Would you have believed both the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs would be alive to win the division in Week 16 of this season after all the injuries they've incurred?
The Raiders have been without their starting quarterback (although they traded for Carson Palmer) and their starting running back for some time now. And they've had a number of injuries hit their wide receivers each and every week. Through it all, they are 7-7 and in the hunt for the AFC West and the final wild-card spot.
As for the Chiefs, they lost their starting tight end, safety and running back all in the first few weeks of the season. Since that time they've lost their starting quarterback as well and had to trade for Kyle Orton. They're a long shot, but they can still steal the AFC West for the second straight year if crazy things happen.
Where: Arrowhead Stadium; Kansas City, Missouri
When: Saturday, Dec. 24 at 1:00 p.m. EST
Watch: CBS. DirecTV 708
Spread: Chiefs -2.5
The Chiefs are in the second game of the brief Kyle Orton era, and he gives them a legitimate shot at knocking off the Raiders. Oakland's secondary has been continually banged up and Orton is a significant upgrade over Tyler Palko.
Oakland knows Orton well though from his time in Denver, and their run game should also be able to punch some holes in KC's defense.
The Raiders are on a three-game losing streak and the Chiefs have won two of their last three, but Kansas City is 0-3 as a favorite this year.
The Silver and Black have won the last two games in Arrowhead. Roll with that.
Four of the last five games and both the last two meetings at Arrowhead have gone under. Don't expect either of these offenses to explode, and a 21-20 game covers you.
Whose Injury Has Been More Devastating
Darren McFadden, RB, Out (Foot)
Jacoby Ford, WR, Doubtful (Foot)
Michael Huff, S, Doubtful (Hamstring)
Matt Cassel, QB, Out
Fantasy Big Plays
Start: Michael Bush, RB, Raiders
The Chiefs have a top-10 pass defense yardage wise, but give the 24th-most rushing yards in the league. Bush should be able to take advantage of that.
Sit: Steve Breaston, WR, Cardinals
It is finals week in fantasy, and Breaston's consistent 4-6 points in standard scoring won't help much.
Sleeper: Jackie Battle, RB, Chiefs
The Raiders are actually worse against the run than the Chiefs are.
Keys to Raiders Win
Create turnovers. Kyle Orton can find a way to throw for yards in nearly any game, but he's also susceptible to turnovers.
Oakland has already seen Orton once this year and they beat up on him last year too.
The Raiders need to make Orton comfortable and then take care of business on the ground when they have the football.
Which of These Teams Is More Likely to Make the Playoffs?
If they can do that, Carson Palmer should be able to find the open receiver with play-action.
Keys to Chiefs Win
Kansas City owned Carson Palmer in his season debut this year. What they did in that game, including two pick-sixes, is what they need to do again. Strangle the Raiders offense and force Palmer (they also picked off Kyle Boller three times in that game) to make bad decisions with the ball.
They weren't much of an offensive powerhouse in that game by any means though, nor were they last week in their upset of the previously unbeaten Green Bay Packers, and they need to find some consistency against this Raiders defense this week.
Prediction: Raiders 24, Chiefs 14