Bleacher Report - Articles by Cameron Britt

Billy and Takashi: Reactions to a Gun-Slinging Braves' GM

Cameron Britt — Fri, 04 Dec 2009 22:44:25 -0500

Well, the last two days were exciting, weren't they?

Two legitimate end-of-the-'pen options coming in.

Sure, they're 38 and 39, but Billy Wagner and Takashi Saito's track records indicate that they know what they're doing.

Wagner is sitting just a few saves short of 400 with 1,092 career Ks.

Saito sports a career 2.05 ERA that he has accumulated since turning 36 in his first Major League season with the Dodgers.

Despite their injury 'issues' (and I use 'these' for a reason), these guys are solid pick-ups.

Wagner's coming back from a surgery that sports a success rate in the 90s, and Saito experienced no issues with his elbow with Boston last season.

Yes, this gives the Braves these two as major parts of their team (late-inning relief with no legit replacements if both were to go down; but when you weigh their 'fixed' risks versus Soriano and Gonzalez's 'nagging' risks for about $4-8MM less, you have to like the value.)

What I can say most about these moves, though, is this: it's nice.

It's nice to see an offseason progressing quickly.

It's nice to see the Braves' front office getting what they need.

And, more than anything, it's nice to see the Wren-bashers receding into their holes.

"Oh, he's an idiot."

"Oh, he doesn't respect this team."

"Oh, he doesn't get anything done...it's just talk, talk, talk and no action."

That's what we saw last year around the Braves' blogosphere.

Now, not so much.

You know why?

Because all of his moves, to an extent, have proved to be successful.

Edgar Renteria became Jair Jurrjens and Gorkys Hernandez (who became Nate McLouth).

Prospects became Javier Vazquez and Boone Logan.

Smoltz became Kawakami and Lowe (in a roundabout way).

Losing Glavine became gaining Hanson.

Casey Kotchman became Adam LaRoche's second half.

You see?

This guy's starting to get respect, and based on the above series of moves, I trust the Saito and Wagner signings.

Are they the lefty-righty dynamic duo that Soriano and Gonzo were?

No.

But should they be solid?

Yes.

Now let's just hope that someone like Marlon Byrd or Mike Cameron is boarding a plane to Atlanta...and we can rest even easier in Braves' Nation (but, I don't know if my heart can handle another press conference this week without exploding).

What Would it Take to Get Carl Crawford to Brandish a Tomahawk?

Cameron Britt — Sat, 28 Nov 2009 00:20:00 -0500

For those of you who have actually looked over my profile, you know that Carl Crawford listed first on my Short List under "Favorite Athletes."

To expand on that positioning, Carl Crawford is my favorite baseball player/athlete/celebrity/everything.

Speed, defense, average, a little pop, and hustle.

What's not to love?

So, when I saw this article on the St. Pete Times site, you can believe that a smile ran across my face.

Now, that piece says that the Braves and Mets have only expressed interest in the 2009 All-Star Game MVP.

That doesn't mean that anything is imminent, nor does it mean that any names have been exchanged in trade negotiations.

I know that.

But, it is interesting to think about what it would take to acquire the left-handed outfielder.

Let's start by talking about why this implications this would have for Atlanta.

Pros: Speed, Hitting, Fielding, 'Swag'

Carl Crawford brings all of those things to that table.

The dude has epic speed (362 stolen bases in six-and-a-half years), which is something that the Braves have been lacking since Rafael Furcal's final season in '05.

The guy is also a perennial .300 hitter who is a lock for 15 homers (not exceptional, but the speed, average, and doubles and triples (36) make up for it) who can get to a lot of balls.

Put all of that together, and you have a complete package.

And add that package to Heyward and McLouth (possibly down the road), and you have the best outfield in the National League.

He may not fill the "right-handed, power-hitting bat" card, but he is a dynamic outfielder who has been great for his entire career.

(sorry about the bit of bias there)

Cons: Package(s), One Year?

We all know about the Floridian mantra (since it applies to both the Rays and Marlins).

Pay less, trade more.

That's why this rumor even has the bit of legs it possesses.

But it's also what makes this deal questionable.

The Rays will (likely) not accept any veterans with salaries exceeding about $6 MM.

We're talking the Julio Teheran's, Jordan Schafer's, and Craig Kimbrel's of the world (but not necessarily those guys).

And with only one year left on his contract, is he worth that type of talent?

That's up for debate...

Now, let's discuss a potential deal.

As we just established, the Rays will likely be seeking top-flight talent.

For only one year of Crawford, however, I think any deal could be leveraged into one blue-chip prospect, and three "above-average" prospects (remember, Mark Teixeira, with 1.5 years left, came over for five prospects).

So, this is, from the Braves' perspective, as far as I would go if trading for Crawford (and Crawford only) this offseason:

Braves Get: Carl Crawford, Ramon Ramirez
Rays Get: Julio Teheran, Kris Medlen, Jordan Schafer, Brandon Hicks

There's your primo, possible Neftali Feliz-type regret, good MLB-ready arm, MLB-ready replacement (if they do choose to deal BJ Upton as well), and some organizational depth for the Rays.

Add in the fact that this type of move would absolutely require the departure of Derek Lowe or Javier Vazquez (it was probably going to happen anyway, but still...) and you have some questions to ask yourself (all asked as if I were Frank Wren) of you want to pull the trigger:

Are we sure we can get this guy to stick around? (a must)
Could we wait until July and possibly give up a little bit less?
Can we compete next offseason if he were to become a free agent?
Will this guy's skill set age well?

My ten cents?

Wait.

As much as a guy like Crawford would bring to the table, the risk-over-reward factor would make many fans (including myself) flash back to the summer of '07 when Mark T. came over.

With retain-ability and organizational depth both issues in any blockbuster like this, I would probably drop the gun and walk away.

Besides, the Braves have just as much of a shot at keeping him (in a trade) as they would acquiring him through free agency.

As hyped as I may have seemed at the beginning of this, thinking about all of that talent going to the Rays really took the wind out of my sails.

As I said...wait and try to get him in a year (by then, you may no longer need him for the offense if Cody Johnson, Jason Heyward, Jordan Schafer, and Freddie Freeman all show signs of panning out).

Billy Wagner in Atlanta: A Perfect Fit?

Cameron Britt — Wed, 25 Nov 2009 19:18:00 -0500

With Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez's departures nearly a given in Atlanta, the Braves have to look towards the Free Agent market for their closer.

(Well, they don't have to, but who is going to trade away a legitimate closer this offseason?)

Names that jump out include Brandon Lyon, Fernando Rodney, and Jose Valverde.

But combinations of ability and contractual issues make these guys relatively poor fits.

One name that has been established through various media outlets for the Braves, though, is Billy Wagner.

The 38-year-old lefty has drawn interest from various teams and, according to MLB Trade Rumors, is prepared to begin fielding offers next week.

The Hot Stove's beginning to heat up, no?

The one hitch that comes along with Wagner is that he is coming back from Tommy John Surgery.

But with a success rate in the 90's for TJS and a solid 17-game exposition (1.72 ERA, 26:8 K:BB, in 15.2 innings) at the end of the '09 season, the qualms many should have should be quieted a bit.

That's not to say that he should be given a $15 MM annual salary, it just means that the operation shouldn't stop anyone from making him an offer.

Anyway, here are a few reasons as to why Wagner makes sense for the Braves:

1. Despite his type-A (if the Red Sox choose to offer him arbitration), the Braves need not worry.

They'll be getting four picks from whomever signs Gonzo and Soriano, so that is not an issue.

2. According to David O'Brien of the AJC, Wagner is a "FOC (Friend of Chipper) and has made it known that he'd like to pitch for Bobby Cox."

Does that necessarily mean that he'll take a discount?

No, but it does mean that the Braves have a little leverage over some other clubs.

3. He's only (39) saves away from John Franco for the all-time lead for most saves as a left-handed pitcher.

I'm not naming that for the novelty of having Wagner set a record in a Braves' uni.

I'm saying that that means that he'll want the ball.

Then again, Bob Wickman also wanted the ball...just only in save situations (but Wagner didn't record a save in his late-season return with K-Rod and Papelbon ahead of him and didn't complain, so...).

Are there better options on the market?

Yeah, and two of them will be departing Atlanta (most likely) in the coming weeks.

But there is no other option out there that makes as much sense for the Braves.

The team saw Peter Moylan succeed in '09 after his surgery, and I would expect Wagner to do the same.

The dude is still nasty, as evidenced by his K:BB above, and has always been "mean" enough to take the ball in the ninth.

Other clubs (Cubs, Tigers, other clubs with closer-holes since he doesn't want to be a set-up-only guy) may come knocking with more cash, but the Braves come knocking with Chipper, Bobby Cox's last go-'round, and a Championship-caliber rotation (and an offense that's primed to be the same once a move or two is made).

If I'm Frank Wren, I say "Hey Bean [Stringfellow, Wagner's agent and holder of the "best name for an agent in baseball" award], how does Billy feel about a two-year contract at $15 million guaranteed to play here in Atlanta?

"We'll even throw in a third-year mutual option and performance-based incentives each year along the way that could bring each up to...say...about $9 MM?

"C'mon."

(Okay, maybe the negotiations would go a little deeper than that...but you get my point)

Atlanta Braves' Offseason Options: About Those Predictions...

Cameron Britt — Sun, 22 Nov 2009 21:32:22 -0500

Remember when I said that in a month I'd hate that set of predictions in my last article?

Yeah...

It's been approximaetly eight days, and I hate them already.

Why?

It's really quite simple: A bunch of revelations.

Since then, Gonzalez has become a Scott Boras client, Rafael Soriano has been hyped as the best reliever on the market, and the Marlins have, according to several reports, pulled back on the level of urgency to dump Jorge Cantu and Dan Uggla.

I said that it was early, and it still is, but this has become a completely different market since the free agents officially became free agents.

Here are a few things that have become virtual givens:

1. Mike Gonzalez and Rafael Soriano will not return together.

Maybe this was likely before last week, but now it looks certain.

These guys are, according to several free agent rankings, are the best two relievers on the market.

Even the Yankees couldn't keep these guys together (OK, maybe I'm exaggerating a bit).

But upwards of $20 million for two injury-prone relievers?

The more I think about it, no thanks.

2. Kenshin Kawakami will not be the odd man out when a trade is made.

The Braves have (or maybe it's more like David O'Brien and Mark Bowman) asserted their desire to trade one of their starters.

As the offseason has progressed over its first full week, only Derek Lowe and Javier Vazquez have appeared as the sole "tradables" from the rotation and I don't expect that to change unless less-than-market-value deals are all the Braves get.

3. We should probably expect more than Juan Rivera at this point.

My thinking when I wrote that last article was simple: Get high value at low cost.

Since then, it's looking as if the Braves are saying: Get high value without losing too much.

With names like Carl Crawford (please?) and Derrek Lee looking more and more like legitimate possibilities, this could be a much larger offseason than I originally thought.

I was pretty confident with my projections/actions.

Now, it looks like the Braves are setting their sights towards players that pack a much larger punch.

Assembling the Atlanta Braves' 2010 Roster

Cameron Britt — Sat, 14 Nov 2009 19:02:00 -0500

For those of you who follow me, you know that I've been taking a close look at the Braves' offseason options over the past few weeks.

I made one swooping prediction/suggestion about a month ago.

And looking back now...I hate it.

And in another month, I'll hate this one.

But it's all in good fun.

So, let's recap what I've done (remember, I'm playing GM) thus far.

I'll highlight, in italics , the money associated with each move.

Players Acquired

Jorge Cantu (3.5 MM ), Juan Rivera (3.25 MM ), Jason Bulger (~400K ), Brian Sanches (~400K ).

Players Departing

Kris Medlen, Cody Johnson, Brandon Hicks, Randall Delgado, James Parr, a MiLB pitcher of the Marlins choice (combined for a total MLB impact of ~400K ), Kenshin Kawakami (the Braves would be eating part of his salary, so about $4 MM departing), Adam LaRoche ($7 MM )

That's a difference of -3.85 for the MLB payroll.

That's what I've done so far, now, let's talk about what'll be happening elsewhere on the Braves' roster.

Keep in mind now: the Braves had a payroll of about $96.7 MM in '09, and a significant rise shouldn't be expected.

Let's start out with the arbitration-eligible players (these are what I would do).

Matt Diaz

This one's really a no-brainer. Matt Diaz was a major part of the Braves' second-half run in '09 and has always been a more-than-serviceable fourth outfielder. Even with Jason Heyward at or near Major-League readiness, Matt Diaz will be an important piece to the Braves' puzzle. Coming off of a .313 year in which he slugged 13 homers and stole 12 bags, I expect a rise in his $1.2 MM salary...I'm thinking $2.5 MM for '10 (a rise of $1.3 MM ).

Kelly Johnson

This decision is a little tougher. Kelly Johnson plays hard...but plays so inconsistently that he makes you want to puke. That trait cost him his job to Martin Prado and does not bode well for a role as a bench player. I think he'll be non-tendered (he's not a Type-A or -B, so there's not point in risking him taking the offer) and his $2.8 MM salary will be off the books.

Boone Logan

With Eric O'Flaherty stepping up and having an outstanding campaign in '09, Logan was a forgotten man. His 5.19 ERA may look scary, but he was more than passable as a straight-up LOOGY (with a .231 average against him from lefties). In most situations, I'd let a guy like Boone walk, but he's only 25 and has a good (not great) left-handed arm. He only made the league minimum (~400K) this past season, and with only 20 games to go on, I don't see how he could get much of a raise (in other words, no noticeable difference , just a guy who could make an impact in '10)

Ryan Church

Ryan Church played well after coming over from the Mets. But, injuries got him at the end of the year, and his numbers (.270-ish with single-digit homers) and defense are easily replaceable (Jordan Schafer, anyone?). He and his $2.8 MM salary should be hitting the road.

Peter Moylan

Do I really need to explain this one? He'll be back. His '09 salary was the league minimum, and I expect no less than $2 MM coming his way in 2010 ($1.6 MM increase).

Rafael Soriano

Despite his performance in '09 (which was very good), I think Soriano will be too hot of a commodity on the free agent market for the Braves to retain (as in they'll try to sign him but someone else will outbid them--100+ Ks in ~75 innings is going to be in high demand). I think the Braves offer him a small increase over his $6.5 MM from '09, he'll reject it, and the Braves will get two draft picks when some one signs him.

Mike Gonzalez

Like his late-inning partner in crime above him, Mike Gonzalez was very good for the Braves in the '09 campaign. He made $3.4 MM for his services and will likely stick his foot in the free agency waters. I can see the Braves offering him about $5MM before he rejects and heads towards FA.

However, I would be willing to enter a mini-bidding war with other teams and use the team's potential to leverage him into a two-year, $6.8 MM per contract ($3.4 MM increase). Oh, and I would hope he accepts the offer of $5 MM to stay, I'm just saying I would be willing to go to $6.8 MM on the open market (and we'll use that to tally the dollars).

All of these moves means a net of: -$5.6 MM (and a pair of draft picks if Soriano does indeed depart)

Oh, and lest we forget Garret Anderson's $2.5 MM salary coming off books along with Greg Norton's 800K.

That's a total of $11.95 MM to work with on the open market (arbitration changes and trade additions included).

Not too bad.

Now, in my world as GM, this is what we're looking at for the start of the '09 campaign (a + indicates replacing a hole left by a departing player, a ++ means a $400 K salary for a departing player player's replacement, ? means "could be exchanged for another ?"):

C Brian McCann
1B Jorge Cantu +
2B Martin Prado
3B Chipper Jones
SS Yunel Escobar
LF Juan Rivera +
CF Nate McLouth
RF Matt Diaz

INF Omar Infante
OF Jordan Schafer ++
OF Jason Heyward? ++
PH Brooks Conrad ++

Rotation
1 Tim Hudson
2 Javier Vazquez
3 Jair Jurrjens
4 Tommy Hanson
5 Derek Lowe

Bullpen
LRP Todd Redmond (exiting Medlen was the same)
RHP Jason Bulger
RHP Brian Sanches
LHP Eric O'Flaherty
LOOGY Boone Logan?
RHSU Peter Moylan
LHSU Mike Gonzalez
CL _____________

We've already established that Soriano will command quite a bit (my guess will be $10 MM-which some team will undoubtedly offer him).

And the only viable option on the market is Jose Valverde (who will also cost a lot).

This one has me truly stumped.

Would you push harder to keep Soriano, or go hard after Valverde (or someone else).

You've seen the money the Braves have under my scenario, tell me what you think.

(Based on the results of this open-ended question, I will assemble my 2010 Atlanta Braves on a pretty little slide show—I really don't know what I should do)

Chips on the Table: The Atlanta Braves' Tradeable Players

Cameron Britt — Mon, 09 Nov 2009 23:30:00 -0500

So, we've already gotten through the Adam LaRoche situation .

Now, let's talk about the guys the Braves could be shipping out for some hole-filling.

Here are the guys who shoul be on the block from the Braves' '09 payroll.

Derek Lowe
Bad contract coming of a bad year, this one's pretty simple.
But who would want him? Brewers? Cubs? Mets?
You've gotta think "money-absorbing" over "talent-laden" in Lowe's situation when you're looking at potential suitors.

Yeah...that's pretty much it.

Coming off an 86-win season, you don't want to mess too much up.

Here are the potential "centerpieces" in deals for a middle-of-the-order hitter.

Javier Vazquez
Spectacular career-year in '09, and, at this point, his value has never been higher. Why trade him then?
Vazquez's '09 is too different from his career numbers to tell me that he'll sustain it for an extended period of time.
It's either address the team's needs now, or wait until mid-July when Vazquez may have a 4.00 ERA (on the same hand, he may have a 1.02 with another team and make me look like an idiot). You've gotta sell-high on this guy if you are given the opportunity to get a legitimate hitter.
Kris Medlen
It's not so much that Medlen would be a "centerpiece" as much as he would be a "very tempting piece to get the other guys to take less."
He's young with a live arm and has experienced success in his stint in the big leagues; or just what a rebuilding team with a large contract on the books is looking for.
Martin Prado
Prado's situation is like Medlen's and Vazquez's rolled into one.
He wouldn't be the one guy that could almost get a deal done on his own as much as he, when paired with another guy, is an enticing entity. Add to that the potential for a one-and-done-year, and you have another perfect sell-high opportunity.
Yeah, he played hard, and yeah, he earned his keep. But if, for example, the Cardinals come shopping Albert Pujols and say "We want X, Y, Z, C, and Martin Prado," you'd have to think about letting him go (and, yes, I know that situation would never come up).

These are guys that would be traded if, and only if, the right player were to come along.

I'd rather not see any of them traded, but as the old cliche goes, you have to give up value to get value.

Now come the biggest part in any trade talk: the complementary pieces.

Kenshin Kawakami
Kenshin Kawakami is neither an elite pitcher nor an immaculate prospect. But what he is, is a very solid three or four starter in any rotation outside of Atlanta, and that is something a lot of teams would be looking for in the trade market.
Cody Johnson
Power? Check.
K's? Unfortunately, also a check.
Cody Johnson is a frustrating guy to evaluate.
He's got a shot at being the next Adam Dunn, but he could also strike out 250 times. With Jason Heyward and Jordan Schafer already on the verge of Major-League readiness, this is a guy you'd have to call expendable. If a suitor with a little time to spare in the outfield comes knocking, I'd let him go.
Brandon Hicks
Yet another frustrating prospect.
His bat has been projected as above-average and his defense as epic.
So far, he's at the latter and struggling to make it to the former.
Right now, he would be serviceable as a back-up middle-infielder and could become a lighter-hitting Yunel Escobar.
You'd like to keep him as an emergency future-3B (catastrophic injury to Jones) or as an option at 2B down the road, but neither of these are things the Braves need at this juncture, so he is expendable.
This is going to be a small wad of pitching prospects that could have value in the right deal (in order of best-to-least value):
Julio Teheran, Randall Delgado, Todd Redmond, James Parr, Jo-Jo Reyes
Here, I have potential stud, potential stud, good long-relief/fifth-starter option, okay ceiling, and Jo-Jo.
All are guys that could make-or-break a deal (OK, maybe I'm exaggerating about Reyes...but you get my point).

These are the guys that wouldn't catch the headlines in any deal, but they would mean a lot to the teams getting them.

As GM (this is part of that series), this would be a relatively tough decision.

The talent the Braves have warming in the minors, and the talent that's already roaming the Ted make you pause when you're looking at trades, but here is what I propose to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim as my one "blockbuster" trade:

Right here .

Yeah, that's right.

I had the audacity to link an old article from Carolina Co-Op.

There, I outlined my ideas thoroughly, so you can read (it was written about two weeks ago, so some of the info is outdated).

Here, I'll give you the gist of what I said.

Braves Get: Juan Rivera, Jason Bulger
Angels Get: Kenshin Kawakami, Kris Medlen, Cody Johnson, Randall Delgado

Here, I will also just give you the Braves' perspective.

The Braves, while giving up a lot of talent, would be netting what they'll be pursuing this offseason in a legitimate middle-of-the-order hitter (Rivera is a consistent .280/25 homer guy when he's been given his shots in crowded outfields) and a bullpen arm (Bulger is a little older, but he has potential).

Unable to find a taker for Lowe, I have also decided to keep him (J.J. and Hanson kinda balance him out...right?).

So let's recap the moves by the Cameron Britt-run Braves thus far:

We've traded, all told, Kris Medlen, Kenshin Kawakami, Cody Johnson, Brandon Hicks, Cody Johnson, Randall Delgado, James Parr, and an A-ball pitcher of the Marlins' choice for Jorge Cantu (new 1B), Juan Rivera (new LF), Brian Sanches (RHP), and Jason Bulger (RHP).

We've also retained Tim Hudson (as the real-life Braves did) and Derek Lowe, and let Adam LaRoche walk.

Next up : The other Free Agents to-be.

The Adam LaRoche Situation in Atlanta and My First Move as GM

Cameron Britt — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 23:58:00 -0500

As promised , here is the early-offseason decision-making series.

Let's go in the order of the questions I posed in the linked piece above, and start with Adam LaRoche.

LaRoche was, arguably, the best offensive deadline acquisition of any team in the Majors when he was sent to Atlanta from Boston for Casey Kotchman.

As the Braves had hoped, Adam's annual second-half "show-up" happened, as he knocked 12 homers, drove in 40 runs, and hit a robust .325 in 57 games (while committing one error to boot).

As Braves' fans re-discovered the love for their former first baseman, LaRoche seemed to re-discover his love for the town that gave him his first professional shot.

With all of these factors swirling around LaRoche's free-agent-to-be head (along with a Chipper Jones endorsement), it seems like a given that the Braves will retain their late-'09 power threat.

Right?

Not so fast.

As I see it right now, there are two factors that could potentially lead Adam to a city outside of Atlanta: his staple first-half blues, and Freddie Freeman.

LaRoche is and always has been a second-half hitter.

His '09 splits define him perfectly.

In 87 games with Pittsburgh: .247/12 HR/38 XBH
In 63 games with BOS & ATL: .320/12 HR/24 XBH

Yeah...

Maybe you can put it on his comfort in Atlanta, but I put it on the man himself.

Just look at his average and homers in these seasons:

2008: .251, 11 vs. .304, 14
2007: .239, 13 vs. .312, 8
2006: .251, 13 vs. .323, 19

It's not that he wouldn't be GOOD in the first half, it's just that his average wouldn't make him a great option in the heart of the order (No. 3, 4, 5)

That becomes a moot point if the Braves were to get a legit four hitter and would be able to move Adam to the six hole to slack (not that he's lazy) for the first half.

Still, how much love would Braves' fans give the son of LaLob is he hits for his .240 with six or seven home runs?

My guess would be: Not very much.

Secondly, you must consider the fact that the Braves currently have a 6'5" big-bopper in waiting sitting in AA in Freddie Freeman.

Granted, the 19-year-old first baseman struggled a bit with Mississippi, but I think a lot of that has to do with a wrist injury and having to play next to Jason Heyward (who is a freak of nature).

I'd put Freddie's ETA at June 2011 right now with the potential for full-time duties to start 2012.

What does that have to do with LaRoche?

Lots.

LaRoche is exiting his 29-year-old season, and will be hitting the free agent market looking for two things: years (first and foremost) and green.

These are two things that the Braves, who could have a cheaper stud in a couple of years, may not have available.

With names like Vazquez (at least in 2010), Lowe, and Kawakami eating up significant portions of the Braves always-sub-100MM payroll, LaRoche may not, financially, be a fit.

If I were a betting man, I'd say that the Braves would want to offer LaRoche a two-year deal at about $7.5 or $8 M (that's a pretty generous hometown discount) per season with a third-year club option if they either decide to let Freeman heat up longer or throw him in the "fail" can.

I'd also say that LaRoche is probably looking for a deal in the neighborhood of four years at an annual salary at or around $9.5 or $10 M per.

Those, from my analysis (and probably your own as well), are two fundamentally different deals.

That, my friends, is why I say this:

I put the odds of an Adam LaRoche return in real life at 33 percent, and why I choose not to retain him in my GM world.

I think that, even though a mutual desire for each other's services may be there, the two sides are looking for two different things this offseason, and that Rochey isn't going to be waiting for a Braves counter-offer if a team like the Mutts...erm...Mets, Blue Jays, White Sox, or Giants come knocking.

Instead, I look to the free agent market (with meager names like Millar, Branyan—no confidence in this guy, and Nick Johnson available).

Names like Jorge Cantu, Adam Dunn (40 homers and a ridiculous OBP make up for the low average (and $12 M for his player-type is fair), plus he could man LF with a possibility of Schafer and Heyward in center and right in the future), and Prince Fielder (though this one is highly, highly unlikely-and Freeman would be gone in this scenario) all possibilities on the block.

My choice: Jorge Cantu.

Braves Get: Jorge Cantu, Brian Sanches
Fish Get: James Parr, Brandon Hicks, A pitcher (their choice)

Twenty homers and a .290 average would be expected out of Cantu on a full-time at first base, and at a very reasonable $4-5 M salary (through arbitration), and Sanches (31) could serve as a solid right-handed middle reliever (the Peter Moylan role if the Braves decide to split closing opportunities with the Aussie and O'Flaherty—or just another reliever if the Bravos retain Gonzalez...more on that later in the series).

The Marlins, who have a great eye for talent, would probably be happy with a MLB-ready starter with three-spot ceiling, a great-fielding middle-infielder with a little pop (especially if they trade Uggla), and their specialty: napping up far-away talent.

So, let's re-cap the offseason so far:
Hudson retained (this is real-life).
LaRoche out, Cantu at first (my head).

Next up: The BIG trade-chips.

With the Hudson Domino Set to Fall, What Comes Next for the Atlanta Braves?

Cameron Britt — Sat, 31 Oct 2009 22:01:00 -0400

If you believe Dave O'Brien, Mark Bowman, and the ever-so-unreliable Ken Rosenthal, Tim Hudson is set to sign a three-year extension with the Atlanta Braves in the neighborhood of $27 million.

I don't know about you, but that's a big relief.

Locking up an elite (provided he looks like his seven starts at the end of '09) two or three starter for under $10 million is always good.

When you add in the fact that he's locked up for under the salary of two of your potential off-season trade chips (Derek Lowe and Javier Vazquez), it's even better.

So that's one thing this off-season down...999,999 more to go, right?

Still, it's good to see one of the issues that was going to affect later moves get close to knocked out before the World Series even ends.

But now come the tough decisions.

Will the Braves try to re-sign Adam LaRoche?

Which of the three big chips (Vazquez, Lowe, Kawakami) will be on the outs...and for whom?

What will happen to Kelly Johnson, Boone Logan, Mike Gonzalez, and Rafael Soriano?

What guys will get their shots this spring?

These are all things to consider...even if it is only November (at least it will be in about two-and-a-half hours).

In an upcoming series, I will address all of these issues as if I were Frank Wren, and then I will give you my 2010 Atlanta Braves (for, what, about the 18th time?).

I Hate Brave-less Postseasons

Cameron Britt — Wed, 28 Oct 2009 22:30:32 -0400

Tonight, while watching two of my least-favorite teams bid for a World Series title, I realized how much I have truly hated the past four Octobers.

This year especially.

I have no rooting interest.

No care about the next pitch.

And complete apathy about who will be drinking champagne within the next week-and-a-half to two weeks.

It truly sucks. It's not like it's new for me. As I said, it's been like this for the '06, '07, '08, and now the '09 postseason.

But, this year seems a lot worse.

Was it the big run 'n' flop to finish the season? Or was it the lack of a Cinderella story (a la the Rays last year) to keep me interested?

It's tough to say.

All I know is that it hit me hard tonight that I will be sitting around for the next four months (remember, pitchers and catchers report at the end of February!) with nothing consistent to rattle my brain.

No JJ, Hanson, B-Mac, Escobar, Bobby Cox, or Chipper...

Nothing to count on to write...

You know, I think that's it (and this seriously just came to me). I think that this sucky postseason is Bleacher Report's fault.

Yeah...

I'm depressed because my articles are coming at six, seven, and eight-day intervals. I'm depressed because I have writer's block.

A Phillies-Yankees Series (which I'm hoping the Evil Empire wins because I hate it when Philadelphia Sports phans aren't unhappy) has just added to it, I suppose.

I can only hope that some juicy, legitimate rumors come along after the series ends so I have something to discuss.

Damn, this stage of the offseason, though...watching people I don't care about compete for the ultimate prize...

*Sigh*

Let's go *blagggghh* (my bad, I just threw up a bit) Yankees and MLB trade rumors.

(I know this is totally NOT funny/insightful/entertaining, but I HAD to write something before I blew my brains out.)

Examining What Nelson Cruz Would Bring to the Braves

Cameron Britt — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 16:49:00 -0400

So far, we've looked at two names that the Atlanta Braves could pursue this offseason in Prince Fielder and Juan Rivera.

We'll continue in the Juan Rivera-esque direction (as in realistic options) with this piece.

Now, I know that I made a small case against him in the Juan Rivera article, but today we are going to talk about Texas Rangers outfielder Nelson Cruz.

In his first full-time role with the Rangers in 2009, Cruz posted a very respectable .260/.332/.524 line with 33 home runs and 20 stolen bases

Perfect fit for the Braves, right?

Right-handed, powerful, can run...what do the Rangers want?

Well, I have some reservations that need to be addressed before I'm willing to say "gimmie gimmie gimmie."

Consider these facts:

1. Nelson Cruz played the majority of his games at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.

His Home/Road splits for average, slugging percentage, and homers: .286/.232, .568/.478, 18/15

By the way, about 44 percent of balls he put in play were in the air (his home park helped that average, no question). Now, Cruz was by no means useless on the road, but he wasn't what he was at home (wow, bad crammer).

2. He's not exactly "young."

One of the big things you hear about when Braves' fans talk about Cruz is that he's a "young" power option. I'm not saying that 28-going-on-29 is "old," but you have to consider this when you look at his last few seasons.

From his 25-year-old to his 27-year-old seasons, Cruz averaged a home run every 25 at-bats with a .251 average. All of a sudden (granted, when hitting an age where many players hit their prime), he goes down to a homer every 13 at-bats while hitting .260.

Not that he couldn't do what he did in '09 again, but you have to admit that Cruz, in his past-prospect stage of development, may have experienced a fluke.

3. The strikeouts.

Even with the superb 2009, he had a strikeout (approximately) once every four at-bats.
As a reference point for Braves' fans, Jeff Francoeur had one every 6.5 at-bats.
Do I need to say any more?

4. The durability.

In addition to having his own, if you will, shortcomings as a player, he has also had to deal with issues with his body.

All of his stats came in 128 games (which make them a little more impressive). That came from shared time in the outfield with Marlon Byrd, Andruw Jones, Josh Hamilton, and others, as well as, as manager Ron Washington said, his body breaking down.

That's not to say that he hasn't built up strength or that he wouldn't last 145 games, but it makes you wonder.

Let me get one thing straight, though: Cruz is talented and would fit nicely, I just can't say that I'm 100 percent sure 2009 wasn't a fluke.

Okay, now we have my objections out of the way, let's talk about what would have to happen to get him.

We all know about the Braves' situation: too much pitching, not enough pop, blah, blah, blah.

Let's talk about how Texas' outfield looks next season.

I think it's safe to assume that Julio Borbon and Josh Hamilton (if healthy) are locks for the Rangers outfield.

Cruz is on the fringe.

Not because he wasn't valuable or anything, but because he could bring back a nice package of prospects if the Rangers choose to trade him.

If they do, where does that leave them?

They don't have any close outfield prospects of blue-chip status (Engel Beltre has only seen four games in AA), and they would be strapped for someone to fill the void left by Cruz in their outfield.

That is, unless they retain Marlon Byrd.

That'll be the key, in my opinion, to any hope of a Braves prospects-for-Cruz swap. If they keep Byrd, which is what I'm banking on, the Braves could probably get away with a little less than what would be required to get him if the Rangers choose not to retain him.

Still, I think a good mixture of OF potential and MLB-ready and mid-potential pitching would be needed to get Cruz (unless the Rangers want to thank the Braves for the Teixeira deal and take a little less...and I just cried a little thinking of Neftali Feliz).

Here's the Deal

Rangers get: Kris Medlen (RHP), Todd Redmond (RHP), Cody Johnson (OF), David Francis (RHP)

Braves get: Nelson Cruz

As I've said before, I think Kris Medlen will be the centerpiece of any deal for a bat.

You have to let go of talent to get any in return, and Kris Medlen definitely has that.

Redmond would be a nice swing-man for the Rangers, while Cody Johnson and David Francis are both mid-to-high potential prospects that will be (or soon will be) blocked.

The Braves get (potentially) their outfielder, the Rangers get more of the Braves' prospects.

Bottom line: While I certainly don't think that Nelson Cruz is the best option available to the Braves (Juan Rivera for the consistency, Matt Holliday for being Matt Holliday, etc.), there is no doubt that he could make a huge impact in Atlanta.

Now, let's hear some opinions.

Another Angel in the Outfield: Making the Case for Juan Rivera in Atlanta

Cameron Britt — Sun, 11 Oct 2009 11:39:00 -0400

We all know what the Braves will be after this offseason (for those of you who don't, it's a right-handed power threat to stick between Brian McCann and Chipper Jones).

Right now, it's wide open as to who they'll go after.

So, let's compare two players.

One of these names, Player A, has been moving around the Braves' Blogosphere at the speed of light.

The other, Player B...not a peep.

I will use AGE (in 2010)/G/AVG/OBP/SLG/HR/2B/3B/SB/BB:K to compare them.

Player A 29/128/.260/.332/.524/33/21/1/20/49:118

Player B 31/138/.287/.332/.478/25/24/1/0/36:57

Who do you take?

Player A is going to give you more power, but Player B is going to be making more consistent contact.

OK, now take this into consideration: Player A plays the majority of his games at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington while Player B does most of his work at Angel Stadium.

What about now?

I don't know about you, but I think I take Player B.

And now, if you haven't already figured out who they are, Player A is Nelson Cruz, and Player B is the man I referenced in my title, Juan Rivera.

Now, I understand that the "getability" of Rivera may be less than that of Cruz, but the Angel's one weakness at the start of this season was the readiness of their Minor League pitching prospects.

Add to that John Lackey's pending free agency (and likely departure), I think it's safe to assume that they'll be on the hunt for both Major League-ready pitching and Minor Leaguers to re-stock whatever they'll be losing to their big club.

With that in mind, here's a deal that could net the Braves Juan Rivera.

Angels Get: Kenshin Kawakami, Kris Medlen, Cody Johnson, Randall Delgado
Braves Get: Juan Rivera, Jason Bulger

This deal gives the Braves what they need: A good power bat (with a good track record for success) locked up at a reasonable contract—2/9 left on his current deal and the replacement for Moylan when he transitions to closer (my gut now says they they'll let Gonzo walk if he declines arbitration and they'll flat let Soriano go).

Rivera, especially with a transition to the NL, should be a lock for 25 homers, and 31-year-old Lawrenceville, Georgia native Jason Bulger should only improve on his numbers from this year (3.65 ERA/65.2INN/68Ks) with the same transition.

The Angels get a descent starter until some more of their youngsters are ready, a younger replacement for Bulger, a DH-in-the-making, and a very good pitching prospect to fill their previously mentioned voids.

The biggest complication I could see blocking this deal would be Bobby Abreu.

Right now, Rivera is pretty much a lock in left field for the Angels.

If the team fails to bring back Abreu, then his position would be solidified even further since their best OF prospect, Peter Bourjos, is still likely another season or two away.

However, if Abreu comes back to man right again next season, they may be willing to give one of their fringe outfielders more time OR may be willing to let go of Rivera for one of the more attractive free agents.

The Braves would be giving up a pretty significant chunk of their minor league stable, but would still be retaining their core of Heyward, Freeman, Hanson, Tehran, etc.

If the Braves are serious about contending in 2010, this deal makes a lot of sense.

As I will say in all of these posts (for the blog)/articles (for B/R), I have no insider information whatsoever.

Everything I say stems from personal analysis of rosters, rankings, etc., and my conclusions are based off of this analysis.

If you disagree or feel that one side or another is getting too much, let me know.

I'll consider all suggestions that I deem logical.

An Open Letter to the Head Honchos at B/R

Cameron Britt — Thu, 08 Oct 2009 22:39:20 -0400

Hey Guys,

Let me start by saying that I love Bleacher Report.

I love sharing my opinions.

I love getting commenter feedback.

I love interacting with fellow fans.

But I now do have a problem with this place.

The flurry of changes!

This is my 101st Article, and first to say anything negative about The Bleacher Report.

When I joined seven months ago, this place was awesome.

Yeah, it was bare-bones and looked a little dull, but that was OK.

After all, we could all see where everyone stood (writer rankings, ahem-although these have just recently come back) and what everyone was up to (recent activities).

As time went on (about two months ago), articles began to get snazzier.

Photo positions were changed; poll positions were moved, etc.

That was fine; after all, it looked a little better.

Then about a month ago, things started changing for the worse.

All of a sudden, my activity bar went blank, and now, my activities seem more sparse than they really are (especially with the volume of comments I post).

Team pages were updated for aesthetics, but are now almost too clumsy to look at.

And just today, I found that I had fallen out of the top 50 MLB Writer's Rankings (after ranking 34 just yesterday).

I have my Featured Columnist badge, so I guess I can't really complain, but the upheaval of what had been working for more viewer (instead of user)-friendly material is getting too far into what made me LOVE Bleacher Report.

Maybe the new rankings are designed to "factor in quality of writing, consistency and traffic generated."

But if that's the case, how have Bob Warja and Andrew Nuschler fallen out of the Top-5 in Major League Baseball?

B/Rs fatal flaw in the rankings has always been it's rewarding of quantity over quality (how may authors have you seen with 500 articles that only average about 10-50 views?).

Now, these rankings seem to do that even more (four out of the Top 5 writers now have at least 200 articles-and only a few have over 200 views on any of their recent four).

And I mean, there is no good way to judge quality (unless the editors perform that task as well) because of the volume of articles pouring in here every day.

I know that rankings aren't everything, but when I'm doing this for free, and writing 400-500 word editorials twice to three times a week, I want a little something.

Now, I guess to get that one little thing to float my boat, I'll have to write 10 articles per week.

In fact, here's one right now:

"Bobby Cox Needs to be Fired"
By: Cameron Britt

Bobby Cox is a jackass.

He sucks.

The End.

Ok, now...carry the one...find the LCD...eight more of those should get me in the Top 10!!!

Look, I have been on this site far too long and spent way too much of my time researching for my articles to quit.

That's why I'm writing this.

If you guys aren't going to pay me (even though the FC program does give me more exposure than the average Bleacher Creature), at least let me say that I'm ranked No. 1 in the Braves' community, or that I'm No. 34 in MLB's.

Is it selfish?

Yeah.

But it gives me another reason to write other than just the intense desire to discuss my opinions.

As I said, it floats my boat (I never use it to put people down either).

And that's all I have ever asked for and received from this site up until this point: a bow and stern above water.

-Cameron Britt
Atlanta Braves Featured Columnist

P.S.: Don't delete this article or my profile, I still DO love this place; it just feels as if we're moving in different directions.

HItting the Century Mark: Looking Back on Seven Months of B/R

Cameron Britt — Tue, 06 Oct 2009 23:25:47 -0400

Let me preface this by saying that I'm not trying to float my own boat.

This is an attempt to thank some of the people who have helped me, as well as a look back at some of my experiences.

So, here it is.

My 100th article.

Yeap...

I'm not really sure how I'm supposed to feel about this.

Is this the revelation that I have spent way too much time tapping away on this site as I perpetually did stat checking at baseball-reference.com?

Or is this the stamp of excellence?

The proof that I have a big enough following to last this long on Bleacher Report while some never contribute after joining?

My best guess is that the answer lies between those two.

I think my 100th means that I have overcome discouraging and disheartening turns of events to continue to voice my one-sided opinion.

It means that I have received encouragement, constructive criticism, and shots from trolls over that past seven months.

This article means that I'm an old man.

From my first article to some of my 1,000+ view articles, I think it's fair to say I've seen, received, and delivered, my share of blows.

I've gotten into, and regretted, two spats...

And gotten into another two others without regret.

I've seen more "morons" and "idiots" (in comments sections) than an usher at Citi Field (low blow?—ehh).

I've seen flops, and unexpected successes in my writing.

And, frankly, I don't know how I've seen the success I've seen.

I feel my writing is lax at times, and I know for a fact that I ramble.

Yet, I've been No. 1 in the Braves' community, am a Featured Columnist for the team, have been offered a paying position to write about the Braves, and rank in the Top-50 MLB Writers.

I just don't get it.

I guess it comes from guys like Joel Barker, Kevin Markum, Richard Nieh, and many others—my support group.

I really think that's the key to longevity in the world of fan-journalism.

A strong support group that always makes you feel good about what you're doing, even when you're not living up to your own expectations.

I am truly humbled by every "good job" or "entertaining piece" I get because I'm not completely sure that I should be that well-received.

I'm a bit arrogant and very opinionated.

I guess that means I make good points, since I very rarely get any hate...lqtm (see the profile for an explanation—and there's my arrogance).

One more thing...

Everyone seems to give their list of tips for writing/existing here on Bleacher Report, so I figure that I might as well insert mine here (keep in mind I'm still only a damn Scribe).

Make Friends
Get friends in high places.
If they take a liking to you, they can use their influence to knock a troll off your back so you can focus on doing your thing.
Write Like You Speak
What you read is exactly how I speak.
Don't over-extend your vocabulary to try and make a point.
It sounds insincere and can never really deliver a killing/important blow when you want to make one.
ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS Thank the Editors
These guys find your mistakes and fix them.
They eliminate attacking points for the opposition and give your work a cleaner, more professional appearance.
Don't Call Anyone an Idiot, Even if They Deserve It
I know I referenced the word "idiot" earlier, but I don't use the word in comments (EXCEPT for "teetering on the edge of idiocy" and "coming across as ignorant/idiotic/unintelligent—these ARE different).
Making logical arguments (however illogical an opinion may be) is much more fun and makes it harder for your counterpart to retort with two-word answers.
Get a Support Group
As I said earlier, these tend to grow up around you if people like you (the above four steps help with that).
These are people you can talk to about your writing—how to improve it, make it flow better, etc..

Wow, that wasn't nearly as fun to make as I thought it would be...

I would like to take this opportunity to thank everyone I've ever come in contact with on Bleacher Report for what they've done for me.

Encouragement, put-downs, slaps, likes, etc,; it's all been appreciated.

This has been an incredible experience that has, for lack of a better term, consumed my life.

I look forward to everyone's input for my next 100!

The Third Edition of the Braves' Offseason Moves: A Team Fit for Prince Fielder?

Cameron Britt — Sun, 04 Oct 2009 23:05:00 -0400

Of late, rumors have been swirling over the availability of Milwaukee's Prince Fielder.

American League clubs have been at the center of the possible "Prince Fielder Sweepstakes," but I have an interesting proposition.

How about Atlanta?

Before you call me a hack, I know that I have no sources.

I'm speculating.

As a fan, that's my job.

Now, back to the post...

We all know that Atlanta needs power.

We all also know that Milwaukee needs pitching.

Atlanta's three and four hitters during the 2009 season were Chipper Jones and Brian McCann.

That's 18 and 21 home runs, or 39 combined.

Prince Fielder had 46.

Milwaukee's staff ranked 29th in baseball in team ERA at 4.84.

The Braves were fifth.

Milwaukee, who led the NL in homers this past season, has hitting to spare.

The Braves have pitching and prospects to spare.

Here's the deal (with salaries):

Braves Get: Prince Fielder (10.5 MM)
Brewers Get: Javier Vazquez (10.5 MM), Kris Medlen (400K), Freddie Freeman (MiLB), Brandon Hicks (MiLB)

That may seem to be a lot for the Braves to let go of, but the one thing that separated them from the elite teams in baseball was the absence of a big-time power threat, and Prince Fielder is just that.

The Brewers fell short in the bid for the NL Central because of their lack of pitching, and Javier Vazquez is just that.

This trade gives the Brewers a premier front-of-the-rotation pitcher who could also serve as a great tutor for young ace-in-waiting, Yovani Gallardo, as well as a plus-MLB-ready starter/reliever in Kris Medlen, the replacement for Fielder in Freeman, and a good prospect in Brandon Hicks.

From the Braves' perspective, they get a young power-threat (albeit a left-handed one) to insert between Chipper Jones and Brian McCann.

This, depending on which side of the fence you're on, may seem like a lot for the Braves to give up (or maybe not enough if you're a Brewers fan).

After all, Vazquez was one of the premier National League pitchers in 2009, and Kris Medlen, Freddie Freeman, and (to a point) Brandon Hicks are all very good prospects.

But when the strategy for winning in Bobby Cox's final season in Atlanta is planned, the choice between one of the free agent 1Bs, Freddie Freeman, or Prince Fielder is presented, which is the best choice?

Exactly.

The one hitch for each team is the signability of each of the centerpieces.

Fielder and Vazquez are each free agents following 2010 and, if one departs from either team without the other doing the same, that could make this trade a bust for whichever side loses their star.

Braves fans are far too familiar with big-time first-basemen becoming too expensive following a big exodus of minor leaguers.

However, a Braves' run towards the Series or a Milwaukee playoff push would certainly make it easy for each side to retain their guy.

But, if the Braves really are serious about getting power, then it's going to cost them somewhere, be it the farm or their wallet.

Why not let it be someone like Fielder?

A lineup of McLouth, Prado, Jones, Fielder, McCann, Escobar, Heyward, Diaz/Schafer is dangerous.

Combine that with a rotation of Hudson, Jurrjens, Hanson, Lowe, and Kawakami and...wow.

Once again, I don't have any evidence that this is even on the table.

And, as a Braves fan, I don't know how a Milwaukee fan would respond to a package like that.

But I feel that an ace, a plus-plus MLB-experienced pitcher, excellent first base prospect, and above average infield prospect make this a fair deal.

But, if you think more should be added from Atlanta's side, here are pieces that could be interchanged with the deal I have standing: Jordan Schafer, Todd Redmond, Cody Johnson, Craig Kimbrel, Van Pope, Randall Delgado, and Julio Tehran.

Just don't say Heyward or Hanson.

Obviously, this would hinder any of the other plans for Atlanta this offseason, but Prince Fielder would be plenty for me.

So, what do you think?

With One Fell Swoop, the Season Ends For the Atlanta Braves

Cameron Britt — Wed, 30 Sep 2009 22:33:28 -0400

To think, Braves fans had it all two days ago.

The Braves were on fire, the Rox were, to an extent, scuffling, and they sat only two games back.

An unlikely series of events would still have to occur. But, hey, we were believers.

Then, Cameron Maybin, Dan Uggla, Josh Johnson, and Jorge Cantu happened.

Later that night, Chris Iannetta happened.

No biggie. Still only three games.

It'll be a little harder, but it's still possible.

We have to believe...right?

Then tonight happened.

Ross Gload put the Fish up 5-0 on Javier Vazquez, all hope was lost.

But, excitement came in the late stages as the Braves mounted a comeback.

5-4, bases loaded, ninth inning...two outs.

New pitcher.

Joe Simpson had just said that Martin Prado needed to look for a good pitch that would at least drive Matt Diaz in from third to tie the contest up.

WILD PITCH!!!

Maybe this is the team of destiny!

Here comes Diaz to tie it up...wow is this...

What?

Matt Diaz didn't break all the way?

AND HE WENT TOO FAR AND GOT PICKED OFF OF THIRD TO END THE INNING/GAME/SEASON???

[Insert religious figure of your choice here]!!!

I think that one play sums up the Braves' whole season.

As Joel Barker said, "just good enough to drive a dagger through your heart..."

That one play showed how close the Braves have been all year to good situations.

And shows how well they seem to f%&# it all up.

Fifteen steps forward to make you get a sense of hope that they'll eventually crush with 16 steps back.

It frustrates me to no end to see this much talent, this much pitching, and this much momentum be thrown all against the wall.

"Believe" has become "Bogus."

Let's go Cardinals...spoil the Yankees' billion dollar party.

*Note to reader: This article's creation began approximately 30 seconds after the final out call. I know it's choppy. I know it rambles. I also know that this team is better than second or third in the Wild Card—so give me a break.

The Playoff Push: Hard To Handle for an Atlanta Braves Fan

Cameron Britt — Sun, 27 Sep 2009 01:12:52 -0400

The 2009 Atlanta Braves' season.

You wanna talk about an emotional roller coaster?

How about we start with this topic and then move on to your example?

This is setting up to be, by far, the most exciting final week that I've seen since...well...ever.

You can talk all you want about the 14 straight, but you will find few that can rival the excitement (and deflation) that Braves fans have felt over the past four or five weeks.

Most of those seasons, the division was locked up a week, two, or three weeks before the season ended.

If they weren't, the Braves' magic number was about six or seven heading into the season's final three weeks.

This season, my friends, has been a lot different.

This season, I have declared the Braves dead approximately 14 million times.

And each and every time, the clubhouse attendant found the defibrillator behind a pile of jock-straps in the laundry room at Turner Field.

You may be saying now, "Well, you're an idiot for giving up so soon-you're not a real fan."

Well, I ask, "Can you blame me???"

Remember Andre Ethier?

After that homer that fateful night in LA, I was thinking "dead, not a chance now-no way they can survive an emotional blow like that."

The next night, I WROTE that they were close to done following a Casey Blake homer (preceded by a BS call by an umpire).

Then, they came back.

They took the last three of that series and the Braves went on a mini-streak.

Hope was back in town.

Now, remember two straight nights of hellacious Kris Medlen innings in Florida and a sweep at the hands of the Reds?

Once again, I said they were done.

Then, jock-strap shuffling came-CLEAR-and the Braves got hot again.

Now, the heat is back on (not surprisingly following an embarrassing series against Philadelphia), and the Braves find themselves only two-and-a-half back of the NL Wild Card leading Colorado Rockies.

Wow.

The might-have-been's (see an in-depth review of those here) will be prevalent if the season ends the way my gut says it's going to (though you see how accurate it has been to this point).

Braves fans will be saying that they shouldn't have be where they are right now.

That they should be in fifth in the Wild Card.

And that they should have rolled over and just died on Sept. 1 and saved us another heartbreak (at least at first when the sting of another postseasonless season is still stinging).

But, regardless of how the season ends (be it positive or negative), it will be impossible to refute that the 2009 Atlanta Braves are the most resilient and awe-inspiring team that we've seen in a while.

The Braves have proven again and again that they fear no ace and that they can take licks of adversity with the best of them.

As I said, it was not that long ago that the Braves had Mills Lane over top of them.

To be 2.5 back of the Rox, even with only a week remaining, is impressive.

Anything can happen now.

With five left against the Nationals (all but one at home) and another three with the Fish (at home), the blue-hot Braves are nipping at the heels of the Rockies (they have one game against the home-field seeking Cardinals, three at home against the Brewers, and three at LA).

The Braves could easily go 7-1 (91-71) or 6-2 (90-72) with the way their playing.

But the Rockies could also easily go 5-2 (that's not good, 92-70) against opponents with nothing left to shoot for (maybe MIL is looking for respect, maybe LA is in the same situation that I said St. Louis is in).

BEAT-L-A used to be the chant at Atlanta Fulton-County.

We need to turn that around, WIN-L-A.

A Dodger sweep of the Rox makes this very interesting in terms of the title.

Vice versa, and Atlanta fans are forced to wait another year.

So, what's it going to be Braves?

Are you going to win and set yourself up for success and the sequel to this action packed thriller that you call the regular season?

Or are you going to pull a Sopranos and just leave us all...

Bobby Cox Inks One-Year Extension With Braves

Cameron Britt — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 16:50:09 -0400

Let's keep this brief.

Bobby Cox has signed a one-year contract extension with the Atlanta Braves.

This will be his last whoorah, as the 68-year-old veteran manager will retire following the 2010 season to take on an advisory role in baseball operations.

If there was any doubt about what the Braves aim to do next season, this should make it clear.

I'll give you a hint: they aren't rebuilding and they aren't shooting for the first round of the playoffs.

The Braves are shooting for it all; no way Bobby comes back for another season if that wasn't the case.

After all, to leave the level of talent that the 2009 version of the Braves had behind after failing to reach the playoffs would undoubtedly leave a bad taste in the all-time ejections leader's mouth.

There goes Ned Yost (sarcasm here).

I can't say that I LOVE this move, but this does solidify the Braves' appearance as a free agent suitor.

The AJC may have an ad reading "Atlanta National League Baseball Club seeking high-caliber, multi-talented, high-character corner outfielder/closer/infielder looking to reach the Series."

The past two months have made me pause when discussing Bobby Cox's competency, but the move has been done.

Let's hope he can see his mistakes with the bullpen and bench (ahem...Greg Norton...) and help to move this club back into the playoffs.

Let's hope for better management, super acquisitions, and better results in 2010.

As fans, that's all we can do.

The Second Edition of The Braves' 2009-2010 Offseason Moves

Cameron Britt — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 01:31:54 -0400

One of the hot topics of debate of late in the Braves' nation has been what the Braves should do with their pitching surplus and somewhat anemic.

The near-consensus on this topic has been to trade Javier Vazquez and his all-time high value for a big-time bat.

While this would be awesome (I have been a supporter), I have really though hard about the Brave's situation going into 2010 and have put together this September 19 edition of my offseason plans for the Atlanta Braves.

We'll call this one the starting-pitching friendly scenario.

Keep in mind that I know that I have said different things in the past, this is just food for thought.

I'll break down the moves into four parts: free agent departures, trade chips, free agent acquisitions/players retained, and the whole roster.

Keep in mind that the Braves' 2009 MLB salary was $96,726,167—11th in the Majors and third in their division.

Free Agent Departures/Players Non-Tendered

If I were GM and chose to take this route, I would let the following guys hit the open market (their salary for 2009, which is coming off the books, will be included in parenthesis).

Rafael Soriano ($6.5 MM)
Mike Gonzalez ($3.5 MM)
Kelly Johnson ($2.8 MM)
Buddy Carlyle ($425 K)
Greg Norton ($800 K)
Garret Anderson ($2.5 MM)

That frees up about $16.53 MM to improve the team elsewhere.

I feel like each of these players will end up being, overpaid (Soriano, Gonzalez), become unvaluable assets to the team (Greg Norton, Buddy Carlyle, Kelly Johnson), or block some of the youthful talent coming through the organization (Garret Anderson).

Trade Chips

The following players are players that should be put on the open market (in parenthesis, I will include their salary and return I would expect). I will also make the moves I THINK will happen in BOLD.

Kenshin Kawakami ($7 MM, plus AA arm, good INF A or AA prospect, taker takes on at least half of Kenshin's 2010 salary)
Martin Prado ($415 K, plus plus INF A or AA prospect OR arm)
Javier Vazquez ($11.5 MM, big bat, good prospects OR top 3B prospect, and other good-great prospects, taker takes on entire salary)
Derek Lowe ($15 MM, plus plus AA arm-Kris Medlen-ish, good INF prospect, full salary relief)
Nate McLouth (2.5 MM, same thing the Braves gave away for him: good OF prospect and a couple descent pitching prospects)

My predicted moves free up an additional $7.42 MM.

Prado has value for a team with a hole in the infield looking for a slap-hitting, moderately-well defending, young option.

Plus, his value as a trade chip may never be higher than after the break-out season he's had (he was never profiled to be an everyday player).

Kenshin Kawakami is, in my opinion, the second-most valuable (touchable) trade chip.

His $7 MM salary is fair for a number three or four (which he would be in a lot of rotations) starter.

I could see Kawakami being traded for OK, not great, prospects; but that's not the purpose of a Kawakmi trade.

The intent behind it would be salary and room relief for an already crowded Braves rotation.

Free Agent Acquisitions/Players Retained

This part will be a little confusing.

The following players are either players that the Braves currently have on their Major League roster that I think they should keep or players from outside of the organization that I think they should get (in parenthesis, I will put 2009 Braves' salary/2010 predicted salary/raise in salary) with the entire contract on the outside.

At this point in the piece, the Braves have saved about $23.95 MM for this part of the offseason.

Adam LaRoche ($7 MM/$8.5 MM/$1.5 MM) 2/17
Matt Diaz ($1.3 MM/$2.5 MM/$1.5 MM) arb raise
Ryan Church ($2.8 MM/$2.8 MM/0) arb raise
Chone Figgins (0 for Braves, $5.8 MM/$10.5 MM/$10.5 MM) 3/31.5
Jose Valverde (0 for Braves, $8 MM/$9.5 MM/$9.5 MM) 3/27
Peter Moylan ($410 K/$1 MM/$590 K) arb raise

**Tim Hudson's option will not be exercised, but I believe the team and Timmy will meet with a 2/16 deal**

Alternates: Orlando Hudson for Chone Figgins
Fernando Rodney for Jose Valverde
Nick Johnson or Carlos Delgado for Adam LaRoche

(and I know that I didn't not include everyone, but these are the guys I see getting the biggest raises/making the biggest impact on the team)

The Roster

For this section, I will italicize new faces—be they Minor Leaguers or Free Agents—and put the player's salary/predicted salary in parenthesis.

Line-Up
1 S 2B Chone Figgins ($10.5 MM)
2 L CF Nate McLouth ($4.5 MM)
3 R SS Yunel Escobar ($425 K)
4 L C Brian McCann ($3.5 MM)
5 S 3B Chipper Jones ($13 MM)
6 L 1B Adam LaRoche ($8.5 MM)
7 L RF Jason Heyward ($395 K)
8 L/R LF Matt Diaz/Ryan Church ($4.3 MM combined)

Bench
UTIL Omar Infante ($2.3 MM)
INF Brooks Conrad ($390 K)
OF spare from the above platoon
C David Ross ($1.6 MM)

Starting Rotation
1 R Javier Vazquez ($11.5 MM)
2 R Tim Hudson ($8 MM)
3 R Jair Jurrjens ($450 K)
4 R Tommy Hanson ($450 K)
5 R Derek Lowe ($15 MM...ouch)

Bullpen
LRP Todd Redmond ($390 K)
LOOGY Boone Logan ($410 K)
RHMRP Manny Acosta ($400 K)
RHMRP Luis Valdez ($390 K)
RHSU Kris Medlen ($405 K)
RHSU Peter Moylan ($1 MM)
LHSU Eric O'Flaherty ($410 K)
CL Jose Valverde ($9.5 MM)

Total 2010 Salary: $97,350,000 ($580 K increase)

This, in my opinion, is a pretty good direction for the Braves to take.

There is a nice mixture of youth and experience, power and speed, and professionalism and aggressiveness; something the Braves need as they begin to move towards the next generation of young studs

The rotation here would be, arguably, the best in the Majors; and the depth in the line-up would be as good as, if not better than, what the Braves have now.

The 'pen would also be full of fresh, young arms for whoever's managing the Braves next year (Ned Yost?) to use without fear of a Gonzalez or Soriano elbow blow-out.

I wrote this in this was to answer questions about my thoughts (it would be hard to do so without any input).

So please, comment away.

Atlanta Braves in Need of a Renaissance

Cameron Britt — Thu, 10 Sep 2009 22:37:20 -0400

A renaissance is defined as a rebirth or revival.

I think that is what needs to happen in Atlanta.

Old philosophies have resulted in (soon to be) four consecutive postseason-less seasons for the Atlanta Braves, and I'm getting sick of it.

It may seem like a dead horse that I continue to mercilessly strike, but there are certain things looming around this organization as a whole that are keeping it from taking the next step towards being a World Series contender.

In this piece I will outline three things that will have to be either done away with or modified for the Atlanta National League Baseball Club to become one of the elite players for a championship.

The "Babying" of Young Arms

Okay, this is more of a baseball-wide phenomenon, but it's in Atlanta too (Texas is about the only franchise bold enough not to adhere to it).

When did 100 pitches become a mark where a pitcher's arm would burst into flames and fall off?

When did a 30 inning or more increase between two seasons mean career mortality?

I understand the thinking to a point. You don't want to trash a kid's arm when he's 21 or 22. But I really don't get why teams choose not to stretch out and condition their young arms when they're still developing.

I get that 150 pitches an outing for an 18-year-old in Rookie Ball isn't the best thing to do.

But why 80- 85- and 90-pitch limits when 22 and 23-year-olds are getting to the Bigs?

Isn't that what the Minor Leagues are for?

When a player reaches the Majors, they should be extremely close to "ready," and not be required to adhere to pansy-ish pitch counts.

Through my un-medically trained eyes, this is why we're seeing so many Tommy John Surgeries there days.

How can you expect your veteran pitchers from this kind of system to do what's expected of them when their arms, throughout their professional careers, have been conditioned to stop at 85-90 pitches?

Here's a thought: How about focusing on something called performance?

Passing through the 100-pitch threshold when a pitcher is still dealing isn't going to hurt the guy.

If a player's throwing 95, has retired 10 strait hitters, and is sitting at 108 pitches through eight innings, what do you do?

A lot of teams with a 33-year-old pitcher doing that leave that guy in to get the complete game.

But, if those same credentials are given to a 22 or 23 year old (see Tommy Hanson) doubt swirls around whether or not to let him finish the game for fear of ruining his arm.

The Staple that is Chipper Jones

Yeah, he's one of the greatest switch-hitters of all time.

Yeah, he's a living legend on the Braves.

But guess what?

He's 37.

T-H-I-R-T-Y-S-E-V-E-N.

As hard as it is for people to come to grips with it, Chipper Jones is not the player he was in the late '90's and first part of this century.

He's not capable of playing 140 games anymore, nor is he capable of hitting 25-30 homers nowadays.

Some of you may be looking at .364 in 2008 and calling me an idiot.

You guys are the same one's that are going to be commenting with reasoning like "IT'S CHIPPER!!!"

I know that you have already stopped reading and started your hate mail, so maybe it's useless for me to point this out.

But, for those of us who like logic, I have this tidbit: he did that in 128 games last season with several stints on the DL.

That means plenty of rest.

This year, he looks set to hit about 135 games (what he did in '07) and has seen limited time on the DL.

In other words, not a lot of rest.

Does anyone, by chance, have his batting average for 2009?

Oh yeah, it's .268.

He's still getting on base with frequency (.390 OBP), but it takes contact that finds the ground to bat third.

But, for some reason, Chipper gets a free pass when it comes to this because he is Chipper.

I mean, what would the Braves do without him in the three-hole?

I'll tell you what: a lot better.

Here's a thought: Use something other than names to make up your lineup.

The Braves have a prototypical No. 3 hitter batting further down right now in Yunel Escobar.

Escobar is batting .300, with a .375 OBP, 14 homers (two fewer than Jones), 22 doubles (two more than Chipper), and 134 total hits (21 more than Jones).

He's not the name that Jones is, but he's certainly playing better than the Legend.

The Cox Factor

I've said it before, and I'll say it again.

Bobby Cox does not need to be fired.

He does, however, need to have his performance evaluated after this season.

When you consider his style and what the Braves are wanting to do, the two pieces don't mesh.

His style (do it until it doesn't work and then...hell, do it five more times), temperament (frustration that radiates throughout the rest of the dugout), and lack of aggressiveness (no running with weapons) are creating a toxic blend that is slowly breaking down the Atlanta Braves.

When you bring out relievers after pitching five days in a row, and bring out Greg Norton to pinch hit, you've got issues.

His undying loyalty is his greatest strength and flaw.

A lot of players have come to Atlanta because of that, but a lot will leave because it simply doesn't win games when your faith is in players who simply aren't performing.

I see a front office position in Bobby Cox's future, but waiting to give it to him another two years will mean more under-performing on the field and more profanity coming out of my mouth.

Here's a thought: Replace Bobby with someone who meshes with the organization's direction.

This is just me throwing a name out there, but Ned Yost managed Yovani Gallardo, Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder, and J.J. Hardy pretty effectively in Milwaukee.

Do I see Tommy Hanson, Jason Heyward, Freddie Freeman, and Yunel Escobar in those names?

Just saying...

As I said in the start, I've said a lot of this stuff before.

But it's stuff that I feel needs to be said.

It's all about the Braves for me, and I feel that each of these issues is holding the team back.

I know that I have absolutely no bearing in front office goings-on, but these are things that I really feel need looking at if this organization has any plans of contending in the next three or five years.

It's time for a renaissance for Atlanta baseball.

Letting Go of My Brave Hopes for October Baseball

Cameron Britt — Tue, 08 Sep 2009 18:12:13 -0400

The Braves are sitting at 70-67, 7.5 games behind the red-hot Rockies.

Doing some guesstimations, I figure the Braves need 92 wins (the Rockies have to go 13-11 to get to 91 wins), which would require a 22-2 stretch run.

That, barring some super-divine intervention, isn't happening.

I have always been an optimist when it comes to the Atlanta Braves and wouldn't let go of my postseason hopes until the sweep at the hands of the Reds was complete.

It's obvious that the Braves lost all of the wind out of their sails with one swift swing of Wes Helms's bat on Wednesday night.

It's obvious that everyone is beat up and unable to perform at their optimum ability.

It's also obvious that I'm rambling.

As much as it pains me to accept the reality of another post-less season, I look back on 2009 and see a wealth of positives that almost outweigh this increasingly depressing nosedive Atlanta is taking.

I saw in 2009 that this team's farm can still produce.

With Tommy Hanson, Kris Medlen, and Martin Prado (okay, not a rookie) all making significant contributions to the big-league club and Jason Heyward and Freddie Freeman continuing their tear through the minor leagues, the future of this franchise as a whole looks bright.

I also saw some wise front-office moves bud into major contributors.

Just look at Javier Vazquez, Derek Lowe, Kenshin Kawakami, Brooks Conrad, Garret Anderson, Ryan Church, Nate McLouth, and Adam LaRoche.

Where would this team be without those guys?

Yunel Escobar has also gained my respect.

Starting out as a relatively obscure figure in Atlanta's clubhouse, he slowly revealed his struggles adjusting to a new culture as he became a more personable man in addition to his skills at short (just look at the media around him and the increased interaction in the dug-out).

I also had a chance to see where the real problems lay with the lack of winning in the majors.

Like trust issues and undeserved loyalty.

Like Bobby Cox.

He's too good to his players and looks set to walk out of the dugout for the last time following his one-year extension's expiration this season.

(Quick Side Note: Greg Norton was good last year, and relievers can pitch three straight days every now and then)

All in all, this was a good ride for the past six months.

This was one of the more memorable seasons in my four hardcore years of following the Braves.

Next year looks even more promising.

A healthy Schafer, a full year of Hanson, the arrivals of Heyward and Freeman, and most of the current starters coming back.

Here's to accepting the Braves' fate in 2009.

And here's to 2010.

Legitimate Concern For the Atlanta Braves: Bullpen Management

Cameron Britt — Thu, 03 Sep 2009 21:56:13 -0400

Before I start, I am not saying that the Braves should fire Bobby Cox.

If I see that in the comments, your comment will be flagged.

That's my warning (I appreciate opinions, but not stuff like that).

Okay, let's go...

You know, I thought that bringing up Luis Valdez was a move to provide the Braves with more depth.

Apparently, it was a move to give Boone Logan and Buddy Carlyle another person to talk to while awaiting their bi-weekly appearance.

I think we all get that Mike Gonzalez, Peter Moylan, Rafael Soriano, Kris Medlen, and Eric O'Flaherty can all pitch.

I cannot honestly say that about Carlyle, Logan, and Valdez.

Not because of their performance, but because of their sickening lack of work.

Every night, it's Medlen, EOF, Moylan, Gonzo, and Soriano.

And the first three days you do that, it's fine.

But when you start talking four and five days, its perilous in a playoff hunt.

Take for example Kris Medlen this week.

Tuesday night, he's electric; two Ks in a 1-2-3 inning.

Wednesday, he's roughed up a bit. The Braves lose a lead, lose the game 8-7 after a valiant comeback.

Thursday, he pitches three straight days for the first time this season and was a lot roughed up. The Braves lose a two-run lead.

Meanwhile, fresh arms sit uncalled upon in he 'pen while the Braves flail in the infield.

What gives Bobby (the next few paragraphs are like an open letter to Cox)?

Really, what gives?

Do you realize that the Braves are only four games out in the Wild Card?

That they actually have a shot in September?

If so, then why was Kris Medlen called on after a bad outing and 30-some-odd pitches the past two nights instead of the three-headed unused monster?

This doesn't make me mad though.

IT PISSES ME THE HELL OFF!!!

I've only followed this team for the past five-plus months on a nightly basis and only defended this team every time it's come under fire.

It may not be my place, but I've made it that way.

Now, I've got to put up with some trolls who are perpetually in a ho-hum, let's-just-think-about-how-this-team's-going-to-F-up-next-season mode.

I'm getting tired of sufficiant offense, fine starting pitching, and rival losses getting wasted because of your inability to hand the ball to someone outside of your big five.

(this concludes the Bobby Cox section)

I'm an optimist when it comes to the Braves.

I wasn't worried about a three-game deficit last week.

Right now, I should be excited about a one- or two-game deficit.

Instead, I'm looking at a team set to re-tie for third in the Wild Card and fall four games back because of trust issues.

A month ago, it was the bats' inability to support the pitching staff.

Now, it's relievers finally seeing 60 innings of work catch up to them.

I'm not conceding the season yet, but, hey, I'm pretty [insert strong expletive] close.

Agony In Atlanta's Three Hole: Is it Time for Chipper to be Moved Down?

Cameron Britt — Sat, 29 Aug 2009 21:29:45 -0400

We all know about Chipper Jones' recent slump.

It always seems as if hes going to break out of it tomorrow.

If not tomorrow, the next day.

And if not that, then next week.

Then it's just eventually...I mean, it's Chipper, right?

It's pretty much been this cycle for three weeks.

This wouldn't be a huge deal except for one thing: Chipper Jones is still batting third.

Now, I understand that by plugging Chipper in somewhere else, you're leaving the three-hole open to somebody that's never been used there on a regular basis before, but something's gotta give.

Chipper simply isn't setting the table for B-Mac, GA, and Escobar.

This is what I propose (keep in mind, I'm no Bobby Cox) when McLouth comes back:

1 R Matt Diaz
2 R Martin Prado
3 L Garret Anderson
4 L Brian McCann
5 R Yunel Escobar
6 L Nate McLouth
7 S Chipper Jones
8 L Adam LaRoche

I will explain this spot-by-spot.

1- As long as Captain Caveman is keeps hitting, I want him starting in right and leading off. Period.

2- Martin Prado has flourished this season batting second and I see no reason to change that.

3- Anderson has hit well and been consistent all season. No, he doesn't walk or hit .310, but his groundballs seem (from observation) few and far between.

If nothing else, you could swap out Yunel and Garret, but this he just my first choice.

4- B-Mac is B-Mac is B-Mac. He is probably the best combination of power average the Braves have and is the man I want to remain in the four-hole.

5- Yunel Escobar is a run-producer, ladies and gentleman. He doesn't have quite as much pop as McCann, so I'm leaving him to his recently-normal five-hole.

Okay, here's where some of you are going to start questioning me.

6- Remember when the Braves acquired Nate McLouth and Jerome Jurenovich asked him where he preferred to bat in the order?

Nate said the two and five holes were his preference, but that he'd bat wherever needed.

Well, I say move him to a spot where he can put his power to use and plug him into the six-hole to clean up B-Mac and Escobar.

No, his speed could not be utilized as much, but since when does Bobby Cox send runners?

7- Chipper needs to get out of his funk.

8- LaRoche? If his hamstring is bad enough, I'd do this: put Infante at second, Prado at first, and bat Infante here.

But, if it isn't something that's going to cost LaRoche a lot of play, then the Braves have a fine No. 8 hitter that can launch a few balls out to clean up whoever may be on in front of the pitcher.

Look, this is nothing against Chipper Jones.

Not by a long shot (as I was writing this line he put the Braves ahead of the Phillies 9-1).

I'm just saying that 4-43 (with the homer hit during the typing of this article) isn't what you need batting third going into the last month of the season in a play-off run.

Hey, maybe that homer will start something.

I mean, it's Chipper, right?

Braves-Padres: Javier Vazquez Helps Salvage Finale with NL West Bottom-Feeders

Cameron Britt — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 22:31:48 -0400

Following two demoralizing...err...humiliating losses to the San Diego Padres on Tuesday and Wednesday night, it may have been easy to say that the sky was falling and that all hopes for 2009 were lost.

Well, that's just how this entire season has been.

Even with losing ground to the Phillies, Rockies, and turning NL East second-placehood over to the Marlins, the Atlanta Braves woke up big time on Thursday night.

With Chipper busting out of his slump with a two-hit performance, Matty-D (or Captain Caveman) continuing to do his thing, and "La Cooka Roche A" (and we all share a hearty laugh) continuing his hot hitting, the Braves righted themselves to the tune of a nine-run, 17-hit performance against Clayton Richard and the Priests of San Diego (I have Spanish this semester, might as well flaunt some).

Add to that Javy being Javy (seven innings of shutout ball), and you have a very good night down at the Ted.

No, the win does not make up for 2-1 (close and frustrating to the end) and 12-5 (in control until the big inning) losses the past two evenings, but this victory tastes a whole hell of a lot better than a sweep at the hands of the Friars.

Look guys, the end is not very far away, but it isn't exactly "near."

Just think, Tim Hudson and Nate McLouth are coming back in the next four to five days.

The team managed to survive a stretch of Met-esque injuries by going over .500 and are making, in essence, two fresh All-Star acquisitions for the last month of the season.

Yeah, they're going to need to go something like 25-10 (that's 92 wins) the rest of the way, but you've gotta have faith.

I've devoted way too much of my free time to this club over the past six months to just throw up the white flag.

In the words of Uncle Kracker, "you make me smile" Atlanta Braves.

Sometimes that smile is a half-dazed, crazy-looking smile from the utter embarrassment that you are able to bring upon yourselves, but it is a smile nonetheless.

(By the way, that Prospect Profile is coming up, it just may not be on Van Pope anymore.)

Was Atlanta's Adam LaRoche Acquisition the Best Deadline Move for a Bat?

Cameron Britt — Fri, 21 Aug 2009 12:00:40 -0400

Adam LaRoche has been one of the biggest cogs in a revitalized Braves lineup since coming over from Boston in a deadline deal for Casey Kotchman.

However, with names like Matt Holliday and Victor Martinez also being moved, this deal has, in a way, gone under the radar.

Let's start things off by looking at the stats of each player since joining his current team:

Name: G/AVG/HR/RBI/XBH/OBP/SLG%

Adam LaRoche: 17/.404/6/12/8/.507/.754

Matt Holliday: 25/.414/5/23/17/.451/.707

Victor Martinez: 17/.324/5/14/9/.398/.581

LaRoche tops everyone in homers, OBP, and SLG% and is near par in every other offensive category, trailing in extra-base hits by one to V-Mart in as many games and on a similar pace for RBI with Holliday and Martinez.

Now, let's look at the trade chips:

Team Got—Gave Up

Adam LaRoche, cash—Casey Kotchman

Matt Holliday—Brett Wallace, Shane Peterson, Clayton Mortenson

Victor Martinez—Justin Masterson, Nick Hagadone, Bryan Price

Brett Wallace and Justin Masterson were the only, if you will, "blue-chip" prospects involved in their respective deals, but throwing in two additional "OK" prospects certainly doesn't help organizational depth.

But when you consider the performance of each player, the one-for-one swap the Braves pulled off looks pretty good.

Now, let's consider each team's standing at the time of each deal.

The Cardinals looked pretty good. They had very good pitching and very good hitting, and Holliday just sweetened their chances a little more.

Guess what?

They've only widened their lead in the NL Central since the acquisition.

The Red Sox wanted catching help and got it. By adding Martinez, it seemed they had just filled their biggest void.

However, since the deal, they have continued to be mortal in the wild card race and have all but fallen out of the AL East race.

The Braves had a power shortage. They were hoping to stay in contention in the NL East race and the wild card by adding a big-time right-handed bat.

Instead, they got LaRoche from Boston and have proceeded to go five games over .500 since the 31st of July while moving into a tie for second in their division and fourth in the wild card with the Florida Marlins.

Obviously, my slant on this is going to be a little distorted because of my never-dying passion for the Braves.

But when you consider the performance of the players, value of the deals, and "need-fillingness" of each move, the LaRoche trade looks like the best of these three.

The Braves may still be 6.5 out in the division but are only four out in the wild card and appear to be on the rise.

LaRoche may not be protecting Albert Pujols or replacing a legend at his position (as Martinez is doing with Jason Varitek), but there is no doubt he has had an impact on the way the Braves are mashing the ball.

Anything the Mets can do, the Braves can do better.

Cameron Britt — Wed, 19 Aug 2009 21:38:27 -0400

The Atlanta Braves are just like that one drunken uncle we all have. No matter how bad the night before may have been, he gets up, takes on the hangover, and goes about his business the next night.

Talk about resilience.

Just when it seems the bleakest (you know you cause your fans to write cynical and frustrated articles), this team comes back and plays to their fullest capabilities.

An eighth run inning to embarrass them? They score eight in an inning as well.

Citi Field is a batting hell hole? How about three long ones from McCann, LaRoche, and Diaz?

A 9-4 loss to the Mets? How about a 15-2 shellacking to remind the opposition that they are the Mets?

The 2009 Atlanta Braves never cease to amaze me.

Watching Derek Lowe surrender 11 hits last night in the fourth made me question the legitimacy of the Braves' playoff hopes. Watching Bobby Parnell stink up Citi Field tonight made me forget about Lowe.

For those of us who doubted the Braves, I think we can start to prep those thoughts for burial.

The Braves appear to be here to stay.

Provided, the Bravos still have to match up against Johan Santana tomorrow; but right now, I'm not worried about that. It's nice to be able to just relax for a few innings, instead of worrying about how the 'pen is going to perform, or if the offense can muster some insurance.'

As long as they don't use all of the firepower tonight, this team can compete against any pitcher; be it Johan Santana or Jeff Bennett.

Tonight, Braves fans, sleep peacefully.

For the Braves have redeemed themselves, big time.

A Braves' Fan Teetering on the Edge of Insanity

Cameron Britt — Tue, 18 Aug 2009 21:32:37 -0400

Raise your hand if you've ever heard of the term "death by 1,000 cuts."

Well, if you haven't, I'll rewind my DVR so you can see the fourth inning of today's Mutts err...Mets-Braves game.

[insert religious figure of choice here]!!!

Matching their production against Derek Lowe for the season (five runs and 10 hits) in one inning...and then some (eight runs on 11 hits), the Mets made minced meat of an obviously disgruntled Lowe on the 18th.

The only good thing about the D-Lowe debacle was that he was in my opponent's starting rotation today (that 14+ ERA is going to be hard to bring down).

In a game that seemed to be going the Braves' way (4-0 heading into the inning with big Matt Diaz and Adam LaRoche homers), this Met-like meltdown was even harder to bear.

I don't get how an offensively-challenged team like New York can manage to have every player except for one (Daniel Murphy) muster a hit in one inning.

It just doesn't seem possible.

But, I guess when you put together all of the pieces that set up this disgraceful inning (Derek Lowe hurt/blistered, the Mets coming in with nothing to lose, and the Braves already turning cruise control on), it seems a little more believable.

Those reasons still don't take away the sting I felt with each blooper, dribbler, and occasional slash that missed gloves and found holes that never usually exist.

I don't think this is a microcosm of the 2009 Braves' season.

This team normally has strong starting pitching and rarely gets embarrassed, but this game's score versus the 9-4 game the team put together the yesterday looks a lot like April and May's team.

That's not to say this should be expected night in and night out, but this is beyond disheartening with the play the Braves had been exhibiting over the past two weeks and three-and-a-half innings.

Barring a very un-Braves-like four-run comeback, this is a tough loss.

No, this is a suicide-invoking (note the use of a hyperbole) loss.

Entering a stretch where every game could mean the season...yeah.

Better put the pajamas on boys; bad swings after a big inning are making the lackluster Mets look good.

Atlanta Braves' Prospect Profile: Randall Delgado

Cameron Britt — Thu, 13 Aug 2009 14:24:17 -0400

Randall Delgado is a 19-year-old Panamanian currently with the Atlanta Braves' A affiliate in Rome, Georgia.

The young right-hander is in his third year with the organization and has established himself as a dominant strikeout pitcher in the low-minors (with 50, 81, and 112 Ks in 45, 69, and 102 innings) with a fastball topping out around 94, curveball, and change-up.

Standing an imposing 6'3" and weighing only 165 pounds, it is safe to assume that his fastball may ramp up another mile-per-hour or so once he bulks up some more.

Delgado has received praise for advanced control at his age and should see his walk numbers (12, 35, and 45 in his first three pro seasons) go down as he gains more experience.

In the past three seasons, Delgado has put up solid numbers and is quickly establishing himself as one of the better prospects the Braves have.

In his best season so far in 2008, the No. 13 prospect in the Braves' system (by Baseball America) had a 3.13 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and 81:30 K:BB rate in 69 innings while allowing five homers.

2009 hasn't been quite as smooth.

In 20 games, Randall has a 4.41 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 112:45 K:BB rate in 102 innings.

However, Delgado received some attention a week or so back from Mark Bowman and other writers when he pitched seven no-hit innings.

Leading up to that start were three in which he had posted a 1.89 ERA.

Those starts brought his '09 line back to respectability and showed that he has started to adjust to his level of competition.

Delgado should continue in his development as a big-time strikeout pitcher as his confidence, stuff, and control improve.

He has plus stuff and projects into a No. 2 or three starter at the highest.

Provided that he can keep up his pace, 2013 or 2014 may be when Delgado is donning an Atlanta Braves uniform.

Next in the Prospect Profile series: Van Pope.

Atlanta Braves' Prospect Profile: Craig Kimbrel

Cameron Britt — Sun, 09 Aug 2009 22:24:34 -0400

Craig Kimbrel is a 21-year-old right-handed closer currently assigned to the Atlanta Braves' AA affiliate in Mississippi.

The 5'11" Huntsville, Alabama native was drafted in the third round of the 2008 MLB Draft by the Braves (the second time he had been drafted by Atlanta, the first time coming in the 33rd round of the '07 Draft).

Kimbrel has a repertoire that is highlighted by a mid-to upper-nineties fastball and power slider.

With these two pitches, the No. 10 Braves prospect dominated his opponents in Rookie-Ball, A, and A- Advanced over the course of his first professional season in 2008.

With a 0.51 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 35.1 innings, Kimbrel was impressive.

What was even more impressive was the 56 strikeouts in those 35.1 innings.

Even though he did walk 15, the utter dominance overshadows that.

Although this season hasn't been as amazing, Kimbrel has still given hope that he still may be the Braves' long-term solution to late-inning duties in Atlanta.

In 49.1 innings, Kimbrel has posted a 87:35 K:BB ratio while putting up a 3.28 ERA and 1.30 WHIP and allowing only two (TWO) home runs.

Comparing Kimbrel to an active major league player is hard.

A lot of closers started out as starters (Rafael Soriano, Francisco Rodriguez, and Mariano Rivera), so maximum effort wasn't exerted on every pitch (Kimbrel was drafted and has been treated like a reliever).

Based purely on Minor League stats, he looks like a Trevor Hoffman-type player since he doesn't let himself get into trouble with too many baserunners; but based on stuff, the power slider and fastball make him look like Brad Lidge.

I'm not saying that he'll save 500+ games or go 48-for-48 in a season, but I think that Braves fans can rest easy in either the eighth or ninth when Craig Kimbrel makes it to the Bigs sometime in the next year or two.

He has all of the poise and dominance you could want from a Major League closer and should be successful in that role as long as he can improve his control a little.

Next Up: Randall Delgado.

(Side Notes: Stats are from Baseball-Reference on Saturday, August 8 and I know the picture in this article is of Kris Medlen)

Umpiring Gaffes Still Persistent in Atlanta Braves' Waning Playoff Hopes

Cameron Britt — Sat, 08 Aug 2009 01:23:52 -0400

I find that writing when I'm angry makes for a far more entertaining piece.

With that being said, this article may get me a seat at the baseball writer's dinner.

(That's a joke, of course.)

So, I'm watching the Braves game, and in the bottom of the fifth, Jair Jurrjens finds himself looking back at Rafael Furcal stationed first with Andre Ethier sitting pretty with a 3-1 count.

As the 3-1 delivery is in flight, Furcal takes off from first and is nailed at second on a stellar throw from Brian McCann.

It appears to be 3-2 with no one on as JJ continues in his battle with Ethier as McCann, Escobar, and others within the camera pan act as such.

Then, I see Furcal dusting himself off at second behind a very confused Escobar.

WTF?

"OK," I think. "I guess I missed the ump's non-fist pump...oh well..."

Then, the replay.

W-T-F?????

Eric Cooper, although the normal vocalized "HAH" was absent in live-action, had "pumped" a strike call.

My remote gets flipped disgustedly out of my hand as Bobby Cox comes out to ask what was up.

He gets tossed after pleading with Eric Cooper, who was saying something like "I understand what you mean." (according to Joe Simpson).

(Side Note: did anyone else notice that annoying kid standing up swinging his arm around? Moot point, but I hate stuff like that.)

The next thought is "Well, Manny, Blake, Kemp, and Loney...*deep nervous breath*"

JJ procedes to K Manny "can't catch a ball to save his life" Ramirez.

I grin a little, I'm not nearly as afraid of Casey...Blake.

Yeah...first pitch three-run homer.

5-2 Dodgers.

My thought "********************** of ************ and ***."

Eventually, the inning ends and no further damage results from the misleading call from Eric Cooper.

You know, I get that stuff happens.

Sometimes, brain farts happen.

But come on.

If he were to throw up the wrong sign in the second on an 2-1 pitch with two out to the number eight hitter, I let it slide.

It's a borderline pitch (that appeared to catch the corner) with the meat of the line-up coming up, the difference between 3-2 with one out and two on with Manny frickin' Ramirez up is huge.

No, it isn't the World Series, but I would like to think that umps are more focused when the game seems on the line.

I'm not accusing Cooper of "Hohning" it, but everyone watching Vin Scully, Boog and Joe, and the game at Chavez Ravine saw a strike called.

It was, in my opinion, (a) a missed call and (b) a momentum changer.

Even if Ethier later walks, and the rest of the events follow as they did, this is only a 4-2 game.

Combine that with Kelly Johnson's two-run homer later in the game, and this game is tied and the momentum starts to swing towards the Braves.

We'll never know what would of happened, but this is just one more thing to be frustrated about as a Braves fan.

Hohn and his moustache's antics, walk-offs on two separate occasions off of the previously automatic Soriano, and the sudden drop-off of clutch hits from the offense, and this just kinda pushes me over the line of hysteria.

Hope is slowly dwindling out of me for '09 (that's why I'm doing the prospect series).

While I refuse to say that the team is ready for several forks to be dug into it, I am not blind.

The mesh that was there just a few weeks ago seems to be turning into more of a mess.

BREAKING NEWS: Braves tie game in ninth, updates will be provided in the comment's section.

Atlanta Braves' Prospect Profile: Todd Redmond

Cameron Britt — Thu, 06 Aug 2009 17:17:43 -0400

Todd Redmond is a 24-year-old right-handed starting pitcher currently stationed at AAA-Gwinnett who was acquired by the Atlanta Braves prior to the 2008 season for under-performing reliever Tyler Yates.

Last year, Redmond earned Southern League Pitcher of the Year honors with AA Mississippi after posting a 3.52 ERA in 166.1 innings with a fine 133:33 K:BB ratio on his way to a 13-5 season.

The 6'3" righty has seen a decline in his stats, however, in 2009.

In 22 starts this season, Redmond has accumulated 117 innings while posting a 4.31 ERA, a 91:36 K:BB, and a 7-6 record, which is more like his 2007 line in Pittsburgh's farm system (28 games, 4.39 ERA, 107:35 K:BB, 8-13 record between A+ and AA).

He's never been known as a power arm (his heater tops out around 90 with an OK curve and changeup), but his control has been phenomenal; walking only 35, 33, and 36 in his last three seasons.

Paul Byrd and Jeff Bennett are good comparisons for Redmond as a major league starter or reliever.

His career Minor League ERA (3.53) compares favorably to the previously mentioned Byrd and Bennett, while his Ks and BBs are each lower over the course of his five professional seasons.

He's no Tommy Hanson (WHO IS???), but he could serve as a solid middle reliever or back-of-the-rotation starter based solely on his innate ability to throw strikes.

Redmond looks set to compete for a bullpen spot in 2010 and could very well win one if the Braves lose confidence in Jorge Campillo coming back or Buddy Carlyle's grip on his diabetes or if a 'pen spot is vacated by one of Mike Gonzalez or Rafael Soriano leaving.

I like Redmond competing for a rotation spot in 2011, although his long-term outlook in the majors is as a strike-throwing reliever/spot starter.

His key to success will be keeping runners off base by using his control so the hits (and homers, 35, 33, and 36 in his last three seasons) won't hurt him.

Next in the Prospect Profile series: Craig Kimbrel.