NFL Picks Week 13: Underdogs That Will Win Outright
By on November 29, 2011
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Let's face it. Betting on sports wouldn't be nearly as interesting without underdogs.
Then again, I guess there wouldn't be any sports betting at all without underdogs, but you get the point. Underdogs make things interesting.
If you take a look at the Week 13 NFL schedule, you'll notice there are some intriguing underdogs for you to choose from. Some are going to beat the spread, but I think there are three in particular that are going to win outright.
Note: all spreads according to Sportsbook.
Tennessee Titans (+2) at Buffalo Bills
The Bills are in a serious decline, but at least they'll be playing at home for the first time in three weeks when they take on the Titans on Sunday.
Bills fans shouldn't get their hopes up. Buffalo has far too many issues on offense, and there's no reason to think these issues are going to disappear like they did against the New York Jets on Sunday. They don't get enough credit, but the Titans are a pretty good defensive team.
The other thing the Bills should be worried about is Chris Johnson. He's coming off a game in which he rushed for over 190 yards, and he'll be going up against a Bills defense that has been routinely gutted by opposing running backs this season.
This is not going to be a pretty game to behold, but it's a game I think the Titans will win. They're not a great team, but they're much stronger than the Bills at this juncture.
Oakland Raiders (+3) at Miami Dolphins
I'm not entirely sure why the Raiders are three-point underdogs at the 3-8 Dolphins, but I do know that you should consider this spread to be a gift. The Raiders are not going to lose this game.
Sure, the Dolphins have been playing better of late, but they are still a deeply flawed team. You can't take anything for granted with their offense, and their defense has been a bit too beatable this season.
The Raiders also have their issues, but strangely enough they've actually played better on the road this season than they have at home. I think you can expect a heavy workload from Carson Palmer in this game, and he should be able to get the better of Miami's defense.
As for Oakland's own defense, all it has to do is put pressure on Matt Moore and keep an eye on Reggie Bush. It's a simple formula, but the Raiders will have this game in hand if they adhere to it.
New York Jets at Washington Redskins (+3)
After looking like garbage for five weeks, the Redskins have managed to look pretty respectable in their last two games. Their defense is playing as well as it has all season, but the key difference is that Rex Grossman has played some pretty good football.
As for the Jets, you just never know what you're going to get with them. Their defense is a hit-or-miss unit and the same is true of their offense.
The key for the Redskins will be to make sure the Jets' offense has one of its off weeks, which shouldn't be too much to ask. I don't expect the Redskins to do much with their own offense, but they can win this game by forcing Mark Sanchez into making a few mistakes. Turnovers and short fields can go a long way, and both can be had against Sanchez and the Jets.
I think the Redskins are going to get enough of both to win this game.
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