Washington vs Baylor: Will the Alamo Bowl Be RGIII's College Football Goodbye?

Johnathan CaceCorrespondent IDecember 27, 2011

MANHATTAN, KS - OCTOBER 1: Robert Griffin III #10 of the Baylor Bears looks to pass during the game against the Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium on October 1, 2011 in Manhattan, Kansas. The Wildcats won 36-35. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Baylor’s football team is being talked about more than ever before and it’s almost entirely because of quarterback Robert Griffin III. He beat out Andrew Luck and Trent Richardson to win the Heisman trophy this year, but this could be his last year in the college ranks.

With his stellar play this season and Matt Barkley’s decision to return to USC, RG3 is now squarely in the top 15 available prospects in this year’s NFL draft.

Will the Alamo Bowl be the last time anyone sees him play in college?

It certainly should be, but that doesn’t mean it will.

The first thing people need to think about when projecting Griffin in the NFL is his size. The guy is only 6’1”, and for a quarterback to be rated this highly is a rare occasion to say the least. Add to that the fact that he missed almost a full season two years ago and it’s really unheard of.

He’s been absolutely brilliant during his time in Waco and has improved every year, but make no mistake about it, he will be getting a lot more attention this year than he would any other year.

But from everything we’ve learned about him in the past few months, one thing is for certain—money won’t be something keeping him in school. The only other realistic thing that would keep him behind is a shot at a Big 12 or national title.

The Big 12 loses a lot of its best players next year, but it will still be hard for Baylor to win the conference.

Kendall Wright has been sensational this season at wide receiver and is second in the country in receiving yards behind Western Michigan’s Jordan White. The problem is he is a senior and that kind of production is hard to replicate. Running back Terrance Ganaway, who is averaging over 110 yards per game, will also be leaving.

The Bears have been really bad on defense all year, and three guys will graduate from a defensive front seven which is already giving up close to 200 yards per game on the ground.

There is also the issue of the team winning on the road. Baylor is 1-3 in road games this year and needed a fourth-quarter comeback and overtime to escape 2-10 Kansas. If the Bears lose the Alamo Bowl to a mediocre Washington team, it would be really hard for Griffin to reason that he should stay.

Still, according to Tony Pauline, NFL draft analyst for Sports Illustrated, both he and Oklahoma’s Landry Jones are leaning toward staying for their senior seasons. This was on Dec. 22, so whether that report is still accurate or ever was accurate is anyone’s guess.

Fans of the team and of college football would love to have Griffin III back for his senior season, but there really is no reason for him to stick around. That doesn’t mean he won’t, though.