BCS Rankings: 5 Contenders That Are Too Far Back for a Title Shot

Dr. SEC@thedrsecAnalyst IINovember 20, 2011

STANFORD, CA - NOVEMBER 19:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Stanford Cardinal (center) celebrates with teammates after they beat the California Golden Bears at Stanford Stadium on November 19, 2011 in Stanford, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

This past week was one of the most amazing weeks of college football in recent memory. Everything we thought we knew about this seasons bowl games was turned upside down and we are now left with the current scenario.

The top three teams in this week's BCS rankings are likely to all be SEC teams. LSU, Alabama, and Arkansas are all in great position for an opportunity to play in the national championship game.

However, as we saw this week, anything can still happen.

If Alabama loses to Auburn, LSU loses to Arkansas, and Arkansas loses to Georgia, only LSU would still have a shot at the national championship game. In other words, it is possible for the ranking to be shook up yet again.

This is just one of many possible scenarios that we could see before the final BCS championships.  

As a result, there are teams who are holding on to the slim hope of still reaching the national championship game. In fact, there are some two loss teams that could slip into the conversation with another BCS storm like we had this week.

While there are no certainties, I wanted to list the five contenders who are least likely to make the game.

One of the most popular names circulating is the Stanford Cardinal. The Cardinal are currently 10-1 and ranked No.4 in the AP poll and No. 5 in the coaches’ poll. The Cardinal are technically still in the race. However, not playing in the Pac-12 championship game will make it near impossible to jump over a one-loss team with a conference championship.

Another popular idea circulating is that Houston could slip in if another BCS storm wreaked havoc this week. But this is not going to happen for several reasons. Most notably, the Cougars have not defeated one ranked team all season. There most notable win was against UCLA who is now 6-5.

A two loss UGA team has a better shot at the championship game than Houston does.

The only non-BCS school that had a shot was Boise State and they blew that with a game-ending missed field goal against TCU. With the Broncos defeating the Georgia Bulldogs in week one, they might have had the scenario they finally needed. The Bulldogs are winners of nine straight games and playing for the SEC championship. Now a one loss Boise State team is not going to make it over a two loss BCS team.

It should also be noted that the two loss teams of Oklahoma and Oregon are both out of the race as well. Oregon does not have a quality game left on their schedule and they have only faced three quality opponents and lost two of those games.

Oklahoma’s loss to Texas Tech and Baylor will be too much to overcome as well. Even though they could pull an upset against a quality Oklahoma State team, they would not jump an SEC, two loss team.

In my opinion, there are three teams who could benefit from another BCS storm weekend. Virginia Tech is the most likely to jump into the championship game if two of the top three teams lose.

The thing that they have going in their favor is that they have two solid games remaining. They play Virginia next week who is currently 8-3. They will follow that game with the ACC championship game. This is important because they will face Clemson, which is the team that gave them their one loss.

This would mean that they would have defeated every team on their schedule. The one thing they have going against them is a weak schedule. Clemson and Georgia Tech are the only two ranked teams they have faced.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are another team who could benefit from another BCS storm weekend. The Cowboys loss last week was devastating. However, they do have a solid Oklahoma team on their schedule and a win would give them the conference championship. They would be likely to jump a two loss SEC team and perhaps a one loss Virginia Tech team.

The furthest reaching idea that could have merit if we experience another wacky weekend would be the Georgia Bulldogs leaping into the rankings. If the Bulldogs can beat Georgia Tech this week they will climb a few more spots in the poll. However, an upset against LSU could send them leaping up the polls.

Of course, this would have to be preceded by several upsets, but who would have believed we would be having this conversation this week? It appeared we would have to wait until the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State game before the real madness began.

I am not sure what is craziest, trying to figure out these scenarios or why there doesn’t seem to be one clutch field goal kicker in the nation?


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