The instant I saw the Houston Cougars and Tulsa Golden Hurricane line at three points, I immediately thought trap.
The line setters are sucking you into Houston on a low line because they trounce everybody.
Especially within the recent weeks.
Rice saw 73, UAB saw 56 and Tulane saw 73 points all pinned against them.
Houston just kills teams. It throws the ball up and around you. You gasp for air as an opponent looks at the scoreboard.
But as a sports bettor, you love it. It's fun chasing points and taking Houston with the points and the over, each and every week. They're 9-2 against the spread and the total has gone over seven of the 11 times.
Which begs the question: Will this week be just another normal week of another Houston over?
I'm thinking yes and won't be sweating it with my money.
I just don't think this total could be big enough to keep me away.
While Houston is a phenomenal team, one of two undefeated teams remaining, Tulsa is no pushover.
An 8-3 team on the season, this is a Tulsa team that is a close Houston team.
The main difference is the level of competition they've played.
As Case Keenum is putting up video game numbers on the year for Houston, Tulsa won't be seeing any different quarterback from the ones they've already seen all year.
In week one, Tulsa saw Landry Jones and Oklahoma. In week three, Brandon Weeden and Oklahoma State came down the road. And the very next week, Tulsa played Boise State and Kellen Moore.
In a matter of a month, the Golden Hurricane were introduced to Heisman contender after Heisman contender. All of them on Top 10 teams.
Seeing Keenum this weekend won't feel any different. Houston is just another Top 10 opponent.
September was also a murderous month for Tulsa. But they haven't lost since then.
That was 60 days ago. It's like they have forgotten to lose. But so did Houston.
There are a couple of storylines brewing here. One being the winner goes to the Conference USA Championship game. Another is the undefeated Cougars get a shot at a BCS bowl. Will that stand pat after Friday?
Houston is in territory they've never been before. This 11-0 team has surprised everyone. With a win, it would be the most wins in regular season school history.
If you're looking for the winner of this game, it will be the best offense. It won't be a defensive battle by any means.
Vegas bases lines on teams that know how to convert on third down, and Houston converts an NCAA best 56 percent of third down tries. Tulsa completes 42 percent.
Keep your head up in this game. And don't look away, as points will pile quickly.
Houston wins only because this game has more meaning to them.