca. Whether people love him or hate him, the guy would be a hot media sell even as an average player, throw in the inexplicable year no one would have guessed and you have the recipe for media frenzy. While good sells, the biggest media hurdle in the way of AP or mr. mullet would be Favre, and beyond any other guy, wins the sexy pick here.

After the pure media rigamarole, we also must deal with the fact that past considerations weigh in on present seasons. In the last twelve years there have been only two repeat mvp’s, and both times they were given the title as co-mvps. Ironically two of the main names in consideration, Favre and Manning, are those two players.

Favre’s distant MVP past and troubles last season serve as a benefit to him fro a historical regard. Manning, with another MV award last year, will be hampered on this front. He may also be hurt by the precedent an NFL first fourth MVP award would set.

Drew Brees stands to be helped the most from his past season, where his 5,000 yards were mvp numbers yet he did not take home the award. With media attention ramping up in New Orleans, it would appear he will be able to run close enough to the others in media attention and stats, that this one factor could tilt the bar his way.

Record is another indicator used with MVP’s. Drew Brees ended a monster personal season with an average 8-8 record, the result was a Peyton Manning award. This year Chris Johnson looks to have the best chance of any non quarterback to take home the award, but his Titans are still working out of an 0-6 hole to start the year.

8-8 will be a great accomplishment for the team at this point, but it will not help Chris Johnson’s case for the award. Short of an undefeated 10-6, he falls by the wayside to quarterbacks helming teams looking at deep playoff runs. The Saints, Vikings, and Colts have one loss among the entire group. This astounding number puts in squarely back into the court of Favre/Brees/Manning.

The final, most subjective matter is where would the team be without them ? Given an average replacement guy taking the helm, what would the team do? A name not mentioned yet here, but probably going to crack the top five- Tom Brady, is a good example.

He is a great leader and valuable of course. But if the Patriots go 12-4 this year pundits will hurt his chances with the idea that he only improved the team by one win. Favre is simultaneously helped and hindered by last year.

team will likely improve by a minimum of three games (10-6 to 13-3) probably four. This is significant (and something Brady cannot do). But they still were a division winning playoff team last year with Jackson behind center. The Saints had Drew Brees (and basically the same receiving corps) and put together an 8-8 season.

Peyton Manning is the wildcard. Everything about Indi without him is subjective, he didn’t play elsewhere, he didn’t miss time, and the Colts did fine last year. Yet one must contend that with one team sporting three candidates, neither one of those three is quite as indispensible. With a host of injuries and a turnover at head coach, Manning has continued his winning ways. I do not think a Matt Cassel situation happens in Indi with Peyton Manning on the bench.

Ultimately I think the race will be close between Manning/Brees/and Favre, none of the non-quarterbacks possibilities have enough to catch up to the value (as well as mvp positional bias) that these three present. When it all wraps up, Favre will win comeback player of the year as an attempt at making up for Peyton Manning edging out Drew Brees for his fourth MVP award.

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Fantasy Football Week 12 Wide Receiver Rankings

kevin roberts — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 17:35:00 -0500

For the top five this week , we're giving Reggie Wayne the nod over Larry Fitzgerald. The Titans defense has been improving, especially their secondary, while Wayne is facing a very beatable Houston pass defense.

The remaining top 10 choices this week are all excellent WR2's, and most could fit in your line-up as a WR1.

For the rest of this week's rankings , followed by some notes, read on:

1. Reggie Wayne @ HOU
2. Larry Fitzgerald @ TEN
3. Randy Moss @ NO
4. Andre Johnson vs. IND
5. Roddy White vs. TB (Check Status)
6. Wes Welker @ NO
7. Chad Ochocinco vs. CLE
8. Vincent Jackson vs. KC (Sit )
10. Sidney Rice vs. CHI
11. Mike Sims-Walker @ SF (Start )
12. Anquan Boldin @ TEN
13. DeSean Jackson vs. WAS
14. Marques Colston vs. NE
15. Santonio Holmes @ BAL
16. Hines Ward @ BAL
17. Steve Smith @ NYJ
18. Nate Burleson @ STL
19. Derrick Mason vs. PIT
20. Devin Hester @ MN
21. T.J. Houshmandzadeh @ STL
22. Percy Harvin vs. CHI
23. Chris Chambers @ SD
24. Terrell Owens vs. MIA
25. Michael Crabtree vs. JAC
26. Jerricho Cotchery vs. CAR
27. Steve Breaston @ TEN
28. Pierre Garcon @ HOU
29. Brandon Gibson vs. SEA
30. Earl Bennett @ MN
31. Lee Evans vs. MIA
32. Donnie Avery vs. SEA (Check Status)
33. Jeremy Maclin vs. WAS
34. Kevin Walter vs. IND
35. Santana Moss @ PHI
36. Malcom Floyd vs. KC
37. Braylon Edwards vs. CAR
38. Laveranues Coles vs. CLE
39. Devery Henderson vs. NE
40. Lance Long @ SD

Notes: Don't buy into Sidney Rice's hot streak ending anytime soon. The Chicago Bears' pass defense is atrocious, and Brett Favre and the Minnesota passing offense shows no signs of lowing down.

We like all Seattle receivers this week, and even like Brandon Gibson's chances against the Seahawks (if you're desperate), considering his 17 looks he got last week, at least you'll know he should be involved in the offense.

Our bottom five this week is made-up of the over-hyped Floyd (don't use him), three other guys who haven't done anything recently (and likely won't), and Lance Long, who we actually like going forward.

For all of our other rankings , go here. And for further analysis, check out our Fantasy Player Breakdowns at NFLSoup.com .

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Fantasy Football Week 12 Tight End Rankings

kevin roberts — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 17:12:44 -0500

After we saw some real dud performances out of the tight end position over Thanksgiving, there's still some hope with a solid crop left for Sunday and Monday.

Read on to see where the top options rank , followed by some quick notes :

1. Dallas Clark @ HOU
2. Antonio Gates vs. KC
3. Tony Gonzalez vs. TB
4. Vernon Davis vs. JAC
5. Kellen Winslow @ ATL
6. Brent Celek vs. WAS
7. Greg Olsen @ MN (Start )
8. Heath Miller @ BAL
9. Visanthe Shiancoe vs. CHI
10. John Carlson @ STL
11. Dustin Keller vs. CAR
12. Jeremy Shockey vs. NE
13. James Casey vs. IND
14. Fred Davis @ PHI
15. Marcedes Lewis @ SF

Notes: The top four need no explanation, but Kellen Winslow could even be argued as a better option than Vernon Davis this week, as he's facing a weak Atlanta secondary that has been terrible against tight ends in 2009.

Ditto for Greg Olsen going against the Minnesota Vikings, who can't seem to stop any tight ends they face, save for shutting John Carlson down last week.

Speaking of Carlson, the last time he faced the St. Louis Rams, he and Matt Hasselbeck connected on seven passes for 97 yards and two scores. Despite a poor couple of games lately, we like his chances this week.

Last but not least, we're still quietly vouching for James Casey on the Texans. He only totaled 33 yards off of two catches last week, but showed his playmaking ability with a 32-yard catch. We like his chances at some solid opportunities in what could be a shootout against the Colts.

Check out our QB and RB rankings here .

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NFL's Woebegon Kickers: Houston, Carolina Originals No Longer Making The Cut

Zack Nally — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 17:03:40 -0500

John Kasay and Kris Brown, the last original members of their respective franchises, are having their worst years to date.

A kicker can be the life or death of a team, sending their projectiles towards the yellow bars for last-minute victories or heart-wrenching defeats. These gentleman have felt their share of ups and downs, some more important than others.

The Texans' Kris Brown has felt his woes of late, missing a game-winner against the undefeated Indianapolis Colts last week and doing the same on Monday against the Tennesse Titans.

John Kasay's great moment of shame is unforgettable for Carolina Panthers fans back in 2003. It was late in the fourth quarter in, arguably, one of the greatest Super Bowls ever. The Panthers were trying to add an exclamation point to a season primarily made up of games won by three points or less.

Delhomme and the boys had fought the odds and driven down the field against a stellar Patriots defense and were ready to make the stop to seal the deal. All that was needed was a decent kickoff by Kasay to put the Patriots in containable field position.

Instead, Kasay kicked the ball out of bounds, giving Tom Brady and his electric offense the ball at their 40 yard line.

That was all the leverage they needed and they took full advantage, allowing Adam Vinatieri the chance to vault the game-winning field goal as the clock ticked out its final seconds.

Every Panthers fan's heart broke that night. While the blame rests on the entire team, it's hard to ignore the last-minute mistake that cost us our ring.

All has been forgiven since then, for the most part. Kasay has since earned the reputation of being one of the most accurate kickers in the league even though his career make percentage sits four points behind the league average at 53 percent.

Brown has also enjoyed a career of great kicks with an overall make percentage of 60 percent. He kicked 25-plus field goals in the 2007 and 2008 season, finishing both years with a field goal percentage over 85 percent.

However glorifying their careers have been thus far, both kickers are having their least accurate year ever. Kasay is squeezing what he can out of the tube with eleven three-pointers and a field goal percentage of 73.3.

Brown is feeling his pain with an equal eleven field goals and a rating of 64.7 percent. To be fair, though, the 60 points he's contributed is 26 percent of his team's total points while Kasay's 53 is 23 percent of Carolina's total.

Kasay hasn't made a field goal over 50 yards this year but the Carolina coaching staff has put him in that situation on three seperate occasions. Kasay's lack of power isn't a news update, though. The Panthers picked up Rhys Lloyd to give a power boost to kickoffs but they haven't yet utilized him in the field goal package.

On the flip side, Kris Brown is perfect beyond the fifty-yard line but seems to struggle more when he is under pressure rather than from a specific spot on the field.

I don't think either franchise is ready to part ways with their original members. Kasay recently signed a contract extension that has him in Carolina until 2012 and Brown has also recently extended his own contract until 2013.

That being said, there are still holes that need to be filled. The first step is for the coaching staff to assess the strenghts and weaknesses of their players and adjust the situations they put them in accordingly.

The responsibility rests on the players themselves to take charge of their position, though, and I believe that both players have the sufficient skills and heart needed to do just that.

Brown has a chance to redeem himself this week when the Texans face off against the Colts again. Houston has struggled to punch it in when they get in the red zone so he will have his opportunities, let's just see if he capitalizes.

Kasay also has a chance to look good this week as the Panthers face off against the Jets in New York. Not only does Kasay do exceptionally well in other teams' stadiums, he has only missed one field goal in all of his career games against New York.

As a Panthers fan myself, I just hope the trend continues.

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Oakland Raiders: Thanksgiving Thoughts

Justin Smith — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:19:06 -0500

We didn't put our best foot forward yesterday during the Thanksgiving game in Dallas, and paid for it on the scoreboard. It wasn't all bad, though, and there were some signs that were encouraging for the future. There were some of the usual frustrations, as well.

Trevor Scott played standing up yesterday at linebacker, and played very, very well. He had two sacks, three tackles for a loss, and was in the backfield quite a bit. He did make a huge mistake, though, one that made it obvious that Mr. Scott has probably never played baseball in his life.

When a ball is in the air, it's always the right-of-way to the guy coming in on the ball, not going back for the ball. Scott, of course, was just trying to make a play on a pass that Chris Johnson deflected, but he should've bailed out and allowed Branch to come on and make the pick. He backs off, Branch most likely has a pick-six and it's a whole new ballgame.

Instead, Scott went for the ball, and I applaud his effort. What I don't applaud is the result: he smashed into Branch, causing the ball to careen to the turf and Branch to shoot him a look that could've melted adamantium.

But you can't complain about the effort or the desire to get the ball. It was just unfortunate. Scott played very well yesterday and continues to be an impressive pass rusher, whether playing LB or end.

It would be ideal to have Howard, Morrison, and Scott as linebackers, but there's one problem with that: none of them are run-stopping specialists, which we desperately need. Morrison would be the best against the run of the trifecta, with Howard excelling in pass coverage and Scott at pass rushing.

Jay Richardson, though not as prominent as he was against the Bengals, still had a solid day yesterday. With Seymour back in the lineup and Tommy Kelly playing, Desmond Bryant didn't get many snaps, but he showed against the Bengals that he's a gamer and capable of making big plays.

Matt Shaugnessy continues to benefit from Greg Ellis' gimpy knee and was solid yet unspectacular yesterday. Since having a breakout game against the Chargers two weeks ago, he's been relatively quiet.

Tyvon Branch is, without a doubt, one of the top-five young safeties in the NFL this season. The kid is phenomenal, and I will keep raving about him as long as he keeps being everywhere on the field. Wish he'd got that pick. Whole new ballgame.

Nice blitz by Mike Mitchell, showing his speed off the edge. A tandem with he and Branch, with Huff rotating in during obvious passing situations, could ultimately be dangerous.

We have a solid young nucleus on defense, but big plays killed us yesterday. Dallas gained 380 yards on 10 plays, and 194 on their other 46, meaning that we stopped them more often than not, but the not went for HUGE chunks of yardage. The Cowboys had the most explosive day (eight plays of plus-25 yards) of any offense since the New Orleans Saints in 2006.

If we could've limited the big plays, we could've easily been in the game. The Raiders had only four less first downs than the Cowboys (18-14) and their time of possession was only three minutes less than the Cowboys (31:14 to 28:46). The Raiders had chances to get back in the game, but couldn't capitalize on opportunities.

The most encouraging thing I saw yesterday was the play of our young wide receivers. There were a couple of miscues, but for the most part those were the best routes ran and most separation I've seen from them all season. A hearty, happy congratulations to Darrius Heyward-Bey for his first career NFL touchdown.

The kids were open yesterday; sometimes Gradkowski found them, sometimes he didn't. Another encouraging sign was the response to a poor first half. We came out, stopped the Cowboys, forced a punt, then marched 88 yards in 12 plays for a TD. The Raiders of recent vintage rarely, if ever, respond to poor play like that.

Gradkowski looked much more comfortable in the second half, and good things happen when he scrambles. He should do it more often.

I wish I knew what Jonnie Lee Higgins was thinking. The guy is so gun-shy he's texting Michael Moore for advice. Ever since Weddle decleated him in game one, he's been hesitant and tentative. If you don't want DHB returning kicks, fine.

What about Louis Murphy? Or McFadden? Put your playmakers in a position to make plays.

Which reminds me: Did Cable learn nothing from the Jets game? Why, oh WHY was Grad dropping back to throw on 1st-and-10 from our own five-yard line? The last time we tried that, it was a disaster. That fact, Cable acknowledged. Then he did it again.

Gradkowski was pressured on first down, almost resulting in a safety, but ultimately an incompletion. What followed was a predictable run that went nowhere, and then another pass on 3rd-and-long. I don't like passing from your own end zone unless you absolutely have to. Neither does Cable, at least according to him after the Jets game. But I guess he forgot what he thinks.

Mr. X wrote a recent article advocating coach Cable because the team seems to care when they lose. Granted, he's changed the culture a tad, but I'd credit Seymour and Ellis with that as much as Cable.

Cable has shown, time and again, that he tries to get too clever and outsmarts himself, makes baffling play-calls at baffling intervals, and doesn't talk to his team nearly enough.

What coach doesn't have his players gathered during a booth review of a pivotal call (the Austin touchdown)? While that review was going on, what was Cable doing? He was standing there, silent, not looking at anyone on his team, chewing gum. That's it.

He wasn't making preparations in case the call went the other way. He wasn't telling his defense how important of a stop this would be. He wasn't doing any coaching. Granted, he was leaving it up to his assistants. But, for a play so important, he could've done something. Anything.

He is the coach. So coach.

You could sense yesterday that it's only a matter of time before Murphy or DHB go deep, get a good pass, and haul it in. They are so close to breaking out I can almost taste it. It was right there yesterday, but continues to remain just out of reach. Now, though, I can see it happening, and sooner than later.

Yes, we have some excellent young players on this team that seem to now be improving every single week. We had a rough go yesterday, but it was really only a handful of plays consisting more of mental mistakes that ended up killing us.

The old poor tackling monster reared its ugly head yesterday, and that allowed the Cowboys to bust many of the big plays for much longer gains than they should've been.

But there is a team with talent here, and one to work with. I wanted Cable fired, and still do. I don't think he's a good coach; but he's learning, like the rest of the team. I know deep down we need continuity, so I will not be upset if we keep Cable. I just think there are better coaches out there, but who knows if they'll come here?

Now we can only hope that JaMarcus Russell works very hard to regain his starting job and he, DHB, Murphy, Chaz, Zach Miller, Bush, and McFadden can gel into what seems to be, potential-wise, one of the best skill-position player sets of any team in the league.

Of course, that potential needs to translate into production to have value. Yesterday, though a tough loss where many mistakes were made, showed me the possibility of making that a reality sooner than later.

And that's something to be thankful for.

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2010 Denver Broncos Mock Draft Part Two: Could Denver Trade Down?

Sayre Bedinger — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:06:42 -0500

The Denver Broncos are fresh off of their biggest victory of the season, defeating the New York Giants 26-6 on Thanksgiving night.

In light of that victory, it's time for a new mock draft.

My last draft segment had the Broncos taking Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford, and I have since realized that taking Bradford will be all but impossible unless the Broncos trade up, which is something they simply cannot afford to do.

The Broncos have only five picks going into this draft, and they will likely try to move down on draft day unless a "can't miss" prospect falls into their laps.

Certainly it will be hard to pass on a guy like Rolando McClain, the star middle linebacker from Alabama, but the Broncos have to.

One interesting scenario would be for Josh McDaniels to go back to his New England roots and strike a deal with Bill Belicheck and the Patriots, who are armed with three second round picks.

The Chicago Bears are reeling right now, and the pick that they are sending to the Broncos is likely to be in the top 15 at the very worst. They currently have a record of 4-6, and still have two games left against division leader Minnesota.

In all likelihood, the Bears will finish the season with eight losses or more, putting the Broncos in very good position for a high draft pick.

How does this all come together?

The Broncos could choose to trade down to New England's pick by giving up a prospect like Florida's Carlos Dunlap, who could fill in for the Pats' departed Richard Seymour. New England would be able to move up to, let's say pick number 10, and the Broncos would move down to pick 27.

Moving down 17 picks is a huge discrepancy in the NFL Draft, and the trade value chart is often a good depiction of how much a team is willing to give up.

The 10th overall pick is worth 1,300 points on the trade value chart, and the 27th pick is only worth 680. The Patriots would likely include both of their late second round picks to account for the difference in points.

The Patriots hold Jacksonville's pick, which is currently projected at 22nd and worth 360 points in the second round. New England's pick is worth 300, and the difference would be 40 points—essentially nothing.

Armed with three second round picks, the Broncos really would be in business.

In this projected sequence, they hold the 27th, 54th, 56th, and 60th picks in the first two rounds of the draft.

At this point, Broncos fans are salivating.

Here's how I would spend those picks if I were Josh McDaniels and the rest of the Broncos' brass.

First Round, 27th overall: Colt McCoy, Quarterback, Texas

I love his intangibles and leadership as a quarterback prospect. He has a much better arm than he's given credit for and he is extremely accurate with his throws. If you missed the Texas-Texas A&M game, then you missed out on just how mobile this kid really is. He is a phenomenal athlete.

Second Round, 54th overall: Javier Arenas, Cornerback, Alabama

Extremely versatile player, might not last to this pick. He is an elite-level return man, and is more than just a good cover corner with excellent speed. He has five sacks in his senior season, and is also a phenomenal tackler. If he were a couple inches taller, he would be a top-20 pick.

Second Round, 56th overall: Corey Wootton, Defensive End, Northwestern

Wootton is a versatile defensive lineman, who could potentially be the best five technique available in the draft. He excels in stopping the run, but also gets a solid push in the passing game. He is athletic enough to stand up in the 3-4 or put his hand in the ground.

Second Round, 60th overall: Jerry Hughes, Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, TCU

Hughes is an elite pass rusher who has really gone under the radar. He reminds me a lot of current Bronco Elvis Dumervil, though Hughes is a couple of inches taller. He is a phenomenal tackler who would transition well to the 3-4 defensive scheme, and he would add great depth to the Broncos' linebacker core.

Third Round, 88th overall: Jordan Shipley, Wide Receiver, Texas

The Broncos' wide receivers are a fairly elite group as it currently stands, but Brandon Stokley is aging, and why not give first round pick Colt McCoy his favorite college target at the next level? Shipley is an intelligent receiver with deceptive speed, and he is also an asset in the return game.

Fourth Round, 120th overall: Eric Olsen, Offensive Lineman, Notre Dame

Again, here is some more versatility, which the Broncos' coaching staff loves. Olsen started last season as an offensive guard, and has been the center for the Fighting Irish in 2009. He would be an ideal pickup for the Broncos at this point in the draft, as he adds both size and versatility to the interior of the line.

No Fifth Round Selections

Sixth Round, 184th overall: Dexter McCluster, Running Back, Ole Miss

McCluster is Darren Sproles version 2.0. He is a small back with blazing speed who does virtually everything well. He has excellent hands out of the backfield and would be a great weapon in the passing game for the Broncos.

Knowshon Moreno is the Broncos' power back, and Correll Buckhalter has obviously lost a step or two. McCluster would be a nice addition.

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Forget Mike Holmgren and Give Seattle Seahawks Some New Linemen

Chris Cluff — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 15:02:29 -0500

The ongoing scuttlebutt about Mike Holmgren possibly returning to Seattle in some Grand Poobah role sure seems like crazy talk.

The Seahawks have already determined their course, and it involves Jim Mora leading this team for at least the next year. It’s almost impossible to envision them altering course so drastically by bringing back Holmgren—whether to replace president Tim Ruskell (pictured left) or to be put in a role above a new general manager, yet below CEO Tod Leiweke (pictured right).

Leiweke aligned himself firmly with Ruskell when he hired him in 2005, so he surely will be hesitant to give up on him unless he decides the team would take too much of a PR hit by keeping him. Owner Paul Allen and Holmgren have a good relationship, but it’s hard to imagine that the ailing Seahawks owner, who has non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, is taking much of a hands-on approach to his football team these days.

Add the fact that Holmgren’s record as a personnel guy is no better than Ruskell’s , and it’s hard to see why so many people want Holmgren back and why the Seahawks might think that would be a good idea.

Mora is going nowhere, and Ruskell is coming off perhaps his best offseason in charge of the team. The best thing to do is to ride it out with them next year and see if they can get the Hawks back to the playoffs in the last year of Matt Hasselbeck’s contract. If the Seahawks aren’t on the way back up next year, Leiweke can blow up the team starting in 2011.

So what do Ruskell and Mora need to do to make this a playoff team in 2010?

Recreate the Offensive Line

Max Unger should replace Chris Spencer at center now so he gets experience for next season. Then Ruskell must find two new starters—a right guard to replace Unger and a left tackle to replace Sean Locklear. The 'Hawks also need better interior depth, so they need to draft a guard who is better than the backups they have, possibly one to replace Rob Sims. That’s three new linemen.

Oklahoma State’s Russell Okung is considered the top tackle in the draft, but unless the Hawks are in the top five again, they probably don’t have a chance at him. But other top-15 tackles include Oklahoma’s Trent Williams, USC’s Charles Brown, and Rutgers junior Anthony Davis. The Seahawks could easily end up with one of them. Iowa’s Bryan Bulaga could be had late in the first round.

Considering the state of the 'Hawks’ offensive line, two first-round tackles wouldn’t be the worst idea. But one is the bare minimum. If Ruskell doesn’t take a tackle in the first round in April, you can fire him on the spot.

However they do it, the line next year should include three new linemen, in addition to Locklear, Unger, Ray Willis and maybe Sims, with Walter Jones and Brandon Frye long shots to return. Mansfield Wrotto and Steve Vallos make it only as deep reserves.

The bottom line, so to speak, is this: The Hawks simply have to stop harboring injury-prone linemen and instead build a sturdy line of talented big men. It’s time to cut the cord with Spencer and maybe even Sims. Locklear should get one more chance—and only one—to stay healthy and be productive.

Ruskell’s strategy of trying to develop fourth-round picks has failed. It’s time to remake Seattle’s line with high draft picks and a good, young free agent.

Find a Playmaking Safety

Many people want the Hawks to take USC’s Taylor Mays in the first round, and Tennessee’s Eric Berry is a stud, too. But they might be gone before Seattle picks. And neither is worth combining both first-round picks (including the one Seattle got from Denver last April) to trade up, especially when the Seahawks also must find a new left tackle and could use help on the defensive line.

The Seahawks might look to free agency for a young safety. A number of young veterans could become free, so the Hawks should see whether they can find upgrades for Deon Grant and Jordan Babineaux that way. However they do it, they must find a playmaking safety.

Replace Patrick Kerney with a Guy Who Can Rush the Passer

Kerney is washed up and should be let go, especially considering he is due to be paid over $5 million next season. It’s ridiculous that the Seahawks are paying him $7 million this year (he’s counting $10 million).

The Seahawks could use that money for someone who can still get to the passer. Odds are they will need to find a pass rusher in the draft, though, because most of the free agents are on the wrong side of 30, and the Hawks have been there, done that with Kerney and Grant Wistrom.

Add a Young Running Back

This is a lower priority than the offensive line, safety, and pass rusher, but the 'Hawks certainly could use a good, young running back. The best guys are Clemson’s C.J. Spiller, Georgia Tech junior Jonathan Dwyer, and California junior Jahvid Best. Spiller and Dwyer are viewed as top-10 talents.

Beyond them, it’s a pretty average RB class, though. The Seahawks’ best shot at one might come in the fourth round.

Ideally, the Seahawks will do their best New England imitation and trade down to acquire picks in the second and third rounds (since they surrendered their 2010 third to get receiver Deon Butler last April). If they can move down, they potentially could end up with five picks in the first two rounds. In a perfect world, that would net two offensive linemen, a safety, a running back and a pass rusher.

That’s what Ruskell has to do to give Mora the kind of team that can get back to the playoffs—and save the jobs of the coach and general manager.

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Come To Think Of It: Black Friday May Lead To Black & Blue Sunday For Bears

Bob Warja — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 14:55:35 -0500

Today may be what they call "Black Friday", the busiest shopping day of the year. But for the Chicago Bears team, the only shopping they should be doing is to stock up on some Advil, because they may be pretty beat up come Sunday night.

It used to be the Bears doing the beatdowns. But this Minnesota Vikings team is really good. If it's not the Bears bodies that will be hurting after this game, it may be their ego.

Look, I'm a die-hard Bears fan but even I'm not sure I want the Bears to upset the heavily favorited Vikes. For one thing, it would lead to more of the false optimism that may result in justification for another year of Lovie Smith as head coach and Jerry as GM.

For another thing, it will mask the problems that need to be addressed on this team.

Fortunately, or unfortunately, depending on your viewpoint, a win for the Bears this Sunday is not likely. Brett Favre is not throwing interceptions, so the Vikings will not beat themselves. He was nearly perfect last week against the Seahawks.

Even if you stop Favre's passing, can you stop Adrian Peterson's rushing? They haven't before, and he is still the same prolific runner as always, though he has an ankle (as Wanny would say). Peterson is listed as "probable" on the injury report.

Then there is the Minnesota defense, led by the hated but equally awesome Jared Allen. Allen said this about Jay Cutler after he signed with the Bears: "Twice a year I'm going to peel the back of his head off the turf."

Allen goes up against Orlando Pace this week, and let's face it, he is not playing like a hall of famer these days.

And if that nightmare wasn't enough, you have the "Williams Wall."

So the Bears, who have lost five of six, play on the road against a 9-1 Vikings team? Against a defense that held Seattle to just four yards rushing last week?

As Dick Enberg would say, "Oh, my!"

They call it the "black and blue" division for a reason, come to think of it.

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Bengals-Eagles: NFL Survivor Picks Week Twelve (Post T-Day)

Mike MacGregor — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 14:51:59 -0500

Happy Thanksgiving! Yes, we had Thanksgiving Day games this week yet I am still writing my survivor picks on Friday as usual.

You can bet I would have had the heavily favored (and rightfully so) Green Bay Packers over the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys over the Oakland Raiders amongst my top picks, but writing the article prior to Friday just doesn’t fit into my schedule.

In the pools I’m running (one , two , three ), between 18 percent and 35 percent had Green Bay or Dallas, and they can sit back and enjoy the weekend, cheering for upsets galore. As for the rest of us, we have some work to survive another week.

Last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers were a huge disappointment losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in overtime. The Steelers give up way too many kick return touchdowns, and they did just that, but they should have been capable of spotting the Chiefs seven points and still win the game

The team was without star safety Troy Polamalu, but we knew that going in. It is not like they are not used to playing without him from earlier in the season.

People think that Kansas City is a tough place to play. It isn’t really, not in recent history. Prior to this game, the Chiefs were 3-17 at home since the start of the 2007 season.

So what happened? Near as I can figure, the Steelers just blew it. Fortunately for them, the Bengals also blew their game against the Raiders—a game I was leery about and therefore kept it out of my top three picks —but unfortunately, the Steelers loss led to a fair number of survivor pool exits last week.

My other picks, the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals, came through as expected for a 2-1 week. Now, let’s get on to this week.

Cincinnati Bengals Over Cleveland Browns (stats )

If you used the Bengals last week, then you probably aren’t reading this article. The Raiders pulled their second survivor pool “gotcha” of the year (recall Philadelphia Eagles, Week Six) scoring 10 points inside the final two minutes to upset the Bengals.

The Bengals were coming off huge divisional wins in back-to-back weeks over the Baltimore Ravens and Steelers, so a flat game travelling to Oakland was not that much of a surprise. There is enough body of work this year to indicate the Bengals are, in fact, for real (for right now) and the Raiders game was a one-off rather than exposing the Bengals as a fraud.

The Bengals are playing excellent defense, and the offense is clicking well with the running game and distributed passing by QB Carson Palmer. They just aren’t putting up many points in recent weeks. Short of the 45 they dropped on the Bears, the past five of six games are all under 20 points.

One reason is because they are a ball control, grind it out running offense. A small silver lining that came out of the Raiders game is that, even without bruiser Cedric Benson in the lineup, the Bengals appear to have a player in rookie RB Bernard Scott. Scott handled 21 carries plus three catches for 150 yards. If Benson cannot go again this week, then Scott should be able to fill in admirably.

Given the state of the Browns defense, as witnessed in the dramatic loss to the Detroit Lions last week, can we expect the Bengals to be closer to 20 points or 45 in this one? I’d say, closer to 45. Palmer should have his way with the Browns.

As for the Browns' offense against the Bengals' defense, yes, Brady Quinn did have a career day last week tossing four TD passes. As the Thanksgiving Day early game helped us keep Matthew Stafford’s Week Eleven performance in perspective with, “well, that was against the Browns,” we can similarly expect that last week Quinn’s stats were highly influenced by, “well, that was against the Lions.”

Last week was not an indication that the Browns have turned the corner on offense, and what we can expect to see is a sub-100 yard rushing, around 150 yard passing day by the Browns, resulting in 14 or fewer points.

The Browns did play the Bengals pretty tough earlier this season, a 23-20 overtime win by the Bengals at Cleveland. The Browns suffered multiple key injuries since then, and rookie WR Mohamed Massaquoi isn’t going to sneak up on them this time.

Mark down the Bengals for the win.

Philadelphia Eagles Over Washington Redskins (stats )

Another division game, which is in general a no-no for survivor pools, but one in which the game seems lopsided enough in the home team’s favor that we’ll buck the general rule and pick the Eagles for the win.

The Redskins did just about knock off the Cowboys last week, losing 7-6 with the Dallas TD coming very late in the fourth quarter. Plus, the Redskins won the prior week at home to the Denver Broncos, 27-17 on the strength of a great rushing day by Ladell Betts and after knocking Kyle Orton out of the game.

The Redskins have since lost Betts for the year, and Clinton Portis doesn’t seem any closer to returning to the lineup. Special-teamer Rock Cartwright filled in admirably last week off the bench but can he pull that stunt again? I have my doubts.

The Redskins' offense is short on talent and scheme, that posting average points is a struggle. They’ve been sub-20 points nine times this year, and given the Eagles' defense is fairly stout, holding opponents to 20 or less seven of eight times since their bye, bank on the Redskins scoring under 20.

As for the Eagles offense against the Redskins defense, the Eagles could (I say could) have a little trouble. The Redskins are pretty good defensively, while the Eagles rely on the big play since their young guys are, not unexpectedly, rather inconsistent. If the big plays don’t happen, the offense could struggle a little.

Still, the Eagles showed more commitment to the run last week than their typical m.o., giving LeSean McCoy 20 carries and he delivered with 99 yards and a TD. I’m not sure this is a sign of things to come, but it is a positive if they get more run-pass balance. They even seem to have figured out how to use Michael Vick better than earlier in the season.

The Eagles should be able to control this game by shutting down the Redskins' offense and putting their own offense into good field position to score. Furthermore, this game has to mean a lot more to the Eagles at this point than to the Redskins, who continue to walk around wondering who their new coach is going to be next year.

The Eagles need to keep pace with the Cowboys, who won Thursday and currently hold a one-and-a-half game edge over Philly. If Philly loses and falls two full games back at this late stage of the season, they might have to kiss the division title goodbye.

Count on a strong Philly performance and win on Sunday.

Mike MacGregor created the Cheatsheet Compiler and Draft Buddy fantasy football and fantasy baseball draft tools, plus he developed various features and sports pools found at FFToday.com and MyOfficePool.ca. Mike owns and operates MyOfficePool.ca .

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San Francisco 49ers Defense: Ignored By the Press, Abused By Their Opponents

Michael Erler — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 14:47:28 -0500

Ask the average 49ers fan on the Stairmaster why the team has a disappointing 4-6 record, and the answer you're most likely to get besides "Who the hell are you?" and "You're really bad at small talk," is going to be...

A) Jimmy Raye, that dastardly stubborn, old-fashioned offensive coordinator of ours, or

B) Alex Smith, whom the team plainly refuses to accept is a bust, or

C) Mike Singletary, the very personification of sound and fury signifying nothing, or

D) The Offensive Line, who all surely dabble in bullfighting in the off-season, or

E) All of the Above.

Meanwhile the fellas on the other side of the ball, the defense, continue to tiptoe on by, in "don't mind little ol' us" fashion, smiling their Cheshire cat smiles, perfectly content to be as anonymous as they are subpar.

It is assumed that the defense is the strength of the team because Mike Singletary, the coach, made his bones there as a player and more so because he says it is.

The reality is that the defense is the strength of the team in that it's less awful than the offense, but default praise and backhanded compliments are hardly the stuff on which championships are built.

While the jury is certainly out on what—if anything—"Coach Sing" understands of the offensive game, no one questions his defensive pedigree, even though it appears from the outside that the extent of his tactical acumen boils down to "We got to hit 'em in the mouth."

Unfortunately "Hits on Mouth" is not a recognized NFL statistic, so we really have no idea how successful the defense has been in that regard, but the crude numerical tools that we do have at our disposal tell us that, like Singletary himself, the defense has been more bark than bite.

The run defense, despite the occasional gashing they've suffered against the Chris Johnsons and Ryan Grants of the world, is pretty solid, allowing 94.7 yards per game, good for sixth in the league.

With an interior trio of nosetackle Aubrayo Franklin and middle linebackers Patrick Willis and Takeo Spikes, this isn't too much of a surprise.

However the pass defense is ranked 30th, ahead of just the Titans and the Lions, and allowing 256.1 yards per, and given what they have to work with, that isn't much of a surprise either.

While it's natural to blame the secondary for their poor coverage, the lion's share of the blame must fall to the front seven for not putting enough heat on opposing quarterbacks.

The 49ers have only 19 sacks on the season, which ranks them 22nd there, and consequently they're allowing 42.7 percent of third downs against them to be converted, which is 28th worst in the league.

Without a pass rush, a defense simply can't get off the field.

Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers came into last week's game having been sacked 41 times in nine games, the highest total in the league. Yet against the 49ers he wasn't touched, let alone sacked, the entire first half and threw for 274 yards the first two quarters as the Packers breezed to a 23-3 halftime lead.

In a 3-4 defense, the two outside 'backers are guys expected to generate a lot of heat, but Parys Haralson and Manny Lawson have combined for just 5.5 sacks, or about half of what Pittsburgh's James Harrison has on his own.

Defensive end Justin Smith meanwhile, the guy they count on to wreck havoc the most, has but one sack on the year.

Smith is getting plenty of pressures to be sure, but he just doesn't seem to have the burst to "get home" as they say in the biz.

That's not to say the secondary is totally blameless. Star corner Nate Clements got benched for his poor play before injuring his shoulder at Indianapolis. His replacement, Tarell Brown, will ride the pine in favor of Dre' Bly Sunday against Jacksonville.

Shawntae Spencer, the other corner, also gets beat on a regular basis and misses way too many tackles to compound the damage.

Of course we can't forget safety Michael Lewis, who never met a tight end he could cover.

It's ironic that Singletary, who played on such a physical, in-your-face, blitzing 46 defense with the Bears, is coaching such a soft, bend-but-don't-break outfit now.

The 49ers rarely blitz, and have their corners play so far off receivers that you'd think they're playing with four safeties. Apparently "Physical with an 'F'" doesn't extend to the corners who don't press.

Add it all up and what you have is a team whose offense can only move the ball with a finesse shotgun passing attack and whose defense plays scared when it doesn't play dead.

One of these days us media folk will ignore the team's plentiful offensive issues for a minute and get around to asking Singletary on a Rehash Monday why his guys can't stop anybody.

Then the coach will do what teams have been doing all too easily against the 49ers—dodge and duck and evade our questions, running toward open field.

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Speak Up: Brett Favre on Jay Cutler's Struggles

Jake Perper — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 14:36:19 -0500

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Brett Favre spoke up about Jay Cutler and his play yesterday. Here’s what he had to say:

" I think he’s better [at 26 than I was] at this stage, he’s way more advanced. Physically, he’s got all the tools. But mentally, he’s way more advanced and able to see defenses and read things. I don’t think it’s a bad thing to want to put it all on your shoulders. And I know that’s what he’s thinking.

"The comparisons are his arm strength and trying to do too much, but I know this: Trying to do too much and take it all on your shoulders has worked for me. So continue to do what you’re doing. At times, the better decision would be take a sack, throw it away, whatever. After 19 years, there’s been a lot of those what-ifs or should-have-done-this, but the fact is that I’m still here at 19 years.

"There is no doubt that Jay is a heck of a player. This is a stretch that has been obviously tough on him, but keep shootin’ it. That’s what people are afraid of. They want him to be very cautious, and I know that there are some plays that he probably should have been a little more cautious. I can say the same thing about me. But you’ve got to play the game the way that you know how, and that’s why they made a trade for him. So he’ll be fine.

"I played against those guys for so long, and anytime the Bears would be at .500 or less is a surprise, Lovie’s teams have always been very good. I think they are now. I think once Jay offensively hits his stride and gets some consistency with his receivers and gets on the same page, I think they’re going to be fine.

"I wouldn’t give him any, anything that he wouldn’t know already. I obviously have been in that situation at different times in my career. Now, the fact that he went over to a different team, the way it all kind of went down, obviously I’m a little bit familiar with that. I know for Jay, the expectation level obviously was high, as it would have been high in Denver. It comes with a lot of extra baggage being the star quarterback.

"So I’m sure he felt the pressure as we all should at that position to put up big plays and good numbers, but more importantly, wins. You try to do too much. I know Jay a little bit, but I don’t know him all that well, so it would be unfair for me to sit here and say what he’s thinking or doing or whatever. I think they picked him up for a reason. I think he’s damn good, I think he will be good and he’ll be fine. I know he knows that, and I’m sure to a certain extent that’s what Donovan may have been talking to him about at the end of the game the other day.

"I say, so? Who am I to say Jay’s not having fun or is having fun because his demeanor is different than mine? We all form opinions just by watching someone, the body language, the whatever. It’s obviously unfair. So you make a bad decision, your team loses, or you’re in a tough situation, I don’t see where you should be out there smiling and joking around.

"If they’re 10-0 or whatever, it’s a little bit easier to smile and have a good time. ... They didn’t bring Jay in to smile and smack the ref on the heinie or whatever. They brought him in to win games. Not that I’ve ever done that."

all quotes from chicagosuntimes.com

Jake Perper is the creator of www.BearsBacker.com and also covers the Bears for www.NFLTouchdown.com and www.MVN.com.

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The Washington Redskins Remember Sean Taylor

Anthony Brown — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 14:06:12 -0500

It's something you want to forget, but take a moment to remember Sean Taylor. The former Reskins safety was a promising young man and a rising star who was painfully snatched from his friends and family two years ago today.

Taylor emerged as the hard hitting face of the Washington Redskins defense, supplanting LaVar Arrington in that role. No one has replaced Taylor

Taylor was allegedly shot and killed in his home by a few degenerates who had taken advantage of his generosity to enter his home to rob him, according to charges brought by the Miami-Dade states attorney's office.

The accused face trial in January 2010.

Taylor was Joe Gibbs' first and best draft choice since returning to coach the Redskins in 2004. Gibbs passed up the chance to take Taylor's Miami Hurricane teammate Kellen Winslow II with the fifth overall pick that year.

No one argued the choice but Winslow himself, who promised to make the Redskins pay for the snub. Joe Gibbs was the offensive coordinator for the San Diego Chargers when Winslow's father, the Kellen Winslow, gave lift to the Air Coryell Downfield Offense.

Young Winslow never made good on the threat on the field. Off the field, however, his rookie contract with the Cleveland Browns fed into Taylor's heartburn about his deal with the Redskins.

Taylor would fire his agents and rehire Drew "Mr. Renegotiate" Rosenhaus, who he earlier dismissed.

Taylor had a rough start to pro football. He worked his way through missed rookie symposiums, late hit fines, trumped up traffic charges, a violent confrontation to recover stolen property and a famous incident where saliva escaped his lips onto Michael Pittman's face.

Balancing the scales were Taylor's big hits which induced fear, uncertainty, and doubt in receivers running anywhere near him.

In what has been called the Hand Of God game , Taylor snatched victory from certain defeat by those unwashed heathens from Dallas.

Taylor snagged a blocked field goal attempt and returned it to the Cowboys 44 yard line to set up Nick Novak's winning field goal. The Skins were helped by a face mask penalty against the Cowboys for grabbing Taylor's face mask.

In 2007, with fans clamoring for the Redskins to boost the defensive line by drafting DE Jamaal Anderson or DT Amobi Okoye, Washington selected LSU safety LaRon Landry to pair him with Taylor.

Only Joe Gibbs had the juice to make such a pick with little more than grumbling by the fanbase. But man, when the season began, we could see what Gibbs envisioned with Taylor and Landry. We could only dream of what was to come.

What did come was something worse. Just as Taylor and pro football were adjusting to each other, he was taken. Tragedy pushed Joe Gibbs and Daniel Snyder to their finest moments.

Gibbs held the team together and guided the players to channel love for Taylor to a playoff appearance in his honor. Snyder's generosity was a text book case of how an owner should respond in the face of death.

The crises took a toll on Gibbs, who thought of what coaching was costing him in family time and eventually left the game. Snyder failed to show the leadership in 2009 that he did in 2007.

Family, team, coaches, owner and fans have all been hurt by Taylor's absence.

We don't know what might have been had Taylor lived, but I am certain of this. There's no damned way Tony Romo completes that pass last Sunday if Sean Taylor were back there.

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Cowboys Crush Raiders 24-7, Face Tough December

Derek Major — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:49:38 -0500

The Cowboys know that December is going to be a tough month and with a game against the lowly Raiders the Cowboys didn't play with their Thanksgiving food as they dominated the game start to finish.

The Cowboys' offense was as perfect as a Thanksgiving turkey. Tony Romo went 18-for-29 for 308 yards and two TDs. Receiver Miles Austin and Tight End Jason Witten benefited from Romo's good day as they had plenty of balls to catch.

Jason Witten had five catches for 107 yards, his longest catch coming in the third quarter when Romo avoided a sack and hit Witten for a 44-yard catch and run that led to a Roy Williams TD. Witten was questionable on Monday but his sore foot improved during the week and he showed no signs of the injury during the game.

Miles Austin had been held in check the last two games but busted out on Turkey Day with seven catches for 145 yards and one TD. Austin beat pro bowl safety Nnamdi Asomugha a few times and was able to score on a screen pass after his TD two plays before was overturned after a official challenge.

The running game for the Cowboys was great. Smash, Dash and Tash each had one run of over 30 yards and finished with 196 yards combined. Marion Barber had 61 yards on 14 carries and also added a 42-yard catch. Felix Jones finished with seven carries for 68 yards including a 46-yard TD run that gave the Cowboys a 10-0 lead. Tashard Choice ran mainly out of the Wildcat and finished with three carries for 67 yards including a 66-yard scamper that set up a Nick Folk Field goal to make it 3-0.

The Cowboys defense gave up less than 10 points for the second straight game. Bruce Gradkowski (18-for-35, 200 yards and one TD) was pressured throughout the game and sacked three times. Gradkowski connected with Darrius Heyward-Bey for the Raiders only TD in the third quarter.

Linebacker Anthony Spencer finally got his first two sacks of the season while the man he replaced Greg Ellis, sat on the Raiders bench with a swollen knee. DeMarcus Ware also had a sack and a forced fumble recovered by Jay Ratliff to end the first half.

The running game for the Raiders was successful early in the game, but as the game went on the Cowboys front seven took control. Justin Fargas finished with 63 yards on 12 carries; Darren McFadden had eight carries for 23 yards and added 43 yards receiving.

The Cowboys secondary shut down the Raiders receivers as tight end Zach Miller led the team with 73 yards on five catches. Heyward-Bey, Chad Schilens and Louis Murphy combined for just six catches and 75 yards.

The Cowboys now head into December where the Cowboys are 17-29 since 1999 and this December won't be an easy one. The Cowboys face the Giants on the road, and then face the Chargers at home before going on a two game road trip to New Orleans and Washington.

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Ten Steps To Rebuilding The Browns: It Starts With Quinn

Sam Ingro — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:48:24 -0500

Welcome to Cleveland football, another season, another failed rebuilding attempt.

Not all has been a waste however, bright spots have formed with the development of Mohamed Massaquoi and Kaluka Maiava, the compiling of eleven draft picks, the addition of Jason Trusnik and Chansi Stuckey, and the unloading of Braylon Edwards.

At over the halfway point in the season, the talks of next season have already started. Soon it will be the hiring of a Head of Football Operations, a team assessment, and then the 2010 draft.

In the draft, Cleveland has wasted far too many first round picks on quarterbacks. Let's face it, odds are good they are never going to find the next Peyton Manning or Tom Brady. Honestly, it's entirely possible there never will be one again.

With college offenses being built so strongly now on the spread design, predicting which quarterbacks will find success in the NFL is like finding a needle in a haystack.

As much as I'm hesitant to say it, building around Quinn is the only way to do it. He's a game manager and limits his turnovers.

Whether or not he ever becomes an elite passer remains to be seen, but he could be built around in the same way as QB's like Kyle Orton, Chad Pennington, Joe Flacco, etc.

1. Bring in Mike Holmgren for GM and Head of Football Operations.
Along with being a great football mind, Holmgren is a well known quarterback groomer. Helping develop passers like Joe Montana, Steve Young, Brett Favre, and Matt Hasselbeck. Having him as a leader could bring along Quinn's development more than anything.

2. Bring in Charlie Weis for offensive coordinator.
Weis knows how to get the best out of Quinn and more importantly is a proven offensive coordinator. Weis not only coached Brady at Notre Dame, but spend four successful seasons with Tom Brady in New England as the coordinator there. Getting Quinn comfortable and giving him the people to help him find success is vital to finding life in Cleveland's offense.

3. Release Derek Anderson to end the controversy.
By popular opinion and terrible performances this year, Derek Anderson has effectively taken himself out of the running for franchise quarterback. To end the controversy finally, Derek Anderson must be released or traded at the end of the season.

4. Bring in a veteran quarterback mentor.
Bringing in a veteran to mentor Quinn is another important step, a great fit that knows Mangini's system would be Chad Pennington. He's a free agent at the end of the year and coming off shoulder surgery won't garner much excitement around the league, making him a knowledgeable and suitable backup.

5. Tighten up the defense with S Eric Berry in the first round.
By my estimates Cleveland should be looking at the No. 3 to No. 5 pick in the draft this year, with likely wins pending over Kansas City and Oakland. Allowing this first round pick to be used on defense, instead of yet another quarterback as predicted by most mock draft boards, is huge in the rebuilding process. A shut down safety like Eric Berry of Tennessee, or defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh of Nebraska, would help immensely.

6. Draft Golden Tate in the second round.
Golden Tate of Notre Dame, is supposed to go high in the in the early second round. He's familiar with Charlie Weis' system and draws comparisons to Steve Smith and Hines Ward by scouts. Lining up Tate across from Massaquoi could potentially be a combination to rival Fitzgerald-Boldin someday.

7. Draft a power running back in the third round of the 2010 draft.
Getting a run game started takes a lot of pressure off a young quarterback and struggling offense. While it's a big need, James Davis has untapped potential and will be back in uniform next season, so the need isn't as great as a first rounder, a third will do. In the third round, there are a handful of solid backs scheduled to still be available. Johnathon Dwyer, Montario Hardesty, Toby Gerhart, and Evan Royster. Although with as good as Gerhart's been this year, it's unlikely he'll still be around.

8. Trade a 2011 fifth round pick to Miami for TE Anthony Fasano.
Quinn's former tight end at Notre Dame with reliable hands. Fasano plays for Miami but hasn't been very productive in their Wildcat offense, it's entirely possible they would give him up for next to nothing. While not putting up the best numbers in Miami, a return to an offense led by Charlie Weis and run by Brady Quinn, could instantly restore his value.

9. Draft TE Anthony McCoy of USC in the 2010 fifth round.
Although having Fasano would be nice, having a second tight end like Anthony McCoy would be great. Mangini typically employs a two tight end scheme, and having two blocking, pass catching tight ends would be nothing but good news for the offense.

10. Tighten up the offensive line with RT Ciron Black (LSU) in the third, and RG John Jerry (Ole Miss) in the fourth.
Finally it brings us to the problem of the offensive line, Ciron Black and John Jerry are big boys who've made their career on some of the best lines in college football. Locking down the right side of the line would put the last piece of the puzzle in order. A line of Thomas, Steinbach, Mack, Jerry, and Black would be one anybody could be proud of.

Always up for your opinions, what do you think Cleveland needs to do to get back to respectability?

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Matthew Stafford's Legendary Tale Gets Rewritten by Packers

Greg Eno — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:46:16 -0500

Cinderella's coach really did turn back into a pumpkin. Hansel and Gretel got caught after all. None of the pigs got around to building a joint out of brick.

John Elway's legend is safe once again. Whoever sculpts those busts for Canton needn't rush out to procure a head shot of Matthew Stafford at his earliest convenience.

Cloud Nine just touched down. The bandwagon came to a screeching halt—after one game.

If rookie quarterbacks were stock on the New York Stock Exchange, their chart would look like an EKG readout.

On Sunday, Stafford won a game for the Lions—damaged wing and all. Real storybook stuff. Someone dared to disturb Bobby Layne's ghost over it.

Four days later, the reset button got hit, taking his progression back to the hot July days of training camp.

On Sunday, the kid threw five touchdown passes. It usually takes a Lions QB half a season to do that. On Thursday, he had a fetish of throwing to the wrong guys. Four interceptions, and it could have been more. Each one of them was a killer.

The rookie quarterback gives, and he takeths away. Within four days, sometimes.

Stafford tried to pen another chapter in the tiny legend he's trying to author as a first-year signal caller in the NFL.

His tender left shoulder was so bad after Sunday's game that the idea of him playing on Thanksgiving Day seemed folly.

The days of the short week passed, and after each one, the diagnosis was the same: doubtful. Highly.

Backup Daunte Culpepper arrived at Ford Field Thursday morning thinking he was the starter. He had taken all the reps with the first team. Stafford's left wing was still limp.

But a funny thing happened, though the humor was lost on Culpepper.

Stafford threw some footballs Thursday during warmups, and suddenly things weren't so bad. The doctors, abiding by the script, agreed that Stafford playing wouldn't cause any further damage. It was deemed to be a "pain management issue."

So Stafford is announced as the starter not long before game time, and Culpepper was probably the only person in the stadium who was disappointed with that determination.

But someone forgot to send the script over to the Green Bay Packers for their approval.

After an early hiccup—a fumbled opening kickoff that led to a Stafford-to-Calvin Johnson TD toss—the Packers regained control and jammed Stafford's next chapter into the paper shredder.

If you played a drinking game where you had to take a shot of booze whenever Troy Aikman said something like, "That's part of the development of a rookie quarterback," you'd be reading this with a hangover. But Troy's right, and he ought to know. Aikman suffered through a 1-15 season with the 1989 Cowboys, in which he went 0-11 as a starter.

I tried my hand at playing soothsayer on Monday's episode of "The Knee Jerks," the Blog Talk Radio gabfest I co-host with Big Al Beaton .

Stafford could very well, I said, go back to being the goat as soon as on Thanksgiving Day, because that's what happens with these young whippersnappers. They waddle, then they fall down sometimes.

I'm not right all that often, but I picked a helluva time to be spot on.

The loss on Thursday wasn't all on the kid, though.

Once again, the Lions' pass rushers treated the opposing quarterback as if he'd had a garlic sandwich before the game, topped with limburger.

I think I saw Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, prior to rocketing a 68-yard bomb to Donald Driver in the first quarter, have a shave and brush his teeth. Or maybe the rules were that the Lions' pass rushers had to count to 20-Mississippi, and they got stuck on 11 or 12.

Once again, the Lions were the antidote to what ailed the other team. The Packers have had trouble all season protecting Rodgers, who came into the game being sacked once for every 8.9 pass attempts. That rate was one for every 39 passing attempts on Thursday.

It wasn't just that the Lions didn't sack Rodgers; they didn't even get within shouting distance of him. They made him more comfortable in the pocket than a set of car keys.

The Lions' secondary needs all the help it can get, and it's not getting it from the front four. The pass coverage is softer than Charmin, and it's being made to look even worse because of the complete lack of pressure from the pass rushers.

So it's not all on Stafford, but there will still be afternoons where he's no help, as on Thursday, and at Seattle, and against the Rams.

All part of the development of a rookie quarterback, right?

Ha! Now you have to take a shot.

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Week 12 Start 'Em/Sit 'Em

Joe Fortenbaugh — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 13:07:27 -0500

GET ‘EM IN YOUR LINEUP

Matt Ryan QB Atlanta Falcons

Ryan has struggled of late, throwing 10 interceptions and topping 250 passing yards just twice in his last six games. Many experts have recommended you bench him until further notice. Well, now is the time to get him back in your starting lineup.

Sunday, Ryan and the Falcons host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who bring a defense that has been victimized by the passing game this season. In 10 games, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 209.4 yards per game and have tossed 12 touchdowns with just four interceptions for a QB Rating of 94.0 against the Bucs. In addition, the Bucs are allowing 29.4 points per game, good for 31st in the NFL.

Look for Ryan and the Falcons to get back on track in Week 12.

Also Start

Wide receiver Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons

White has caught just 14 passes for 170 yards and zero touchdowns in his last three outings. Expect his three-game scoreless streak to end Sunday. In addition, if running back Jason Snelling gets the start again this week (there’s a chance Michael Turner will play), make sure he’s in your lineup as well. Tampa ranks dead-last against the run in 2009, allowing 168.9 yards per game on the ground.

Mike Sims-Walker WR Jacksonville Jaguars

For owners in deeper leagues, this is a no-brainer. But for those of you with a stacked receiving unit in smaller leagues, be sure to get MSW in the starting rotation for his Week 12 showdown with the San Francisco 49ers . Sims-Walker has been red hot over his past three games, catching 17 passes for 287 yards and three touchdowns on 24 targets.

On the other side of the field, the 49ers have struggled against the pass this season and are currently allowing 256.1 yards per game through the air (30th). San Francisco has given up five 300-plus-yard passing games this season as well as 20 plays of 25 or more yards and 11 touchdowns via the air.

Justin Forsett/Julius Jones RB Seattle Seahawks

This one is up in the air at the moment as Jones returned to practice on Thursday for the first time since bruising his lung Nov. 15. In any event, whichever running back gets the nod on Sunday should be in your starting lineup.

The Seahawks travel to St. Louis to take on a Rams defense that has really struggled stopping the run. The Rams are giving up an average of 167.0 yards per game over their last five outings with eight touchdowns coming by way of the rush during that span. They’ve given up 11 rushing scores over their past six games while allowing opposing ball carries to average 4.7 yards per rush on the season.

Look for either Forsett or Jones to put up some serious numbers in Week 12.

Wide receiver Nate Burleson WR Seattle Seahawks

Burleson caught seven passes for 74 yards and one score on 11 targets the last time these two teams met back in Week 1.

Carson Palmer QB Cincinnati Bengals

Palmer’s been sluggish in his last two contests, averaging just 192.5 yards per game with zero touchdowns and one interception. However, if there’s one thing that cures a fantasy slump for a quarterback, it’s a date with the Cleveland Browns .

Palmer lit up the Browns secondary for 230 yards and two touchdowns the last time these teams squared off in Week 4 (Cincinnati won 23-20 in overtime). Remember, the Browns gave up five passing touchdowns to rookie Matthew Stafford and the Lions last week, and the Bengals are coming off an embarrassing 20-17 loss to the Raiders in Week 11. You know Cincy had a serious week of practice after that display.

You should also start Chad Ochocinco and Bernard Scott (unless Cedric Benson gets the start).

Kellen Winslow TE Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Since rookie quarterback Josh Freeman took over the starting job in Week 9, Winslow has quickly become his favorite receiver. The former Miami Hurricane is averaging 9.6 targets and 60.2 receiving yards over his last three games with 16 receptions and one touchdown.

In addition, the Falcons got lit up by Giants tight end Kevin Boss last Sunday for 76 yards and two touchdowns on five receptions. Keep in mind, Atlanta is giving up an average of 7.8 fantasy points to tight ends over the last six weeks. Not great, but definitely a good sign for a player like Winslow.

Ray Rice RB Baltimore Ravens

While the Steelers have done an excellent job against the rush this season, the Ravens are going to rely heavily on their most potent offensive weapon in this AFC North divisional showdown. Running backs Chris Johnson, Kevin Smith, Cedric Benson, Adrian Peterson and Jamaal Charles have combined to average 9.0 fantasy points per week against the Steel Curtain (standard scoring). While that number isn’t going to carry you to victory, it should be enough to warrant a starting spot in the rotation, especially with the amount of touches Rice is likely to see.

Keep an eye on…

New Orleans Saints running back Pierre Thomas and New England Patriots running back Laurence Maroney.

When the Pats and Saints meet on Monday night , most people assume this will be a pass-happy affair. But the best way to slow down another team’s offense is to keep them off the field. In the Patriots last “shootout” (vs. Indy), Maroney posted 10 fantasy points (standard scoring), while Thomas posted 21 for New Orleans when they took on the Falcons in a Week 8 “shootout.”

Three defenses to consider…

1. San Diego Chargers (vs. Kansas City)

The Bolts are allowing an average of just 13.8 points per game during their five-game winning streak.

2. Miami Dolphins (at Buffalo Bills)

The Bills rank 28th in total offense (275.7 yards per game) and 28th in points (15.5 per game) this season.

3. Seattle Seahawks (at St. Louis Rams)

If you need a sleeper defense to get your through Week 12, check out the Seahawks. Backup quarterback Kyle Boller will get the start in place of the injured Marc Bulger, and the Rams are averaging just 11.3 points per game in 2009 (31st).

SEND ‘EM TO THE BENCH

Braylon Edwards WR New York Jets

After catching five passes for 64 yards and a score in his Week 5 Monday night debut with the Jets in October, Edwards has been an afterthought in the New York offense. Edwards has hauled in just 12 passes for 217 yards and one touchdown in his past five games. While his lack of production can be partly attributed to the rookie struggles that quarterback Mark Sanchez is currently going through, the fact remains that Edwards is no longer a viable fantasy option.

Look for the trend to continue Sunday when the Jets host the Carolina Panthers and the NFL’s fourth-ranked passing defense (185.0 yards per game). Carolina cornerbacks Richard Marshall and Chris Gamble have been outstanding this season, and if the Panthers can get a decent pass rush on Sanchez, look for Edwards to turn in another sub-standard fantasy performance.

Also sit wide receiver Jerricho Cotchery, who is averaging just 72.7 receiving yards per game this season and has only topped the 100-yard receiving mark once in eight games.

Joe Flacco QB Baltimore Ravens

Flacco’s recent struggles are well documented, as the second-year quarterback has thrown only one touchdown with three interceptions over his past four games. He has topped the 200-yard passing mark just once during that span. But Flacco’s lack of fantasy production is only half of the reason why he should be riding the pine this weekend.

The main reason? Here come the Pittsburgh Steelers and a pass defense that’s holding opposing quarterbacks to an average QB Rating of 79.1 in 2009. The Steelers have given up just 11 passing touchdowns in 10 games and are holding opposing quarterbacks to a 59.1 completion percentage while giving up an average of just 208.7 passing yards per game (12th).

Look for another option at quarterback this weekend as Flacco’s fantasy struggles are going to continue.

Steve Smith WR Carolina Panthers

He’s scored four touchdowns in his past four games, but it’s time to send Smith back to the bench. The Panthers travel to New York this weekend to take on the Jets, and shutdown cornerback Darrelle Revis will be waiting.

Check out what Revis has done this season against some of the league’s best receivers:

Randy Moss (two games combined): Nine receptions, 58 yards, one touchdown
Marques Colston: two receptions for 33 yards
Andre Johnson: four receptions for 35 yards
Mike Sims-Walker: three receptions, 49 yards, one touchdown

Enough said.

Beanie Wells RB Arizona Cardinals

This is a Week 12 matchup that deserves a hell of a lot more attention than it’s going to get.

Wells has been red-hot the past two weeks, touching the ball 34 times for 202 total yards and three touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Tennessee defense seems to have figured out how to stop the running game, as they’ve allowed an average of only 73.0 yards over their past two outings, with no rushing touchdowns.

My money’s on the Titans as I expect Arizona to take to the skies in an effort to exploit the NFL’s 31st-ranked passing defense (271.7 yards per game).

Matt Forte RB Chicago Bears

Back to the bench for Forte this weekend as the Bears travel to Minnesota to take on the NFL’s third-ranked rushing defense (85.5 yards per game). Keep in mind that even when Forte was tearing up the league during his rookie season in 2008, he averaged just 3.6 yards per carry and 76.0 rushing yards per game with one touchdown in two meetings with the Vikings.

In unrelated, but not surprising news…

You’ve also got to keep Bears quarterback Jay Cutler on the bench this Sunday, no matter how badly you think the Vikings’ pass defense may be. Minnesota is 5-0 at the Metrodome this season with 17 sacks and has allowed just one passing touchdown over the past two games. Meanwhile, Jay Cut has already thrown 18 interceptions and has only one passing TD in his last two games.

Three defenses to avoid in Week 12…

1. Chicago Bears (at Minnesota)

The Vikings are averaging 30.4 points per game at home this season.

2. New Orleans Saints AND New England Patriots

They play each other Monday night . Would you feel comfortable going against Drew Brees or Tom Brady?

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Cardinals-Titans Preview: Arizona Looks to Halt Tennessee Hot Streak

Chris Farmer — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 12:45:59 -0500

The Cardinals face a tough matchup on Sunday afternoon versus a talented Titans team on a hot streak.

Ever since team owner Bud Adams demanded that Vince Young get another shot as the No. 1 QB, Tennessee has responded with four straight wins after beginning the season winless with Kerry Collins under center.

VY is clearly rejuvenated and playing with more confidence than ever in his young career. The team has changed its offensive approach, sprinkling in the college option play with positive results.

The interesting and maybe unintended effect of running the option is that not only does it allow Young to pick up first downs with his legs when the time is right, it also gives Chris Johnson even more chances out in open space, where he thrives.

With Collins in the lineup, CJ was good for 596 yards in six games. With Young starting, Johnson has rushed for 646 yards in four games.

It is a pretty scary thought to think that the Titans may have found a more effective scenario for Johnson and his deadly speed to flourish. CJ is on pace to become only the sixth back in league history to surpass 2,000 yards, and he is doing it at a 6.2 yards per carry clip.

Now for an absolutely ridiculous stat—Johnson has 18 carries of 20 yards or more. Adrian Peterson, the one usually anointed as the best back in the league, is the closest contender with 11.

The focus for the Arizona defense is quite obvious—attempt to contain Chris Johnson, as few teams have been able to do. They did a pretty good job versus Steven Jackson last game. If you throw out the 48-yard run, he only had 68 yards rushing otherwise. Not bad considering Jackson is second in the NFL in rushing behind Johnson.

Then again, that 48-yard run could be a frightening premonition of things to come on Sunday, as CJ is the fastest back in the league and the long runs, as stated earlier, are his forte.

Tennessee's challenge will be to slow down Kurt Warner and the prolific Cardinals passing attack. The Titans enter the game ranked 31st against the pass but have been playing better as of late, led by the fiery Cortland Finnegan.

Even if Finnegan is unable to completely slow down Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, he will surely get under their skin and try to provoke a ruckus. He is the type of player that welcomes a fracas because it helps him elevate his level of play.

This game should be a slugfest and may come down to the last drive of the game to determine the outcome.

This article also appears on NFLTouchdown.com

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