Week 13 Fantasy Football: Start'em, Sit'em
Going into the Thursday Night Football matchup against the Eagles, Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch had a seven-game scoring streak.
Not only did he extend his streak to eight games, but he scored twice. Lynch finished the game with 22 carries for 148 yards and two touchdowns.
In the past five weeks, Lynch has 20-plus carries in every game and 100-plus yards in four of five games. During that five-game span, Lynch has 128 carries for 591 yards plus nine receptions for 87 yards and a total of six touchdowns.
Lynch is obviously a start for fantasy owners going forward and he will kick off the fantasy playoffs (Week 14) with a favorable matchup next week against the Rams, who rank last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (159.0 per game).
Here are some players to consider starting in Week 13:
QB - Tim Tebow, Broncos (at MIN): Since replacing Kyle Orton in Week 5 (before the team's bye), Tebow has scored 15-plus fantasy points in every game except one. Interestingly enough, his worst game (12 fantasy points) during that span was the game in which he threw for a season-high 172 yards. Tebow has an 8:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and set a career high with 22 rushing attempts last week. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than Minnesota.
RB - DeAngelo Williams, Panthers (at TB): Through the first 10 games of the season, Williams was in a bit of a scoring drought (only one touchdown). Against a bad Colts run defense last week, Williams rushed for two touchdowns and had a season-high 15 rush attempts. Williams now has two straight games with double-digit fantasy points and next up are the Buccaneers, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.
RB - BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Patriots (vs IND): Speaking of scoring droughts, Green-Ellis had been held out of the end zone for five straight games until last week when he scored two times. Similar to Williams, The Law Firm has scored double-digit fantasy points in back-to-back games and faces a bad run defense this week in the winless Colts. The Patriots are more than three-touchdown favorites in this game and they are not opposed to running up the score.
WR - Laurent Robinson, Cowboys (at ARI): Whether or not Miles Austin returns this week and there is much doubt whether he will, Robinson should be started in almost all league formats. In fact, I ranked Robinson higher than Austin and Dez Bryant for Week 13 (see our WR rankings). Robinson is coming off a two-touchdown performance on Thanksgiving and has now scored in five straight games.
WR - Percy Harvin, Vikings (vs DEN): Last week, Harvin had eight receptions for 95 yards, both season highs, and a score. He nearly had another score on the NFL's longest non-scoring play in history (a 104-yard kickoff return) and possibly on a run that wasn't challenged where he might have scored. Either way, Harvin has had his two best fantasy games of the season in Weeks 11 and 12 and has a four-game streak of games with at least 50 receiving yards.
WR - Antonio Brown, Steelers (vs CIN): For some unknown reason, Brown is still available in 20 percent of Yahoo! leagues as of Friday morning, but he's been one of the league's most productive receivers. Brown, who is on pace for 70 receptions and 1,028 yards, has at least 67 receiving yards in each of his past five games. During that five-game span, Brown has 30 receptions for 445 yards, both team highs, and a touchdown.
TE - Kellen Winslow, Buccaneers (vs CAR): Over his past five games, Winslow has 25 receptions for 271 yards and two touchdowns. During that span, Winslow has had at least five fantasy points in four games and he has 14 receptions for 184 yards in his past two games.
Here are some players to consider sitting in Week 13:
QB - Carson Palmer, Raiders (at MIA): Palmer threw for 301 yards last week, but it was a Seabass kicking clinic that won the game for the Raiders as Palmer failed to throw a touchdown. With a hobbled receiving corps, Palmer has thrown only one touchdown in his past two games. During their past four games, the Dolphins have held all quarterbacks to 253 yards or less and have allowed a total of only two passing touchdowns during that four-game span.
RB - Toby Gerhart, Vikings (vs DEN): Even if Adrian Peterson misses another game this week, Gerhart is a flex, at best, this week. While he scored double-digit fantasy points last week as he rushed for a touchdown, he rushed for only 44 yards on 17 carries against a tough Falcons run defense. The Broncos defense has been playing extremely well in their run back into playoff contention and they have allowed only one rushing touchdown to a running back all season.
RB - Brandon Jacobs, Giants (vs GB): Although Ahmad Bradshaw said he has a "big shot" to play this week, it's more likely that he misses another game leaving Jacobs in the featured back role for the fifth straight game. Although he has two rushing touchdowns during that span, Jacobs is averaging only 48.5 rushing yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry in those four games.
WR - Anquan Boldin, Ravens (at CLE): Boldin is my 26th-ranked fantasy wide receiver for the week so he is a WR3 if you start three receivers. In two-receiver leagues, however, Boldin is a flex play at best against a tough Cleveland pass defense. Assuming that Boldin draws the attention of cornerback Joe Haden, it's unlikely that Boldin has a big game this week. In addition, the Browns run defense is so bad that they have allowed five 100-yard rushers in their past five games and Ray Rice is my top-ranked fantasy running back for the week.
WR - Eric Decker, Broncos (at MIN): Decker, who is just outside of my top 30 receivers, has managed to have double-digit fantasy points in four of his past five games and this week he faces the Vikings, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. That said, Decker has a total of seven receptions in his past four games and it's hard to trust his production with Tebow under center, especially if you need this week to propel your team into the playoffs.
WR - Greg Little, Browns (vs BAL): Little has three straight games with 50-plus yards and he scored his first NFL touchdown last week against the Bengals. The Ravens rank fifth in passing defense (200.8 yards allowed per game) and no team has allowed fewer passing touchdowns (seven) than the Ravens. In fact, no other team has allowed fewer than 11 passing touchdowns.
TE - Owen Daniels, Texans (vs ATL): Going back to Week 5, Daniels has had single-digit fantasy points every week. In his past three games, Daniels has had exactly three fantasy points in every game as he has finished with 31 or 32 receiving yards in all three games. While he has the talent, the production has not been there recently.
Through kickoff of the 1 p.m. games on Sunday, we will update our positional rankings, which can be found at TheTipDrill.com.
Good luck in Week 13!
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