With fantasy playoffs quickly approaching, every move or non-move you make is magnified tenfold.
It is imperative to bolster team depth through the waiver wire, but at the same time, you have to be judicious. You can’t fall in love with every Johnny-come-lately.
In this slideshow, I will highlight 10 players who had breakout games this past weekend, but don’t nearly have the track record to suggest they can keep it up.
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The seldom-used Norwood was a frequent target for Colt McCoy on Sunday when he hauled in four receptions for 69 yards and a touchdown.
However, prior to Sunday's game, Norwood has never topped 51 receiving yards, nor scored, as Sunday’s touchdown grab was the first of his career. Plus, he has four games without so much as recording a catch.
Stay away from this one-week fluke.
On the surface it seems Brown is breaking out, but he has fool’s gold written all over him.
While he did record 80 yards rushing and score a touchdown on Sunday, he did it against the pathetic Carolina Panthers and their 30th-ranked run defense.
The Colts’ running back situation is a mess. They just got back Joseph Addai and still also have Delone Carter on the roster—who may steal some carries.
Colts skill position players should be treated as toxic, so avoid Brown if you can.
By now you should know who Aaron Rodgers likes to target.
Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings are targets 1A and 1B, respectively. James Jones is just another in a line of secondary Packers receivers that has to fight for targets.
On Thursday, Jones made three receptions, but made them count as he totaled 94 yards while also scoring a touchdown.
Jones, along with the likes of Donald Driver, Randall Cobb and tight end Jermichael Finley will occasionally post solid days, but outside of owning Jennings and Nelson, Packers receivers are feast or famine.
The snake-bit Texans, who were already down Matt Schaub, likely lost backup Matt Leinart for the season on Sunday.
Barring any major acquisition (I cringe even bringing up the name Brett Favre!), the role of quarterback may go to either T.J. Yates or Kellen Clemens.
While the Texans have a few weapons, especially with Andre Johnson back in the fold, these two quarterbacks should be avoided like the plague. Besides, the Texans are a dynamic running team with Arian Foster and Ben Tate, and they will not deviate from running the ball heavily, no matter who the quarterback is.
The multi-dimensional Smith is a great weapon in the return game and wildcat formation, but after six years in the league he has yet to prove he is a reliable wide receiver.
After recording four receptions for 77 yards and a touchdown, some uneducated fantasy owner may want to scoop him up. Don’t let that be you.
You may be looking at Grossman’s last two games thinking he might have turned a corner. After all, he has thrown for 606 yards and four touchdowns against the Cowboys and the Seahawks.
But what’s the old idiom? “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.”
Listen to The Who’s Roger Daltrey and don’t get fooled again. He’ll be back to “Bad Rex” in no time.
Plus, don’t overlook the fact that he has thrown three interceptions in the last two games.
On Sunday, Reece uncommonly caught five passes for 92 yards against the Bears.
Reece is a great pass-catching fullback, but you have to realize he won’t come near stats like that on a consistent basis.
Avant has been in the league for six years now, and every now and then he’ll post a stat line like he did on Sunday (eight receptions for 110 yards and a touchdown), but he usually never sustains it.
With the quarterback situation in flux (Will Mike Vick return or will Vince Young keep the reigns?) and DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin still ahead of Avant on the depth chart, it would be best to avoid Avant.
The uber-athletic Armstrong finally got loose for a deep ball, scoring his first touchdown since Week 1, while also adding 50 yards receiving (all in the one catch).
Armstrong has teased many fantasy players with his natural playmaking abilities, but he can never seemingly put it all together.
With Rex Grossman as his quarterback and Jabar Gaffney and Santana Moss ahead of him in the pecking order, Armstrong is someone to skip over.
After passing for 254 yards and two touchdowns but also throwing three picks, it doesn’t seem Hanie has what it takes to fill in for Jay Cutler on a consistent basis.
The Bears offensive line is once again a mess, as Hanie was sacked four times on Sunday. In addition, outside of Johnny Knox stepping up lately, the Bears have few too weapons for Hanie to really have a chance at succeeding.