LSU vs Alabama Rematch: How Big a Win Does Bama Need to Claim Title Outright?

Johnathan CaceCorrespondent IDecember 12, 2011

TUSCALOOSA, AL - NOVEMBER 05:  Trent Richardson #3 of the Alabama Crimson Tide is tackled by Eric Reid #1 of the LSU Tigers during their game at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 5, 2011 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

No matter who has any problems with it, LSU will once again face off with Alabama—but this time a national championship is on the line.

The Tigers won the first game 9-6 in overtime in Tuscaloosa and some voters are rumored to vote them the national champions regardless of the outcome in New Orleans.

Would an Alabama blowout be enough to persuade those voters? And if so, how big does the margin of victory have to be?

While the entire process is subjective, it would likely take at least a double digit win to get enough voters on board.

Not many people realize that the Tide actually out-gained the Tigers by over 50 yards, which is a big deal considering no points were actually scored and long field goals were missed. Should Alabama win this game, you can bet that people will become very much aware of that fact and be reminded of how close the game was to going the other way, like the incredible interception by LSU that originally looked like an Alabama catch inside the five-yard line.

The Tide will also have to compensate for the home field advantage they were expected to have over the Tigers. Odds are that if the first game had been played in Baton Rouge and not Tuscaloosa, voters would have no or considerably less of a problem voting Alabama first.

At the end of the day, the national champion should be a team that finishes strong. An emphatic win in which Alabama decisively won on the scoreboard and in the box score will be enough to get at least a split of the title.

Winning it outright is anyone’s guess, but double digits will certainly be required. If the Tide beat LSU like they beat Florida for the 2009 SEC Championship—final score was 32-13, but it looked much worse watching—then you would probably see them win the national championship outright.